Late-Cruelty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

283

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-27 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$4

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 14:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:24
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:46
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 11:47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 08:58
highest temperature in jakarta on april 24 2026 28corbelow	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 22:46
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 06:42
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 04:20
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:38
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:40
highest temperature in karachi on april 19 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 04:40
highest temperature in karachi on april 18 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:12
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:33
highest temperature in jakarta on april 17 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:48
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 70 71f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 02:11
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:32
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:15
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 04:10
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:52
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedd90c…
10-26 05:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06f168…
10-24 06:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02fe52…
10-22 09:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55eeb2…
10-20 04:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7fd6e…
10-19 07:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaee59e…
10-18 07:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x830204…
10-17 07:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb2a7c…
10-16 08:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e7037…
10-15 08:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec62f…
10-14 08:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8e002…
10-13 05:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2642f3…
10-12 07:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa7ebf…
10-11 03:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7ed87…
10-08 07:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b6a43…
10-07 09:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae668a…
10-06 07:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39a55a…
10-04 08:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a66f2…
10-03 04:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcecbc4…
10-02 07:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0e19a…
10-02 03:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3689d…
10-01 07:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a860b…
09-30 09:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x080064…
09-29 08:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2121fa…
09-28 08:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ca6de…
09-27 08:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84bbe6…
09-25 07:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51dcfa…
09-24 06:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3338e…
09-23 05:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7788c…
09-22 06:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x732957…
09-21 08:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x067339…
09-20 03:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f17f4…
09-19 07:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf4950…
09-18 01:13:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a779c…
09-17 03:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x278788…
09-16 08:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e436c…
09-15 23:37:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c145c…
09-15 02:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbba1d…
09-14 02:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09d076…
09-12 09:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad0df1…
09-11 06:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x223a0b…
09-10 01:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f8167…
09-09 01:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57606f…
09-08 01:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb32dc5…
09-07 01:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa91205…
09-06 01:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9f4d7…
09-05 09:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ad8bf…
09-04 08:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa54b9d…
09-03 07:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x356513…
09-01 01:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x810a56…
08-30 01:05:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x096579…
08-29 05:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0b67a…
08-28 02:03:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef8164…
08-27 01:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x252f37…
08-26 02:05:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b2505…
08-25 08:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2420a…
08-24 07:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92f655…
08-23 07:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1af7b2…
08-22 06:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b29b4…
08-21 02:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x464467…
08-20 08:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd8bef…
08-19 07:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x982f4e…
08-18 01:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x582dec…
08-17 06:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe023e4…
08-16 10:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5ebfd…
08-15 05:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0ca64…
08-14 06:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7cca2…
08-13 01:00:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82d9aa…
08-12 06:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fdc98…
08-11 00:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60646a…
08-10 00:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b0488…
08-09 01:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48269b…
08-08 07:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35ced8…
08-07 00:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26b3e3…
08-06 00:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x442887…
08-05 00:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe55c55…
08-04 03:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b4835…
08-03 01:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88923d…
08-02 00:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e58da…
08-01 00:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61c591…
07-31 07:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x695931…
07-30 00:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08ac3d…
07-29 01:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64979f…
07-28 00:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0549e0…
07-27 07:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf73fb8…
07-26 01:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe04b16…
07-25 00:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd19c42…
07-24 06:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6732e6…
07-23 01:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9fa18…
07-22 01:36:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5851bd…
07-20 23:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f7cce…
07-19 22:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa18f3f…
07-18 22:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb14d8c…
07-17 23:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb51515…
07-17 01:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98608e…
07-15 21:43:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c7adf…
07-15 05:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdb9e9…
07-14 06:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3932f2…
07-13 02:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc8efa…
07-12 01:36:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x41d89e…