Flimsy-Melody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

184

Trades

720

lifetime

Volume

$119.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-23 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% -$15,728

Other

1% 57% +$483

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	10-12 14:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	7	$10.0K	10,752	0	+10,752	Up	-$10,000	05-08 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$6.6K	10,103	0	+10,103	Up	+$3,140	05-08 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$5.8K	7,068	0	+7,068	Up	+$1,268	05-08 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.4K	3,627	0	+3,627	Down	+$227	06-19 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$3.1K	4,312	0	+4,312	Down	+$917	05-08 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 16:35 UTC	4	$3.1K	3,677	1,477	+2,200	Down	-$640	08-27 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 01:40 UTC	4	$2.5K	2,254	2,254	+0	Up	+$1,436	08-16 01:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:00 UTC	7	$2.2K	4,181	0	+4,181	Down	-$985	07-18 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:15 UTC	8	$2.2K	2,935	0	+2,935	Up	-$323	08-27 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	11	$2.1K	7,146	0	+7,146	Down	-$2,060	05-27 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:05 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,214	0	+2,214	Up	+$174	08-27 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:00 UTC	4	$2.0K	2,100	0	+2,100	Down	+$61	08-27 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:20 UTC	3	$2.0K	5,056	0	+5,056	Up	+$3,077	10-13 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	6	$1.9K	3,310	0	+3,310	Down	-$1,637	05-23 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 02:15 UTC	7	$1.9K	4,369	2,703	+1,667	Down	-$1,863	06-20 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:30 UTC	8	$1.8K	4,338	0	+4,338	Down	-$1,754	07-18 03:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 16:45 UTC	10	$1.7K	1,729	333	+1,396	Down	+$146	08-27 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	58	$1.7K	1,266	1,266	+0	Up	+$476	10-11 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:15 UTC	6	$1.6K	4,408	0	+4,408	Down	-$1,620	07-18 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:30 UTC	5	$1.6K	5,399	0	+5,399	Down	-$1,600	08-27 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 02:20 UTC	3	$1.6K	3,265	0	+3,265	Down	-$1,570	06-20 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$1.5K	3,788	0	+3,788	Down	-$1,520	05-27 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$1.5K	2,894	0	+2,894	Down	-$1,515	05-24 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	3	$1.5K	2,860	0	+2,860	Down	-$1,510	10-23 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 02:10 UTC	5	$1.4K	2,679	0	+2,679	Down	-$1,370	06-20 02:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 16:50 UTC	2	$1.4K	1,926	0	+1,926	Up	+$556	08-27 16:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	9	$1.3K	4,205	4,205	+0	Down	-$758	10-13 14:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 03:00 UTC	3	$1.3K	1,735	0	+1,735	Up	+$465	07-18 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:00 UTC	4	$1.2K	2,202	0	+2,202	Down	-$1,230	08-23 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:45 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,642	0	+1,642	Up	+$412	07-18 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xfc9894…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xfbc7ec…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf898c1…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf0b302…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xed53ec…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xe71bd6…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe07d21…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xd592d7…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd25261…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcb4f0a…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0xca903c…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xc26f08…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb7dc4d…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa8c93e…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa75f02…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x89a1cc…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x81394e…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7e652d…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7a3cb6…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x79a71c…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x74a6e3…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x707f6d…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x62869a…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x5f9687…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5ed7a3…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x4a9136…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x42a200…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2cdcb9…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x27990c…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x1ce84d…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x097cc9…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x029a4c…
10-23 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x00adbf…
10-23 07:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	523	39¢	$204	0x51c5fe…
10-23 07:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2,110	38¢	$796	0x4a81ce…
10-23 07:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x06ec00…
10-23 07:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x805e9f…
10-23 07:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x939e1c…
10-23 07:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd06b08…
10-23 07:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x77961e…
10-23 07:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,311	76¢	$1,000	0x317239…
10-23 07:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0x00ccab…
10-23 07:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0xb4f14e…
10-23 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x80c210…
10-23 07:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8749df…
10-23 07:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1f865b…
10-23 07:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x19547b…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xed5f2a…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0xe8b660…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xcf893b…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	120	96¢	$115	0xc604d3…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xc25520…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xac5ae8…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x73a8dc…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x57e06c…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x299223…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	107	96¢	$103	0x28693e…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x1d8aa2…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x12561b…
10-23 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x0e2421…
10-23 07:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xe69614…
10-23 07:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	410	49¢	$200	0x4805f8…
10-23 07:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x001d3f…
10-23 07:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe01779…
10-23 07:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x28d050…
10-23 07:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8ce295…
10-23 07:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x027824…
10-23 07:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x367f46…
10-23 07:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x148b66…
10-23 07:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xe1b4a3…
10-15 15:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x226411…
10-15 15:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	886	79¢	$700	0x813753…
10-15 15:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xc26d30…
10-15 15:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xc0bf73…
10-15 15:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xca75b8…
10-15 15:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xdff68d…
10-15 15:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa2d90f…
10-15 15:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb3fb9a…
10-15 15:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf98919…
10-15 15:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x0e0bbb…
10-15 15:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x737dc1…
10-15 15:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	352	99¢	$348	0x4c19c9…
10-15 15:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x5d9b0b…
10-15 15:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x7ba441…
10-15 15:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xa2687b…
10-15 15:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	175	63¢	$110	0x0ca412…
10-13 14:20:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	284	28¢	$80	0x3d6142…
10-13 14:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,881	38¢	$724	0x45ffa8…
10-13 14:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2,891	41¢	$1,176	0x3205a2…
10-13 14:18:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	888	10¢	$85	0xbb33da…
10-13 14:18:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1,568	7¢	$103	0x33c9ca…
10-13 14:18:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1,749	5¢	$84	0x10c877…
10-13 14:17:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x548fbf…
10-13 14:15:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x1b4921…
10-13 14:15:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,971	22¢	$443	0x93a628…
10-13 14:15:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	656	24¢	$157	0x8c6d13…
10-13 14:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	628	32¢	$200	0x8967c1…
10-13 14:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	741	27¢	$200	0x9c1ee8…
10-13 14:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x857508…
10-13 14:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	782	51¢	$400	0x8c797c…