Light-Elderberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

656

Trades

1,123

lifetime

Volume

$2.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 11-02 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 55% -$66

Other

11% 26% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down march 10 9am et	6	$33	29	24	+5	Down	-$1	03-10 13:34
ethereum up or down march 10 1am et	9	$28	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	03-10 05:56
will solana reach 100 in march 2026	4	$28	27	27	+0	No	+$6	03-25 12:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 12:30 UTC	8	$19	19	18	+0	Down	+$3	03-09 12:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:45 UTC	5	$18	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	03-09 05:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 11:45 UTC	5	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	03-09 11:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 15:45 UTC	4	$12	11	11	+0	Up	-$2	03-10 15:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 04:45 UTC	7	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	03-10 04:56
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-10 16:00 UTC	4	$12	26	0	+26	Down	-$12	03-10 16:13
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 13:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 13:15 UTC	4	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$5	03-09 13:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 04:45 UTC	2	$10	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 04:50
ethereum up or down march 10 6am et	6	$10	28	6	+22	Down	-$6	03-10 10:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 12:45 UTC	8	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$10	10	9	+0	Down	+$3	04-27 16:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-06 07:15
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$9	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	04-27 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	-$4	04-27 09:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:45 UTC	5	$9	8	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 23:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 06:15 UTC	4	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-11 06:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 07:00 UTC	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$5	06-08 07:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	06-13 14:04
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$8	9	9	+0	Up	-$1	04-27 19:08
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 20:30 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	06-20 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-29 15:16
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 23:11
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-29 14:14
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 15:45 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	06-17 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd2da38…
11-02 14:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4ebceb…
11-02 14:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x110e46…
11-02 14:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x88f872…
11-02 10:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7f4892…
11-02 08:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x997245…
11-01 19:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6d72bb…
11-01 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xbb8811…
11-01 14:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x50d9f5…
11-01 10:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa1d431…
10-31 21:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbf9a1c…
10-31 20:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa35489…
10-31 18:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc07fd5…
10-31 16:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdc2133…
10-31 15:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf8e60e…
10-31 15:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2fca1f…
10-31 11:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x79dbd0…
10-31 10:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xd11759…
10-31 09:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x11f045…
10-31 06:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0df08d…
10-31 02:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6f026a…
10-31 02:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xccecd3…
10-31 00:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6b07de…
10-30 09:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52654a…
10-29 09:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x61ddf5…
10-28 23:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf4d64c…
10-28 21:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x24c823…
10-28 13:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdbcf5d…
10-28 12:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0dbbda…
10-28 06:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc9dc90…
10-28 03:14:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xdd69ed…
10-28 00:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe04a3e…
10-27 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac462f…
10-27 17:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe6b2b7…
10-27 17:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x93bb7c…
10-27 12:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa09c27…
10-27 04:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xf37df2…
10-26 23:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x558210…
10-26 22:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x200c45…
10-26 20:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1dcad3…
10-26 12:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x748adb…
10-26 06:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x95a1b3…
10-25 23:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x93ee56…
10-25 20:59:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb5506e…
10-25 17:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05b4ee…
10-25 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x322df0…
10-25 14:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x78b125…
10-25 04:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcdf4e4…
10-25 02:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb2bdd4…
10-24 13:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xab7167…
10-24 11:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x44a9ff…
10-24 11:14:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x159625…
10-24 07:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf871d0…
10-24 06:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x969d09…
10-24 05:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x51394f…
10-24 05:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0x14a596…
10-24 03:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x15c670…
10-24 03:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5565ff…
10-24 02:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x5d9c3d…
10-23 23:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x05ff6e…
10-23 21:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd92915…
10-23 20:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8101f6…
10-23 14:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b8379…
10-23 14:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xec3835…
10-23 04:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x34ff31…
10-23 03:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfe3baa…
10-22 04:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7d4c8c…
10-21 21:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe7ef96…
10-21 21:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf3954a…
10-21 19:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6858dd…
10-21 17:59:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5eb062…
10-21 03:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0b3b7b…
10-21 02:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbcbc48…
10-20 19:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6a50d1…
10-20 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7f8041…
10-19 03:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc7bd5e…
10-18 23:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0f5c69…
10-18 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x576541…
10-18 04:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd9ff27…
10-17 22:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x36bc5e…
10-17 20:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe986ac…
10-17 19:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x82bdc6…
10-17 17:29:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5c4cbd…
10-17 11:14:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x286176…
10-17 10:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2ffe44…
10-17 09:44:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xfa3535…
10-17 09:14:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0aedcb…
10-17 08:29:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x85796d…
10-17 07:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x14cd94…
10-17 04:14:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x56729c…
10-16 22:59:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6f0db3…
10-16 22:44:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd7ef34…
10-16 21:14:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5ad8d6…
10-16 20:14:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9771cc…
10-16 10:59:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0de689…
10-16 01:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc2f509…
10-15 22:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x253e24…
10-15 21:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc7aa33…
10-15 21:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x02a0d3…
10-15 12:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xd32890…