Antique-Jalapeño — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

357

lifetime

Volume

$6.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-08 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

61% 88% +$11

Crypto

38% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+11	$3	22¢	$2	$-1	06-07 14:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 22?	4	$769	411	411	+0	open	—	05-21 18:15
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	9	$340	405	0	+405	open	—	05-26 20:40
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	5	$279	298	0	+298	open	—	05-15 18:45
ethereum above 2260 on may 16 2026 1am et	1	$144	144	0	+144	open	—	05-16 04:33
Ethereum above 2,340 on May 14, 4PM ET?	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	05-14 19:44
Ethereum above 2,345 on May 14, 1PM ET?	3	$137	69	69	+0	open	—	05-14 17:25
bitcoin up or down january 30 2am et	1	$134	135	0	+135	open	—	01-30 07:57
ethereum up or down january 29 10am et	3	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	01-29 15:55
bitcoin up or down january 22 12pm et	5	$130	132	0	+132	open	—	01-22 17:59
ethereum up or down january 21 11am et	7	$128	130	0	+130	open	—	01-21 16:55
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	3	$128	80	80	+0	Down	$-22	05-05 19:20
bitcoin up or down january 20 12pm et	4	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	01-20 17:58
solana up or down january 20 10am et	5	$127	128	0	+128	open	—	01-20 15:55
ethereum up or down january 20 1am et	4	$126	127	0	+127	open	—	01-20 06:45
meta close above 660 on march 4 2026	2	$124	70	70	+0	open	—	03-04 17:33
xrp up or down january 25 11am et	8	$122	123	0	+123	open	—	01-25 16:57
Ethereum above 2,380 on May 14, 2PM ET?	2	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-14 17:28
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 20?	1	$110	113	0	+113	open	—	05-20 16:18
bitcoin up or down january 21 2am et	4	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	01-21 07:53
Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 14, 1PM ET?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 17:21
bitcoin up or down january 23 12pm et	2	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-23 17:58
bitcoin up or down january 27 11am et	9	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	01-27 16:54
ethereum up or down january 30 4am et	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-30 09:52
spy closes above 750 on june 5 2026	2	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	06-05 16:40
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	2	$85	89	0	+89	open	—	06-01 15:28
tsla close above 400 on april 20 2026	2	$78	43	43	+0	open	—	04-20 17:21
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 7?	4	$70	76	0	+76	Down	+$6	05-07 17:27
bitcoin up or down january 23 10am et	2	$66	66	0	+66	open	—	01-23 15:57
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 15?	3	$60	65	0	+65	open	—	05-15 14:17
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 22?	4	$60	65	0	+65	open	—	05-22 17:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 16:23:27	spy closes above 740 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x88c116…
06-07 14:54:13	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x15dde9…
06-05 16:40:36	spy closes above 750 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xae57a7…
06-05 16:36:19	spy closes above 750 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x7484f8…
06-01 15:28:13	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x6821c4…
06-01 13:50:25	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x37d699…
05-26 20:40:59	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x730e99…
05-26 20:09:30	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xf0917d…
05-26 19:29:22	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x13aa79…
05-26 17:44:27	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x06bda6…
05-26 17:29:45	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x73e0f2…
05-26 17:17:21	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xbc497f…
05-26 16:40:17	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xcdec9f…
05-26 16:25:40	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x87526d…
05-26 15:55:12	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xbc19c1…
05-26 15:12:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6f2a77…
05-26 15:11:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa3a8cb…
05-26 15:10:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe2c2c2…
05-22 17:23:06	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xda0eb3…
05-22 17:08:03	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8fa966…
05-22 17:05:04	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc554b2…
05-22 16:27:06	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4f3119…
05-22 15:47:13	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x827cae…
05-22 15:45:56	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa91428…
05-21 18:15:00	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 22?	No	SELL	411	91¢	$374	0x7f1c7c…
05-21 18:14:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x584d26…
05-21 18:05:47	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 22?	No	BUY	280	96¢	$269	0x181432…
05-21 16:10:08	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 22?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0x280cc4…
05-21 16:07:02	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbf3e9b…
05-21 16:03:27	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 22?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x8369da…
05-20 16:18:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x44c5fb…
05-20 15:56:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x2b2965…
05-19 15:47:47	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 19?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x755a6c…
