Playful-Severity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved

493

Trades

2,547

lifetime

Volume

$447.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-17 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Sports

66% 39% -$17,754

Other

28% 39% -$9,956

Politics

6% 34% -$3,273

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$60

Crypto

0% 0% -$195

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$16.0K	19,740	0	+19,740	Sean Strickland	-$15,989	05-09 20:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	9	$11.7K	6,940	6,765	+175	Yes	+$1,844	04-17 09:51
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	12	$8.0K	15,820	0	+15,820	Carlos Prates	+$7,858	05-02 13:33
nhl edm lak 2026 04 11	45	$7.3K	7,550	3,562	+3,988	Kings	+$3,293	04-11 22:37
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$7.2K	8,200	8,200	+0	Knicks	-$820	05-08 22:08
Sabres vs. Bruins	3	$6.9K	4,700	4,627	+73	Sabres	+$2,419	04-26 20:17
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	97	$6.8K	7,563	7,512	+51	Spurs	-$2,635	04-26 21:50
Knicks vs. 76ers	14	$6.1K	3,986	3,986	+0	Knicks	+$1,853	05-10 21:18
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	108	$6.0K	6,520	6,520	+0	No	+$1,007	05-02 13:12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$5.6K	3,636	3,636	+0	Yes	+$25	04-04 17:24
Hurricanes vs. Senators	10	$5.5K	3,545	3,521	+24	Hurricanes	+$1,591	04-25 21:54
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	17	$5.4K	4,300	4,300	+0	Tennessee Volunteers	-$56	03-22 23:06
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	24	$5.2K	3,168	3,168	+0	St. John's Red Storm	+$207	03-22 23:11
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$5.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	Sabres	-$5,040	05-12 08:27
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	60	$5.0K	9,460	9,460	+0	No	+$454	01-31 16:53
nba okc den 2026 04 10	23	$4.9K	5,520	3,427	+2,094	Nuggets	-$526	04-11 02:20
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$4.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Pistons	+$0	05-01 19:26
boxing tyson fury vs arslanbek makhmudov	4	$4.4K	2,420	2,408	+12	Fury	+$385	04-11 22:17
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	8	$4.3K	7,500	7,500	+0	Pistons	-$1,950	05-06 00:01
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$4.2K	12,000	0	+12,000	Spurs	-$4,200	05-08 22:09
nhl tb bos 2026 04 11	15	$4.2K	2,780	2,780	+0	Lightning	+$1,359	04-11 20:23
nhl det nyr 2026 04 04	6	$3.9K	2,410	2,410	+0	Rangers	+$889	04-04 19:15
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$3.9K	5,400	1,727	+3,673	Aljamain Sterling	-$2,037	04-25 20:29
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	4	$3.5K	5,800	5,797	+3	Connecticut Huskies	-$207	03-29 22:02
nhl nyi buf 2026 03 31	3	$3.4K	5,282	0	+5,282	Sabres	+$1,879	03-31 21:32
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	18	$3.4K	7,705	0	+7,705	Joe Pyfer	+$4,315	03-28 22:06
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$3.2K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 19:16
nhl nj car 2026 03 28	3	$3.2K	2,140	2,140	+0	Hurricanes	+$1,105	03-28 23:29
mlb wsh mil 2026 04 10	12	$3.1K	4,090	4,048	+42	Washington Nationals	-$2,329	04-11 02:19
nhl col dal 2026 04 04	19	$3.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	Avalanche	+$930	04-04 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 18:41:08	Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley	Fabio Wardley	BUY	88	26¢	$23	0x87636a…
10-05 20:10:59	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	81	40¢	$33	0xb7e803…
10-05 20:10:58	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x8626a9…
10-05 20:10:01	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xa52665…
10-05 19:57:31	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x2c688d…
10-05 19:30:40	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x9cd70c…
07-19 21:05:54	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x0fdbbd…
07-08 12:42:17	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,238	3¢	$217	0x20f2fb…
07-07 18:51:07	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x7dedc7…
07-06 19:57:14	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xa264f7…
07-06 19:34:29	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	226	31¢	$70	0xef1f69…
06-28 13:51:44	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	523	19¢	$99	0x90e4b8…
06-27 18:41:17	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Manuel Torres	BUY	1,656	50¢	$828	0xfa7953…
06-20 21:21:49	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x730058…
06-09 18:05:25	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Golden Knights	BUY	2,359	50¢	$1,179	0x838167…
06-06 23:15:45	ufc mar42 joh41 2026 06 06	John Yannis	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9d4558…
05-28 13:42:58	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa703d6…
05-23 18:25:49	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0xfc74f0…
05-23 07:47:29	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	691	34¢	$235	0x1077d0…
05-22 21:17:34	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	111	35¢	$39	0xa0b2e1…
05-22 21:16:52	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5,460	55¢	$3,003	0x03661f…
05-21 08:01:20	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	2,061	32¢	$659	0x33cb13…
05-20 20:33:14	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	660	40¢	$264	0x060c53…
05-20 20:32:42	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	6,220	32¢	$1,990	0x0c52b9…
05-20 19:47:56	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	942	89¢	$838	0xa38d02…
05-20 17:19:02	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x99cca5…
05-20 17:10:56	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0aa6a9…
05-20 16:51:41	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x064b54…
