Unusual-Runaway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$2.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-29 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% +$27

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$97	66	66	+0	Up	+$31	05-31 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$96	65	65	+0	Up	+$30	05-31 02:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$95	64	64	+0	Up	+$29	05-31 02:56
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$95	63	63	+0	Down	+$29	05-31 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$94	67	67	+0	Up	+$34	05-30 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$88	59	59	+0	Up	+$28	05-31 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$82	63	53	+10	Up	+$32	05-31 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$78	53	53	+0	Up	+$28	05-31 03:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$77	54	54	+0	Up	+$11	05-31 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$74	49	49	+0	Up	+$24	05-31 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$74	49	49	+0	Up	+$24	05-31 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$74	49	49	+0	Up	+$24	05-30 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$73	50	50	+0	Down	+$23	05-31 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$72	49	49	+0	Up	+$22	05-30 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$70	50	50	+0	Up	+$20	05-30 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	9	$42	100	0	+100	Up	-$42	05-31 01:46
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$36	124	0	+124	Down	-$36	05-30 15:22
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$35	108	0	+108	Up	-$35	05-30 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$33	66	0	+66	Down	+$33	05-31 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$33	65	0	+65	Down	-$33	05-31 03:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$33	65	0	+65	Down	-$33	05-31 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$32	68	0	+68	Down	+$36	05-31 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$30	67	0	+67	Up	-$30	05-31 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$30	60	0	+60	Down	+$30	05-31 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$30	74	0	+74	Down	-$30	05-30 17:06
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$30	67	0	+67	Down	-$30	05-30 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Down	-$25	05-30 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$25	05-31 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	-$25	05-30 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	-$25	05-31 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:13:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xde3d60…
10-29 10:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x790c0d…
09-04 09:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe2e0cb…
09-04 09:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdd5c18…
09-04 08:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xfe143e…
09-04 08:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xe770b0…
09-04 08:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xe15512…
09-04 08:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x5a1077…
06-06 08:16:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x7ccd9c…
05-31 03:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x22b02a…
05-31 03:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0x2142c0…
05-31 03:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xdb2edb…
05-31 03:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8b7fb8…
05-31 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xe50ba5…
05-31 03:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x071eab…
05-31 03:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x03b6b6…
05-31 03:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xd3af8d…
05-31 02:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x11a9d4…
05-31 02:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x6ce8e5…
05-31 02:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x366850…
05-31 02:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xf31b72…
05-31 02:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x90f3d5…
05-31 02:56:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc7bd46…
05-31 02:56:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x37f7e9…
05-31 02:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x5e8411…
05-31 02:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf17419…
05-31 02:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb9eed9…
05-31 02:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x3843b6…
05-31 02:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	52¢	$33	0x42af6c…
05-31 02:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xfa299d…
05-31 02:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe0a0d0…
05-31 02:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfa936f…
05-31 02:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x25c75f…
05-31 02:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x0d4ad4…
05-31 02:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0xb9b32e…
05-31 02:46:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	66	50¢	$33	0x93184f…
05-31 02:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0xc60a4b…
05-31 02:43:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	54	82¢	$44	0x0effb2…
05-31 02:42:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	61¢	$33	0xfd788e…
05-31 02:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xcc7a65…
05-31 02:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x89b230…
05-31 02:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xc9f3dc…
05-31 02:34:22	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0xd7cf08…
05-31 02:29:34	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	63	53¢	$33	0x07b1fb…
05-31 02:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	66	50¢	$33	0x85ca9e…
05-31 02:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x5cfe99…
05-31 02:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5b3c10…
05-31 02:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xb46eec…
05-31 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xfe1710…
05-31 01:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x903da4…
05-31 01:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xdf7f90…
05-31 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xa9ba87…
05-31 01:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xccfa0d…
05-31 01:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb3ddc5…
05-31 01:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xfab5b1…
05-31 01:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc8ab2c…
05-31 01:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xa287b2…
05-31 01:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa0c138…
05-31 01:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x86cec3…
05-31 01:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x44b65e…
05-31 01:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x22376c…
05-31 01:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x40ff1e…
05-31 01:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5d09a2…
05-31 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xc8cc4a…
05-31 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb0b872…
05-31 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x9bc0a2…
05-31 01:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x60d211…
05-31 01:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa00612…
05-31 01:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x60ad80…
05-31 01:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xfcd470…
05-30 17:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa6f5ea…
05-30 17:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x12fcb5…
05-30 17:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xeb56ad…
05-30 17:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x9506b8…
05-30 17:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x826cd8…
05-30 17:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x73d236…
05-30 17:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcaf0e1…
05-30 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xfd27e0…
05-30 16:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x4a9af8…
05-30 16:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xbe4873…
05-30 16:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x793645…
05-30 16:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xe7ee36…
05-30 16:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x039c5c…
05-30 16:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6cea49…
05-30 16:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc9da83…
05-30 16:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xa9cf52…
05-30 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0xb5e5e5…
05-30 16:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xfc1df1…
05-30 16:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc66567…
05-30 15:22:19	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x4d1694…
05-30 15:19:10	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	63	53¢	$33	0xab6433…
05-30 15:16:01	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa497a8…
05-30 15:14:21	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x637b95…
05-30 15:13:55	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x918d01…
05-30 15:13:55	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x11d552…
05-30 15:12:13	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x02d114…
05-30 15:08:22	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0x2fb872…
05-30 15:04:07	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xdd2240…
05-30 14:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x127414…
05-22 08:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd793f3…