Knowledgeable-Carload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$7.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-29 16:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-4

Politics

32% 0% $-5

Tech

7% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$319	214	214	+0	open	—	05-14 10:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$285	208	208	+0	open	—	05-06 22:19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$280	210	210	+0	open	—	05-05 13:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$189	371	371	+0	open	—	05-07 07:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$160	262	262	+0	open	—	04-29 15:14
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$146	109	109	+0	Yes	$-1	05-03 20:43
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	16	$132	183	183	+0	open	—	04-25 14:55
will ty simpson be drafted in the 1st round of the 2026 pro football draft 713	8	$130	96	96	+0	open	—	04-23 06:25
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$128	77	77	+0	No	$-1	05-07 11:22
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	12	$126	127	127	+0	open	—	04-24 15:51
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	9	$119	113	113	+0	open	—	06-23 17:43
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	4	$93	72	72	+0	open	—	06-02 23:06
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	8	$92	110	110	+0	open	—	04-23 03:17
pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	4	$91	55	55	+0	open	—	06-17 06:31
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	2	$88	52	52	+0	open	—	06-11 21:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$87	105	105	+0	open	—	05-06 11:39
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	5	$83	49	64	-14	open	—	05-31 15:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$82	108	108	+0	open	—	04-28 18:44
will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	4	$81	58	58	+0	open	—	06-12 09:20
will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	6	$81	100	100	+0	open	—	06-16 04:39
will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	6	$80	79	79	+0	open	—	04-22 16:36
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	2	$78	45	45	+0	open	—	05-20 11:24
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	4	$77	49	49	+0	open	—	05-23 06:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	6	$76	105	105	+0	open	—	06-12 06:40
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$74	52	52	+0	open	—	06-23 18:25
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$71	117	117	+0	open	—	04-28 21:42
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	2	$71	52	52	+0	open	—	05-21 12:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	2	$70	53	53	+0	open	—	06-02 16:36
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	4	$70	42	42	+0	open	—	05-26 22:54
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	6	$68	42	51	-9	open	—	05-26 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:48:31	will cap dip to 0pt02 before 2027	No	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0xfd97aa…
06-29 15:35:29	will cap dip to 0pt02 before 2027	No	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x36c4e0…
06-29 14:42:11	will cap dip to 0pt02 before 2027	No	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0xfcb569…
06-29 13:53:25	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0xe375f7…
06-29 13:52:41	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0xd8f4d5…
06-29 13:49:47	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xa7e180…
06-29 13:42:10	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x3e7694…
06-29 12:35:05	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xd7538b…
06-29 12:34:58	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xdf7ac4…
06-29 05:12:22	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	37	38¢	$14	0xf8ac26…
06-29 05:12:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0xc37f50…
06-28 10:44:47	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	38	25¢	$10	0x94c50c…
06-28 10:38:10	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0x9d6b7c…
06-27 18:07:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	52	8¢	$4	0xeb64e4…
06-27 17:55:37	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x90f045…
06-27 12:18:31	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0xd714f7…
06-27 12:18:04	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xb7504b…
06-27 04:41:50	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x6a85b6…
06-27 04:41:17	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x779b8f…
06-27 00:45:52	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x7ae03e…
06-27 00:45:49	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x118bef…
06-27 00:45:02	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe3cc0c…
06-27 00:45:02	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x273082…
06-26 13:29:55	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0x4e2ae7…
06-26 13:26:40	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x531334…
06-26 11:52:44	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x482952…
06-26 11:49:29	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8a8546…
06-26 11:28:28	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	52	25¢	$13	0x15c2c9…
06-26 11:19:43	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0x4215c2…
06-26 04:22:47	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	No	SELL	37	78¢	$29	0x4be1f3…
06-26 04:16:14	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	No	BUY	37	83¢	$30	0x45dff5…
06-26 00:42:10	will the announcers say messi during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523361	No	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0x75f9bd…
06-26 00:41:10	will the announcers say messi during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523361	No	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xc83e44…
06-25 07:37:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0xe73d5f…
06-25 07:37:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x063402…
06-25 01:37:32	will russia enter pokrovskoe by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xb10859…
