Warped-Perch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,749

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-03 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% $-89

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772725500	13	$373	200	200	+0	open	—	03-05 15:59
btc updown 5m 1776328800	3	$217	121	110	+11	open	—	04-16 08:46
btc updown 15m 1776284100	6	$213	114	114	+0	open	—	04-15 20:29
btc updown 15m 1776287700	12	$210	120	119	+1	open	—	04-15 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	16	$209	110	110	+0	open	—	05-02 19:46
btc updown 5m 1776326100	2	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	04-16 07:59
btc updown 15m 1785697200	9	$188	100	100	-0	open	—	08-02 19:14
btc updown 15m 1776241800	15	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	04-15 08:41
btc updown 15m 1775502900	20	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	7	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	05-17 18:59
btc updown 15m 1776022200	13	$177	100	90	+10	open	—	04-12 19:45
btc updown 15m 1776969000	8	$174	100	80	+20	open	—	04-23 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	6	$173	110	85	+25	open	—	05-20 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$169	100	75	+25	open	—	05-02 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$169	100	75	+25	Down	+$4	05-06 15:59
btc updown 15m 1776887100	8	$163	100	69	+31	open	—	04-22 19:59
btc updown 15m 1776024000	4	$162	100	70	+30	open	—	04-12 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	10	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	05-02 19:16
btc updown 15m 1776154500	2	$150	101	50	+51	open	—	04-14 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$146	100	50	+50	open	—	05-01 16:15
btc updown 5m 1776932100	4	$143	110	60	+50	open	—	04-23 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	10	$136	100	75	+25	Down	+$11	05-10 18:55
btc updown 15m 1772265600	32	$131	0	252	-252	open	—	02-28 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$115	80	50	+30	Down	+$3	05-06 16:05
btc updown 15m 1776096900	9	$108	68	66	+1	open	—	04-13 16:25
btc updown 15m 1776095100	7	$107	68	66	+1	open	—	04-13 15:57
btc updown 15m 1776069900	3	$106	60	60	+1	open	—	04-13 08:55
btc updown 15m 1776112200	6	$105	64	63	+1	open	—	04-13 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	10	$103	60	60	+0	Up	+$7	05-08 18:34
btc updown 15m 1770059700	9	$102	0	125	-125	open	—	02-02 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 19:24:56	btc updown 5m 1785784800	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x112757…
08-03 19:24:41	btc updown 5m 1785784800	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x692703…
08-03 19:09:18	btc updown 5m 1785783900	Down	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xa09567…
08-03 19:02:30	btc updown 5m 1785783600	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe2b143…
08-02 19:28:44	btc updown 5m 1785698700	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x969dad…
08-02 19:28:30	btc updown 5m 1785698700	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x18d886…
08-02 19:28:30	btc updown 5m 1785698700	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x04ea80…
08-02 19:25:48	btc updown 5m 1785698700	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xfbfcc7…
08-02 19:24:53	btc updown 5m 1785698400	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x7de43e…
08-02 19:24:51	btc updown 5m 1785698400	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xb8a5d9…
08-02 19:24:51	btc updown 5m 1785698400	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xa9aecf…
08-02 19:24:51	btc updown 5m 1785698400	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$4	0x2144b4…
08-02 19:23:17	btc updown 5m 1785698400	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x291231…
08-02 19:14:50	btc updown 15m 1785697200	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x03e167…
08-02 19:14:21	btc updown 15m 1785697200	Down	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xd1341a…
08-02 19:13:56	btc updown 15m 1785697200	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfee968…
08-02 19:13:56	btc updown 15m 1785697200	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xd3e85b…
08-02 19:13:56	btc updown 15m 1785697200	Down	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0xbd5668…
08-02 19:13:56	btc updown 15m 1785697200	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x88f856…
08-02 19:13:56	btc updown 15m 1785697200	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x37975b…
08-02 19:13:56	btc updown 15m 1785697200	Down	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x188466…
08-02 19:13:56	btc updown 15m 1785697200	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x15b204…
08-02 19:10:05	btc updown 5m 1785697500	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbcd2c2…
08-02 19:09:08	btc updown 5m 1785697500	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x991e2b…
08-02 19:04:21	btc updown 5m 1785697200	Down	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x0ec41f…
08-02 19:04:11	btc updown 5m 1785697200	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x627048…
08-02 19:04:11	btc updown 5m 1785697200	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x53bbce…
08-02 19:04:11	btc updown 5m 1785697200	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x28a477…
08-02 19:02:45	btc updown 5m 1785697200	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x80a50d…
08-02 18:59:57	btc updown 5m 1785696900	Up	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x923967…
08-02 18:59:27	btc updown 5m 1785696900	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xd540bd…
08-02 18:59:27	btc updown 5m 1785696900	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xccd65c…
08-02 18:59:27	btc updown 5m 1785696900	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x2c3e3f…
06-01 07:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x35e35b…
06-01 07:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x89c51c…
06-01 07:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xef9f47…
06-01 07:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x28757a…
05-31 20:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd8d46a…
05-26 15:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x4049fa…
05-20 19:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xe520a8…
05-20 19:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xc72d41…
05-20 19:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xad9e72…
05-20 19:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8394f3…
05-20 19:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5692b4…
05-20 19:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x27170c…
05-20 19:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x120124…
05-20 19:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x5ff3be…
05-20 19:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x3ded6e…
05-20 18:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x9b4973…
05-20 18:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xc35717…
05-20 18:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	69	95¢	$65	0xa52475…
05-20 18:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x980359…
05-20 18:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xc6ae96…
05-20 18:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x33dcf1…
05-20 18:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xdbbf68…
05-20 18:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x35d95c…
05-20 18:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb649fe…
05-17 18:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xbb01df…
05-17 18:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xe0ec10…
05-17 18:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x0fe20d…
05-17 18:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb64aca…
05-17 18:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa14225…
05-17 18:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x8a7105…
05-17 18:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x866bf5…
05-17 18:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x83f479…
05-17 18:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xb01893…
05-17 18:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8e1fde…
05-17 18:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xf43825…
05-17 18:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xb43873…
05-17 18:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x8f3972…
05-17 18:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x80f499…
05-17 18:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$2	0x155f91…
05-17 18:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xdb0983…
05-17 18:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xb980b2…
05-17 18:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x330c4a…
05-17 18:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xec0750…
05-17 18:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xf698f2…
05-17 18:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xddf086…
05-17 18:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xab49b1…
05-17 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x636c66…
05-17 18:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x187daa…
05-17 18:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x174972…
05-17 18:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf1158d…
05-17 18:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x0f03a3…
05-17 18:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b5207…
05-17 18:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x82b3db…
05-17 18:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x688dbf…
05-17 18:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x31c2eb…
05-13 19:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x6dbf0a…
05-13 19:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	38	97¢	$36	0xbd6c66…
05-13 19:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xa00e1b…
05-10 20:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xed5ea6…
05-10 20:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7d10da…
05-10 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xf0f852…
05-10 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0xa019d0…
05-10 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x9f2829…
05-10 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	65¢	$21	0x7bf7d1…
05-10 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x543c58…
05-10 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x14b5a2…
05-10 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x038d2e…