Colossal-Precedent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$64.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$643

Open exposure

$818

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-21 10:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 88% +$947

Other

21% 50% +$350

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No		+914	$823	88¢	$809	-$14	10-21 10:11
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No		+12	$10	69¢	$8	-$1	10-12 13:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	9	$7.5K	4,003	4,003	+0	No	+$426	02-27 15:55
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	5	$6.9K	3,650	3,650	+0	No	+$410	03-27 15:04
will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	3	$6.2K	3,341	3,341	+0	No	+$369	08-28 16:20
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	2	$5.9K	3,293	3,293	+0	No	-$82	08-30 15:01
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$5.9K	3,508	3,508	-0	No	-$773	03-31 13:27
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$5.6K	2,841	2,841	+0	No	+$79	03-06 00:27
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6	$4.7K	2,983	2,983	+0	No	+$61	03-06 12:53
will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	1	$4.3K	4,395	0	+4,395	No	+$95	07-26 12:48
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	6	$3.6K	1,830	1,830	+0	No	+$6	02-15 19:37
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	3	$2.8K	1,664	1,664	+0	No	+$362	06-29 17:44
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$2.3K	2,421	0	+2,421	No	+$75	04-28 16:45
will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	3	$2.2K	1,157	1,157	+0	No	+$76	08-18 16:52
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	2	$823	914	0	+914	open	—	10-21 10:11
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$814	0	827	-827	No	-$13	01-03 15:36
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	1	$658	664	0	+664	No	+$7	02-25 03:50
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$592	493	348	+145	No	-$63	03-31 14:36
Will BNB dip to $500 in June?	3	$536	288	288	+0	No	+$16	06-30 14:31
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$483	285	285	+0	No	+$83	03-06 10:19
will ethereum dip to 1900 in august 2026 from august 18	2	$394	202	202	+0	No	+$6	08-27 12:31
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$340	216	212	+5	No	+$45	04-28 15:01
will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	2	$242	145	145	+0	No	+$42	07-23 14:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	2	$221	123	122	+2	No	+$23	04-28 14:59
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?	4	$220	667	667	+0	No	+$20	06-30 17:42
will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	2	$219	120	120	+0	No	+$19	07-23 14:30
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	2	$211	114	113	+1	No	+$12	04-28 15:03
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	2	$208	110	109	+1	No	+$9	04-28 14:59
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$204	105	105	+0	No	+$5	04-28 15:02
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$203	149	149	+0	No	+$3	04-29 10:09
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?	2	$170	625	469	+156	No	-$30	07-01 02:26
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$165	119	119	+0	No	+$65	03-06 10:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 10:11:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x876be7…
10-21 10:11:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	889	90¢	$800	0x9c20dc…
10-12 13:10:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x570101…
08-30 15:01:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	No	SELL	3,293	89¢	$2,918	0x491f43…
08-30 05:03:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	No	BUY	3,293	91¢	$3,000	0xa27c67…
08-28 16:20:42	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,772	99¢	$1,748	0xac7898…
08-28 15:06:48	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,569	100¢	$1,561	0xe06d31…
08-27 12:31:18	will ethereum dip to 1900 in august 2026 from august 18	No	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0x13f2f6…
08-20 17:04:39	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	3,341	88¢	$2,940	0x1dacd5…
08-20 17:02:12	will ethereum dip to 1900 in august 2026 from august 18	No	BUY	202	96¢	$194	0x64e563…
08-18 16:52:13	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,157	97¢	$1,117	0x9ffe9e…
08-14 16:59:49	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	419	90¢	$377	0x0a1755…
08-14 16:49:40	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	No	BUY	737	90¢	$664	0x226171…
07-26 12:51:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2b72b9…
07-26 12:48:42	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	4,395	98¢	$4,300	0x101609…
07-23 14:30:57	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xc79fd0…
07-23 14:30:40	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0xec8ae7…
07-03 16:41:52	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xff07c6…
07-03 16:41:13	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x2d7cae…
07-01 02:26:52	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	SELL	469	15¢	$70	0x1eef6b…
07-01 02:06:56	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xea70ed…
06-30 17:42:47	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	SELL	234	18¢	$42	0x5aea9d…
06-30 17:42:01	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	SELL	167	18¢	$30	0xa18c4d…
06-30 17:41:56	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	SELL	266	18¢	$48	0x7ad6b5…
06-30 15:39:14	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x926720…
06-30 14:31:38	Will BNB dip to $500 in June?	No	SELL	238	96¢	$228	0xaf0743…
06-30 14:23:31	will bnb dip to 500 in june	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x08b845…
06-29 17:50:02	will bnb dip to 500 in june	No	BUY	288	90¢	$260	0xe619e5…
06-29 17:44:52	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	1,664	95¢	$1,581	0x03f1bb…
06-29 15:50:44	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	874	78¢	$682	0x37a45f…