05-20 16:10:00	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x907241…
05-20 16:05:48	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x267c87…
05-20 16:04:41	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	852	89¢	$758	0xc188cb…
05-20 15:53:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	500	97¢	$485	0x7bc799…
05-20 13:29:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xf920bd…
05-20 13:29:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9e89d4…
05-20 13:29:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x11b77a…
05-20 13:29:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x80977b…
05-20 13:29:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x68ee9c…
05-20 13:29:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x415e4d…
05-20 13:29:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xc5778c…
05-20 13:29:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xbf234e…
05-20 13:29:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x996044…
05-20 13:29:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x73dd2e…
05-20 13:29:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x4d67b1…
05-20 13:29:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xe85376…
05-20 13:29:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xdc7c48…
05-20 13:29:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x8fb4c7…
05-20 13:29:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x42ca8b…
05-20 13:28:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd6611a…
05-20 13:28:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xce947e…
05-20 13:28:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	56	74¢	$41	0x7af3cf…
05-20 13:11:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	120	74¢	$89	0x74355c…
05-20 13:10:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	115	74¢	$85	0xd2efa0…
05-20 08:04:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	777	31¢	$241	0xe7c0bb…
05-19 23:22:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	777	33¢	$256	0xc45436…
05-19 20:51:16	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	2,400	48¢	$1,152	0x411180…
05-19 20:21:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	888	94¢	$835	0xc655e2…
05-19 20:18:32	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	1,543	39¢	$602	0x5d28a3…
05-19 20:17:59	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xe67cfa…
05-19 20:17:59	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xc10df0…
05-19 20:15:44	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0xd7b7be…
05-19 20:15:39	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	43	39¢	$17	0x49be0f…
05-19 20:15:32	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x0160b7…
05-19 20:14:54	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x31bf58…
05-19 20:14:13	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x63210e…
05-19 20:12:58	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0x4536a5…
05-19 20:12:55	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x18a4ae…
05-19 20:11:38	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xaa1e7c…
05-19 20:10:07	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0x335981…
05-19 20:04:27	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x43e2c4…
05-19 19:59:33	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8ce274…
05-19 19:56:17	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	111	39¢	$43	0xf685c2…
05-19 19:56:17	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	56	39¢	$22	0xbe73e9…
05-19 19:54:22	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xff43f1…
05-19 19:53:38	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xd43789…
05-19 19:40:58	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	83	39¢	$32	0xd860bf…
05-19 19:40:58	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$4	0x2f1e7f…
05-19 19:34:46	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xf93ae7…
05-19 19:32:47	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	300	39¢	$117	0xa84d5f…
05-19 19:32:24	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	82	39¢	$32	0x717cea…
05-19 19:28:36	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xba8333…
05-19 19:24:24	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x4dc675…
05-19 19:23:37	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x4c855a…
05-19 19:23:16	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x053945…
05-19 19:22:24	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x258ee6…
05-19 18:05:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	788	74¢	$583	0x15e7f0…
05-19 17:56:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x8489d3…
05-19 17:53:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	96	74¢	$71	0xc72993…
05-19 17:22:59	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	2,000	32¢	$640	0xf9e2ed…
05-18 21:31:33	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x70a473…
05-18 16:04:17	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0x674d70…
05-18 16:03:12	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x7ac3ef…
05-18 16:02:47	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xf039df…
05-18 15:55:46	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x1b8510…
05-18 15:55:40	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xb5e61a…
05-18 15:55:32	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe2c9e5…
05-18 15:48:14	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x403f2e…
05-18 15:46:20	World Championships: Finland vs. USA	USA	SELL	800	0¢	$1	0xd39233…
05-18 15:45:52	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	200	57¢	$115	0xaf7778…
05-18 15:45:28	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	SELL	140	31¢	$43	0x6af4b3…
05-18 15:45:12	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	SELL	140	31¢	$44	0x3ffc4b…