05-19 15:33:42	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xcad692…
05-19 15:33:02	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x07a601…
05-19 14:30:56	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x99d969…
05-18 14:37:16	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xb0fd0c…
05-18 13:46:00	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x4c451c…
05-18 13:42:37	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb81b3e…
05-18 13:40:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc0cb4b…
05-17 16:03:58	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5c9311…
05-16 19:56:51	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x803f5d…
05-16 08:31:35	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x8191b2…
05-16 06:47:03	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2f5259…
05-16 04:33:40	ethereum above 2260 on may 16 2026 1am et	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xcc6ed1…
05-15 18:45:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x3f866e…
05-15 17:53:20	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x52c019…
05-15 17:30:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x874613…
05-15 17:29:52	Will Meta (META) finish week of May 11 above $620?	No	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0xcb39c5…
05-15 17:06:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xd222a5…
05-15 17:06:09	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x0f6fa7…
05-15 16:49:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x1d884a…
05-15 16:13:14	Will Meta (META) finish week of May 11 above $620?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xb6ae59…
05-15 14:17:30	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xbb7f9f…
05-15 14:06:38	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x277a61…
05-15 14:05:29	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3334c5…
05-15 14:03:01	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x56babb…
05-15 13:58:56	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb72386…
05-15 13:58:12	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x53baf9…
05-14 19:44:44	Ethereum above 2,340 on May 14, 4PM ET?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x8ba44b…
05-14 18:46:31	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0xbb6069…
05-14 18:31:46	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0x75abf7…
05-14 18:31:11	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x23b8fe…
05-14 17:28:46	Ethereum above 2,380 on May 14, 2PM ET?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa8f9c8…
05-14 17:25:18	Ethereum above 2,345 on May 14, 1PM ET?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x807b99…
05-14 17:24:09	Ethereum above 2,380 on May 14, 2PM ET?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa04670…
05-14 17:21:09	Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 14, 1PM ET?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4408ee…
05-14 16:37:17	Ethereum above 2,345 on May 14, 1PM ET?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb623d5…
05-14 16:36:02	Ethereum above 2,345 on May 14, 1PM ET?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x064c2e…
05-14 16:27:38	Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 14, 1PM ET?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc41035…
05-14 15:51:51	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd7a9ac…
05-14 15:50:46	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb867c2…
05-14 15:49:18	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf06b1b…
05-14 15:11:18	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x913ffa…
05-14 15:00:06	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x11ff70…
05-13 14:01:50	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x0c6ecb…
05-13 14:01:10	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x37d9ec…
05-13 14:00:42	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x59bf8d…
05-13 14:00:30	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xb2ec99…
05-13 13:59:04	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8550cf…
05-12 18:24:12	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0xd384bf…
05-12 16:07:25	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbf75c9…
05-12 16:06:52	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x905e0e…
05-12 14:30:35	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9311ab…
05-12 14:12:00	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3bd0de…
05-12 14:10:12	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4c7cdb…
05-12 14:07:10	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x83d4dd…
05-12 14:06:45	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xea33ec…
05-12 14:04:23	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x26d818…
05-12 14:04:08	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xce3adb…
05-12 14:03:43	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7862d2…
05-12 14:02:54	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x653384…
05-11 17:54:49	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbefaa8…
05-11 17:52:41	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbbecd4…
05-11 17:19:14	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa696f3…
05-11 16:38:42	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 11?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb4fcde…
05-11 16:38:19	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 11?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9e5dea…
05-11 16:26:25	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x607b6d…
05-11 16:23:00	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x68ef5f…
05-11 16:07:55	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x474062…