06-28 16:06:17	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	790	68¢	$537	0x62ded4…
06-17 17:54:35	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0x3bc60f…
05-11 14:57:20	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa6919f…
05-06 14:40:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xce953b…
04-29 10:10:20	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x45dcf8…
04-29 10:09:44	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	149	69¢	$103	0x88a008…
04-28 16:45:38	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	308	97¢	$300	0xd7893e…
04-28 15:03:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	113	98¢	$111	0x82b743…
04-28 15:02:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x535480…
04-28 15:01:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	212	90¢	$190	0x8879ca…
04-28 14:59:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x80af44…
04-28 14:59:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0x7cc400…
04-28 09:11:22	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	2,113	97¢	$2,046	0x54b3f7…
04-28 09:11:04	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xcd1f89…
04-28 09:08:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x9550fd…
04-26 15:42:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xedbdd5…
04-25 08:27:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xb2e257…
04-25 08:03:20	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xee962a…
04-24 05:49:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe01d47…
04-21 10:41:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x7d579b…
04-09 14:49:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x8abf40…
03-31 14:36:39	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x44c241…
03-31 13:27:13	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,315	75¢	$987	0x461d55…
03-31 13:26:49	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,315	72¢	$950	0xd7ed19…
03-31 13:26:29	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	877	71¢	$623	0xf28785…
03-31 13:12:31	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	348	55¢	$192	0x77b36e…
03-30 14:58:53	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3,508	95¢	$3,332	0xdf00c5…
03-30 14:58:09	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	348	86¢	$300	0xa0316e…
03-27 15:04:55	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	SELL	1,626	100¢	$1,618	0xe23653…
03-27 15:04:41	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	SELL	2,024	100¢	$2,014	0xa745ae…
03-18 10:22:21	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	28	62¢	$18	0x422121…
03-17 16:27:47	will ukraine qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x408f4a…
03-17 16:27:33	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	11¢	$7	0xbe09d9…
03-17 15:52:21	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x0817d8…
03-12 13:29:13	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	3,602	89¢	$3,193	0x21689e…
03-08 15:21:55	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc59dd2…
03-06 15:32:09	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	334	7¢	$22	0x7008fa…
03-06 14:04:45	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	334	3¢	$10	0x4bc8ef…
03-06 12:53:21	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,533	90¢	$1,380	0x831613…
03-06 10:22:01	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x43a9ca…
03-06 10:21:43	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x9671ad…
03-06 10:20:19	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	119	96¢	$115	0x402a1d…
03-06 10:19:59	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	285	99¢	$283	0x4167d0…
03-06 10:15:13	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,450	68¢	$992	0xafb4e6…
03-06 09:52:17	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,759	78¢	$2,155	0x201992…
03-06 06:52:41	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0x14d31b…
03-06 00:27:09	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,841	100¢	$2,830	0xd169fe…
03-04 23:49:23	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,841	97¢	$2,751	0xafe0bd…
03-04 23:48:41	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	285	70¢	$200	0xd5c96f…
03-04 23:48:25	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x768989…
02-27 15:55:37	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	SELL	4,003	99¢	$3,979	0x56b71f…
02-25 03:50:52	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	No	BUY	664	99¢	$658	0xbe8793…
02-24 00:01:28	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	1,182	85¢	$1,000	0xad668d…
02-20 04:53:42	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	1,847	95¢	$1,751	0xd5be48…
02-15 19:37:35	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	SELL	1,720	99¢	$1,706	0xbb4496…
02-15 16:28:59	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x6ea168…
02-15 09:10:51	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc59dec…
02-15 06:43:13	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x06e4a8…
02-14 16:57:41	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	75	86¢	$65	0xe1809d…
02-14 16:48:43	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x2841b9…
02-12 14:37:53	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	BUY	1,830	99¢	$1,810	0xe84435…
02-12 13:47:09	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x249c38…
02-12 13:41:31	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xc786a5…
02-12 13:34:39	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc9d62c…
02-12 08:36:45	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	140	77¢	$108	0xb9d69b…
02-02 15:25:58	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	27	72¢	$20	0x3831ec…
01-21 16:20:22	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in january	No	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0xf3f4cc…
01-15 15:21:18	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in january	No	BUY	62	87¢	$54	0x26ed7e…
01-04 00:06:27	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	46	21¢	$10	0x0356e1…
01-03 15:36:43	Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	SELL	437	98¢	$429	0xdefa16…