Unnatural-Figure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

Trades

567

lifetime

Volume

$9.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-31 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

39% — —

Crypto

34% 60% $-16

Politics

23% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	34	$1.9K	933	933	+0	open	—	04-30 20:21
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	10	$296	398	386	+13	open	—	04-12 18:48
cfb ore txtech 2026 01 01	2	$238	129	129	+0	open	—	01-01 21:00
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	9	$233	273	266	+8	open	—	04-10 00:39
epl cry ful 2026 01 01 draw	2	$215	115	115	+0	open	—	01-01 19:26
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	16	$195	522	500	+21	open	—	04-13 22:59
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?	2	$174	87	87	+0	open	—	01-10 05:09
btc updown 15m 1767369600	10	$150	129	129	+0	open	—	01-02 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$142	76	76	+0	open	—	04-26 20:34
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	4	$139	104	104	+0	open	—	01-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$134	79	65	+15	open	—	05-02 16:20
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11	11	$128	102	102	+0	open	—	01-11 20:16
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	5	$126	229	221	+8	open	—	04-12 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	14	$121	73	73	+0	open	—	04-29 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$115	65	65	+0	open	—	04-30 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$105	55	55	+0	open	—	04-29 18:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	2	$104	52	52	+0	open	—	04-30 06:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	2	$103	55	55	+0	open	—	04-30 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	04-30 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$100	51	50	+0	open	—	04-29 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	11	$95	57	56	+1	open	—	04-27 07:29
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	6	$94	66	66	+0	open	—	04-03 21:50
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	2	$93	731	731	+0	open	—	01-06 06:23
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	4	$92	71	71	+0	open	—	01-09 13:19
btc updown 15m 1767881700	10	$90	53	53	+0	open	—	01-08 14:22
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 480 499	2	$90	279	279	+0	open	—	01-07 06:01
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	11	$80	95	95	+0	open	—	03-31 11:55
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	5	$73	86	86	+0	open	—	03-31 11:49
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	4	$70	142	0	+142	open	—	01-06 16:29
maduro out by february 28 2026	1	$70	93	0	+93	open	—	01-03 07:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 20:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdc70df…
05-31 20:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1b0e32…
05-31 20:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x85fdf1…
05-31 20:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2ebe2d…
05-31 20:10:30	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x2608cf…
05-31 20:10:26	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0a551e…
05-31 20:10:11	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa81944…
05-31 20:10:07	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x08074c…
05-25 06:31:25	Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0xef5f21…
05-25 06:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x81a035…
05-25 06:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x416cdc…
05-24 21:38:52	Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Perricard (+2.5)	Perricard	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfed289…
05-24 21:07:37	Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Lorenzo Sonego	SELL	22	80¢	$17	0x6bf8fd…
05-24 20:38:50	Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	22	75¢	$16	0x32fd03…
05-24 20:25:15	Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Perricard (+2.5)	Perricard	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe554d5…
05-24 20:24:47	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x592c5f…
05-24 20:19:30	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf46088…
05-22 16:50:57	World Championships: Latvia vs. USA	USA	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x45f60d…
05-20 19:29:56	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0ab1db…
05-20 19:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf6175d…
05-20 19:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x7662c0…
05-20 19:28:02	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x128ac2…
05-20 04:15:34	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xeeb5a7…
05-20 04:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8cd934…
05-20 03:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4aa89c…
05-19 17:54:48	World Championships: Slovenia vs. Slovakia	Slovakia	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x516211…
05-19 17:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xe19938…
05-19 09:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0x5d7d85…
05-19 09:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xf7c43d…
05-19 08:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x04e50c…
05-19 07:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x35ebf5…
05-18 18:54:02	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Czechia	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0xc44439…
05-18 18:53:46	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0x23fa17…
05-18 18:14:37	World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	Sweden	BUY	23	68¢	$16	0x821e95…
05-16 17:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4b826d…
05-16 17:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdbcae4…
05-16 15:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcab6df…
05-16 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe93ffb…
05-15 18:17:47	World Championships: Czechia vs. Denmark	Czechia	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xc9236d…
05-15 14:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xab72af…
05-15 14:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5871ac…
05-14 21:26:21	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Iga Swiatek	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x09dc91…
05-14 07:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa727af…
05-12 15:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf96ec3…
05-12 12:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd55393…
05-11 19:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xde2103…
05-11 19:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf3fb78…
05-09 13:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x408d17…
05-09 11:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5e4b01…
05-09 11:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x49b7aa…
05-09 10:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd9fce7…
05-09 06:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd6e555…
05-09 05:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xee1f61…
05-08 19:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x087d58…
05-08 19:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfa1fd6…
05-07 08:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x08156f…
05-07 08:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe569c3…
05-07 08:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x39db08…
05-07 08:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x53de94…
05-04 05:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xda121a…
05-04 05:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x4f195a…
05-03 21:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa79618…
05-03 21:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0b7dd3…
05-03 21:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x71bb7f…
05-03 21:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x479cb2…
05-03 20:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x44ebc0…
05-03 18:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x5a7fcb…
05-03 18:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa1f55c…
05-03 18:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x225c67…
05-03 18:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7e389f…
05-03 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe3f704…
05-03 17:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xbcf538…
05-03 17:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x7d18cd…
05-03 17:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8b4e55…
05-03 17:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xba26b9…
05-03 17:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe5d488…
05-03 15:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa173b3…
05-03 15:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x5e7bdd…
05-03 15:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe47eb4…
05-03 13:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x6f6cb1…
05-03 13:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xeb94b2…
05-03 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb89df8…
05-03 12:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x81886b…
05-03 12:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd19e33…
05-03 12:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe8fee0…
05-03 09:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb4c524…
05-03 09:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8509a8…
05-03 09:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xc4f0a3…
05-03 09:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5dc5e1…
05-03 09:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0a440a…
05-03 09:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xfde8af…
05-03 09:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x58c8b3…
05-03 09:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x7227a0…
05-03 05:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x9f7d7d…
05-03 05:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xd92171…
05-03 05:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc067a2…
05-03 05:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x44d1a9…
05-03 05:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa63811…
05-02 16:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9abc01…
05-02 16:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbce5f2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	128	$90.6K	3,846	05-31 20:50
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	119	$15.4K	2,712	05-31 20:49
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	114	$31.8K	9,737	05-31 20:49
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	114	$31.1K	5,586	05-31 20:49
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	114	$30.5K	9,230	05-31 20:49
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	111	$14.9K	845	05-31 20:49
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	110	$77.9K	5,276	05-31 20:48
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	110	$33.2K	12,210	05-20 04:14