Ignorant-Finer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

312

lifetime

Volume

$440

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-13 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 62% $-1

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	13	$17	48	19	+29	Up	$-3	05-11 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	6	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	05-18 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	6	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	7	$12	40	40	+0	open	—	05-21 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$12	19	19	+0	open	—	05-29 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	8	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	7	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 15:43
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-08 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	6	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-19 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	6	$8	19	5	+14	open	—	05-23 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	8	$7	29	2	+28	open	—	05-20 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	5	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-21 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	5	$7	5	10	-5	Down	+$3	05-08 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-02 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	3	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	6	$6	16	2	+14	open	—	05-19 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	6	$6	25	2	+23	open	—	05-22 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$6	6	4	+2	Down	$-0	05-09 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	5	$5	11	2	+9	open	—	06-02 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 15:12
btc updown 4h 1780718400	3	$5	12	12	+0	open	—	06-06 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	$-5	05-07 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$5	7	4	+2	Down	+$1	05-09 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-19 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-26 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 16:00:52	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2fe70d…
06-13 15:24:12	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xefcf9c…
06-13 15:11:18	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb41cdb…
06-07 11:09:13	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7cda5a…
06-06 13:41:48	btc updown 4h 1780747200	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x19d53b…
06-06 12:20:54	btc updown 4h 1780747200	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe7abfc…
06-06 09:50:01	btc updown 4h 1780732800	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x482c21…
06-06 08:34:00	btc updown 4h 1780732800	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc6429a…
06-06 05:21:31	btc updown 4h 1780718400	Up	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xb62a6b…
06-06 04:32:49	btc updown 4h 1780718400	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf1250f…
06-06 04:26:43	btc updown 4h 1780718400	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xab01db…
06-05 15:09:52	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x37c43b…
06-05 15:04:01	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x88b446…
06-05 15:03:34	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x347cc9…
06-05 15:02:36	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x40724b…
06-02 14:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x930456…
06-02 14:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfed42c…
06-02 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd879a7…
06-02 14:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1c4da3…
06-02 14:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x70d691…
06-02 13:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xe74a2d…
06-02 13:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xbe131e…
05-31 15:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9f8ff0…
05-31 14:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd418c2…
05-30 15:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xb921d2…
05-30 15:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe6e60b…
05-30 14:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xd4e9e2…
05-30 06:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x36d2e0…
05-30 05:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa5353a…
05-30 05:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x387b00…
05-29 17:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0xa2b545…
05-29 17:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe85ac2…
05-29 16:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x47bde5…
05-29 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd41070…
05-29 15:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8aa73b…
05-26 14:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xd7dd46…
05-26 13:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5e61b1…
05-26 13:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb87b47…
05-25 13:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xacca1f…
05-24 14:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcc6b93…
05-24 12:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x73e3a8…
05-24 12:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x855e19…
05-24 10:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x44e5ca…
05-24 10:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x9a3bd0…
05-24 10:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb85eac…
05-23 13:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0015ba…
05-23 13:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4f847d…
05-23 13:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x148e41…
05-23 13:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x99dc9d…
05-23 12:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3d54f0…
05-23 12:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x50531c…
05-23 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0c428c…
05-23 08:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3de2ed…
05-23 07:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x82b2ba…
05-22 14:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x413ce2…
05-22 14:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4e407a…
05-22 13:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2040fc…
05-22 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x71cd9b…
05-22 11:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x435280…
05-22 11:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf9bdc4…
05-21 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x4e6057…
05-21 13:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7a310d…
05-21 12:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x536a40…
05-21 12:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7f6ef5…
05-21 11:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x78d96b…
05-21 06:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe809ee…
05-21 05:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6a9092…
05-21 04:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2f7167…
05-21 01:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x30446f…
05-21 01:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xfb2ee9…
05-21 01:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb82bfb…
05-21 01:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x86dbde…
05-21 00:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa0f083…
05-21 00:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x43dbe1…
05-21 00:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xef396c…
05-20 14:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xfd8ef9…
05-20 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5da7bd…
05-20 13:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8ee732…
05-20 13:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb9488f…
05-20 13:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x757fe1…
05-20 13:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x53595d…
05-20 13:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xb77865…
05-20 13:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf1e8ca…
05-20 13:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x4c8dc0…
05-20 13:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2758df…
05-20 13:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xde03c2…
05-20 13:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe63cf6…
05-19 15:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xe22dba…
05-19 15:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9cc470…
05-19 15:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xda12d6…
05-19 15:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xd0ca47…
05-19 15:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc50ec9…
05-19 15:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x66bb63…
05-19 14:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdd44b6…
05-19 14:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x147025…
05-19 14:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1c10b2…
05-19 14:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xd5e424…
05-19 13:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x79e9e4…
05-19 13:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc2d0a9…
05-19 13:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x7deb61…