Some-Manipulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

217

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-29 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

99% 98% +$30

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 17?	1	$564	565	+565	No	+$1	08-17 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 2?	1	$562	562	+562	No	+$1	08-02 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?	2	$561	562	+562	No	+$1	08-16 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 3?	1	$561	562	+562	No	+$1	07-03 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?	1	$558	559	+559	No	+$1	07-29 09:52
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 7?	1	$558	558	+558	No	+$1	07-06 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on July 1?	1	$557	558	+558	No	+$1	07-01 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 2?	1	$557	557	+557	No	+$1	07-02 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 23?	1	$554	555	+555	No	+$1	06-23 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 1?	1	$554	555	+555	No	+$1	06-30 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 25?	1	$554	555	+555	No	+$1	06-25 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 21?	1	$553	554	+554	No	+$1	06-21 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 25?	1	$552	553	+553	No	+$1	06-24 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 19?	1	$549	550	+550	No	+$1	06-19 01:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 11?	1	$544	544	+544	No	+$1	06-11 03:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?	1	$544	544	+544	No	+$1	06-11 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10?	1	$543	543	+543	No	+$1	06-10 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 8?	1	$542	543	+543	No	+$1	06-08 15:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?	1	$541	542	+542	No	+$1	05-27 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 17?	1	$537	538	+538	No	+$1	05-17 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 2?	1	$537	538	+538	No	+$1	06-01 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 1?	1	$535	537	+537	No	+$2	06-01 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 30?	1	$534	534	+534	No	+$1	05-30 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 31?	1	$533	534	+534	No	+$1	05-31 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 29?	1	$532	533	+533	No	+$1	05-29 07:44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 22?	1	$493	494	+494	No	+$0	06-22 23:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 12?	1	$491	491	+491	No	+$0	05-12 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 20?	1	$481	482	+482	No	+$0	06-20 05:10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?	1	$481	482	+482	No	+$1	05-25 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12?	1	$456	456	+456	No	+$0	06-13 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x962775…
10-28 23:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f6841…
10-28 17:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x5951f5…
10-26 22:34:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 26?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x862d63…
10-25 16:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0xa3bf39…
10-25 09:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcdbaba…
10-25 03:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x563bc6…
10-25 03:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x123d0a…
10-25 03:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 25?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xa21ec4…
10-24 21:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 24?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x26ef12…
10-24 21:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x428216…
10-24 16:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x249ffc…
10-21 08:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1f9d3…
10-20 12:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5bf6c2…
10-20 07:37:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e636a…
10-15 12:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa64ea3…
10-11 03:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ade41…
10-08 20:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 8?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xc2b1f9…
10-08 17:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84d6bb…
10-01 00:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd367c8…
09-30 23:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9298cb…
09-30 15:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x335818…
09-29 19:32:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f4ea9…
09-23 00:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1146c…
09-21 18:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x773f10…
09-20 08:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf69f8e…
09-20 08:23:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on September 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd4f34…
09-20 07:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b4094…
09-15 17:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd8f646…
09-09 20:04:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 9?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xece62d…
09-09 16:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f8a79…
09-08 01:40:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b957f…
09-07 16:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x112e63…
09-07 11:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x7b584f…
09-07 03:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5995b…
09-06 17:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x433ca7…
09-06 16:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on September 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x61f217…
09-05 21:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ce5af…
09-05 21:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x208d36…
09-05 21:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa2f41…
09-05 02:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62618d…
08-28 04:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6729ce…
08-27 13:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33fcc2…
08-23 06:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x43c5e0…
08-21 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x729264…
08-19 16:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8dd156…
08-17 23:03:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 17?	No	BUY	565	100¢	$564	0x87dee3…
08-16 08:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0xc02558…
08-16 08:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x4f1311…
08-13 11:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 13?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xcdcf48…
08-13 09:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a37ca…
08-13 03:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83cdf3…
08-11 10:30:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b277f…
08-09 15:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb35a6d…
08-07 02:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9fcf0…
08-07 02:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0xb813e0…
08-02 17:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 2?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x79b297…
08-02 04:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 2?	No	BUY	562	100¢	$562	0xac3c86…
07-31 19:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x755094…
07-29 09:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?	No	BUY	559	100¢	$558	0x456592…
07-27 04:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x973641…
07-24 22:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x9d844d…
07-20 19:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x162fdd…
07-19 17:40:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb008a7…
07-13 17:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x2c155a…
07-13 17:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd05c3c…
07-13 06:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x52cba5…
07-10 07:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or higher on July 10?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xc0e346…
07-06 19:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 7?	No	BUY	558	100¢	$558	0x568805…
07-06 04:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x096910…
07-05 15:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 6?	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0xb15282…
07-05 00:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 5?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xe3c934…
07-03 11:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 3?	No	BUY	562	100¢	$561	0x719ec5…
07-02 14:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 2?	No	BUY	557	100¢	$557	0x1532e6…
07-01 18:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on July 1?	No	BUY	558	100¢	$557	0xb7cece…
06-30 16:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 1?	No	BUY	555	100¢	$554	0xa8bd69…
06-30 02:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 30?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x7049fc…
06-30 02:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 30?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$371	0xf2b9e4…
06-30 02:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68c710…
06-29 09:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 29?	No	BUY	312	100¢	$311	0xa24131…
06-28 23:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C on June 29?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x64c203…
06-28 22:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3de1cc…
06-28 19:20:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 28?	No	BUY	315	100¢	$315	0xebb9b6…
06-28 12:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xe9e041…
06-28 08:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 28?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xd5a726…
06-28 03:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 28?	No	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0xf84f1f…
06-27 22:02:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 27?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x696e36…
06-26 13:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 26?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xc18a70…
06-25 13:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 25?	No	BUY	555	100¢	$554	0xe2bf09…
06-24 12:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 25?	No	BUY	553	100¢	$552	0x182fae…
06-23 19:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 23?	No	BUY	555	100¢	$554	0xd9c68b…
06-22 23:24:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 22?	No	BUY	494	100¢	$493	0x883df2…
06-22 20:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 22?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xd31021…
06-21 19:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 21?	No	BUY	554	100¢	$553	0xaa6419…
06-21 10:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x4de9f5…
06-21 10:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x66c104…
06-21 10:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x925f0d…
06-21 04:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 21?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x09ddf0…
06-20 21:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on June 20?	No	BUY	278	100¢	$278	0x339675…
06-20 13:48:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x00876d…