06-25 01:07:10	will russia enter pokrovskoe by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x52f37b…
06-25 00:28:32	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x00424c…
06-25 00:28:22	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x209d88…
06-24 09:32:47	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0x34845e…
06-24 09:19:14	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x616ce1…
06-24 09:03:02	will the announcers say ronaldo during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809465	Yes	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0xd63efd…
06-24 08:34:01	will the announcers say ronaldo during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809465	Yes	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x50540c…
06-24 06:56:50	will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x431f63…
06-24 06:41:50	will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0xdfa030…
06-24 02:46:34	will the announcers say assist during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415029	Yes	SELL	26	75¢	$19	0xa00f6b…
06-24 00:59:58	will the announcers say assist during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415029	Yes	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x212132…
06-23 18:25:29	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	64¢	$33	0x460cd2…
06-23 18:12:50	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0x8ba184…
06-23 17:43:47	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xb3a206…
06-23 17:42:59	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	61¢	$25	0x7499fb…
06-23 17:42:55	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	62¢	$26	0x5f7c65…
06-23 13:45:19	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0x8771d1…
06-23 13:45:01	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0xfc974e…
06-23 05:42:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xa56570…
06-23 05:39:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x0e16ab…
06-23 05:33:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	38	30¢	$11	0xd6270d…
06-22 12:40:23	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0x68e29c…
06-22 12:27:37	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x44676a…
06-22 00:27:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	31	86¢	$26	0x6eb197…
06-22 00:27:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	31	86¢	$26	0x9c352c…
06-21 18:02:56	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0x0a4396…
06-21 18:02:05	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xbaac4e…
06-21 16:43:49	will falcons make a roster change before august 20260610174825288	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xc04bd2…
06-21 15:50:20	will falcons make a roster change before august 20260610174825288	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xa326cc…
06-21 15:49:26	will falcons make a roster change before august 20260610174825288	Yes	BUY	34	21¢	$7	0xf3ca15…
06-21 09:06:04	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x541e27…
06-21 09:05:38	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x01edd2…
06-20 07:37:50	will axiom launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	53	31¢	$16	0x9935b2…
06-20 07:11:37	will axiom launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x551ebb…
06-20 05:40:55	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	59¢	$21	0xaaa6e5…
06-20 05:27:20	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	61¢	$21	0xf38429…
06-20 00:39:16	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	9	69¢	$7	0xf47d3f…
06-20 00:39:11	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x45e324…
06-20 00:38:56	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x039406…
06-20 00:38:37	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$7	0xd84763…
06-20 00:27:28	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0xbb0d29…
06-20 00:27:19	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x3378c0…
06-20 00:21:52	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0xe71dcd…
06-19 18:54:16	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0x419c70…
06-19 18:53:56	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x819a0b…
06-19 05:55:11	ukraine agrees not to join nato by august 31 20260619004335094	Yes	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0x5b9a55…
06-19 05:37:58	ukraine agrees not to join nato by august 31 20260619004335094	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xb22901…
06-19 05:15:44	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	SELL	26	25¢	$7	0x8d9c5b…
06-19 04:39:20	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	26	25¢	$7	0x09c592…
06-18 21:10:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	37	42¢	$16	0xd1695d…
06-18 21:10:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	37	43¢	$16	0x691bf3…
06-18 11:58:52	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x11d954…
06-18 11:46:50	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0x26bc5a…
06-17 23:39:07	will the announcers say what a save during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316347	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x1ea718…
06-17 23:38:38	will the announcers say what a save during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316347	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xb0c7a0…
06-17 23:34:04	will the announcers say what a save during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316347	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xf29494…
06-17 20:36:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xde069b…
06-17 20:35:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x140677…
06-17 07:05:28	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0xab2e36…
06-17 07:05:20	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	No	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xa4857d…
06-17 06:31:34	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x29da21…
06-17 06:31:14	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xa33c83…
06-17 06:27:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xb2168d…
06-17 06:27:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1465c5…