Gregarious-Childhood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$227

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 09-19 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

42% 57% +$429

Crypto

23% 81% -$103

Politics

21% 56% -$549

Sports

14% 75% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will venstre win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$597	866	+866	Yes	-$597	03-20 08:43
will the super bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds 582	1	$291	299	+299	No	+$8	02-05 19:17
will trump say low energy in march	1	$286	318	+318	No	+$32	03-28 09:36
will the centrist reform alliance be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 japanese snap election	1	$284	295	+295	No	+$11	02-05 18:23
spl riy sha 2026 04 05 total 4pt5	1	$267	334	+334	Under	+$67	04-02 17:26
will how to get to heaven from belfast be the top us netflix show this week	1	$266	273	+273	No	+$7	02-14 17:22
mls dcu phi 2026 02 21 spread home 2pt5	1	$265	289	+289	Philadelphia Union	+$24	02-20 13:40
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating womens mass start ramona hardi sui	1	$234	241	+241	No	+$6	02-20 08:26
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 4 be between 50 and 60	1	$233	240	+240	No	+$7	02-04 18:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 13	1	$228	236	+236	No	+$8	02-10 05:30
scop stm ran 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	1	$225	285	+285	Under	+$60	03-11 06:00
bra cre flu 2026 03 12 cre	1	$225	304	+304	No	+$79	03-09 02:45
2026 att pebble beach pro am winner keegan bradley win	1	$206	210	+210	No	+$4	02-14 14:19
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 8	2	$200	212	+212	No	+$13	03-04 09:34
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on february 17	1	$176	181	+181	No	+$5	02-13 15:34
nba sas mil 2026 03 28	1	$164	631	+631	Spurs	-$164	03-24 01:18
msft above 450 on february 20 2026	2	$162	320	+320	No	+$0	02-18 10:50
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on february 20	1	$158	162	+162	No	+$4	02-18 07:16
ethereum above 2300 on february 6	1	$143	339	+339	No	-$143	02-03 22:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 12	1	$137	144	+144	No	+$7	02-10 04:16
solana above 150 on february 10	1	$133	134	+134	No	+$1	02-06 12:15
msft above 440 on february 13 2026	1	$128	133	+133	No	+$5	02-12 10:15
will perplexity run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$123	145	+145	No	+$22	02-04 16:12
will janus metz andor win best director for a dramatic series at the 78th dga awards	1	$120	127	+127	No	+$7	02-05 19:57
nflx above 70 on february 13 2026	1	$119	124	+124	Yes	+$6	02-12 02:45
solana above 50 on february 11	1	$118	121	+121	Yes	+$3	02-08 03:04
will sentimental value win best film at the 2026 bafta awards	1	$115	116	+116	No	+$2	02-20 06:52
will kpop demon hunters be the 2 us netflix movie this week february 10	1	$112	117	+117	No	+$5	02-08 00:39
craus wes tas 2026 02 05 match to day 3	1	$112	114	+114	Yes	+$2	02-09 02:37
will john cowan win the ga 14 special election	1	$109	112	+112	No	+$2	02-12 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 16:01:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x44b49c…
09-19 16:01:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 20?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc97549…
09-19 16:01:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 20?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4020cb…
09-14 20:22:19	ethereum above 3000 on september 20 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xbf1ae0…
09-14 07:48:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x0bb494…
08-27 08:04:37	will ethereum reach 2800 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xa69c7d…
07-30 00:09:38	ethereum above 1700 on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe80c11…
07-28 19:44:19	ethereum above 1700 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x4e57b6…
07-01 11:51:50	will ethereum dip to 1200 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xdaa3f4…
06-28 01:06:46	bitcoin above 56k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc1c747…
06-02 10:49:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xea0e8d…
06-02 07:51:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xedd71c…
06-02 06:53:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x598337…
05-28 08:33:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xb1e713…
04-04 08:10:23	will homicide new york season 2 be the 2 global netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	126	2¢	$2	0x35f445…
04-03 13:50:27	isp che kas 2026 04 07 kas	Yes	BUY	301	25¢	$75	0x214c75…
04-02 17:26:09	spl riy sha 2026 04 05 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	334	80¢	$267	0x8610b2…
03-28 09:36:09	will trump say low energy in march	No	BUY	318	90¢	$286	0x084d3c…
03-27 09:39:25	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	Yes	BUY	116	87¢	$101	0xe694e9…
03-26 07:21:45	j2100 iwa alb 2026 03 29 alb	Yes	BUY	135	5¢	$6	0xfdc2ff…
03-25 06:56:51	j2100 roa fuk 2026 03 29 fuk	Yes	BUY	362	9¢	$33	0x2566cd…
03-24 01:18:37	nba sas mil 2026 03 28	Bucks	BUY	631	26¢	$164	0x881c10…
03-22 07:24:19	will tsla close between 360 and 365 week march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	338	15¢	$51	0x9647bd…
03-20 08:43:35	will venstre win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	866	69¢	$597	0x117cc0…
03-20 05:07:25	sea cag nap 2026 03 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	115	8¢	$9	0x0b4dc3…
03-19 23:47:15	bl2 boc ksv 2026 03 22 spread away 1pt5	Holstein Kiel	BUY	602	14¢	$84	0x9da1f6…
03-19 19:55:55	sea cag nap 2026 03 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x80f8b0…
03-19 04:09:19	sea cag nap 2026 03 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	217	8¢	$17	0x650540…
03-16 13:23:27	aus auc mac 2026 03 20 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	339	23¢	$78	0xedb21e…
03-14 13:48:37	highest temperature in seattle on march 18 2026 60 61f	Yes	BUY	633	13¢	$82	0x289086…
03-11 06:00:53	scop stm ran 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	285	79¢	$225	0x533073…
03-09 02:45:45	bra cre flu 2026 03 12 cre	No	BUY	304	74¢	$225	0x1f721f…
03-04 09:34:59	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 8	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x22212d…
03-03 07:53:51	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 8	No	BUY	212	94¢	$199	0x58f6c1…
03-02 12:35:43	epl mac not 2026 03 04 spread away 1pt5	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	162	6¢	$10	0x8c54db…
02-20 19:25:12	2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens mass start ethan cepuran usa	No	BUY	112	95¢	$106	0x281b67…
02-20 14:49:52	col1 atn alf 2026 02 21 alf	Yes	BUY	245	10¢	$24	0xcff187…
02-20 13:40:08	mls dcu phi 2026 02 21 spread home 2pt5	Philadelphia Union	BUY	289	92¢	$265	0x0c35d3…
02-20 08:26:44	2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating womens mass start ramona hardi sui	No	BUY	241	97¢	$234	0x51fd17…
02-20 06:52:44	will sentimental value win best film at the 2026 bafta awards	No	BUY	116	98¢	$115	0x188b57…
02-19 14:13:10	will slovakia win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	166	2¢	$3	0xe41a39…
02-18 19:15:52	bitcoin above 64k on february 19	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x4df11a…
02-18 10:50:38	msft above 450 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	158	4¢	$6	0x17e7a9…
02-18 07:16:14	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on february 20	No	BUY	162	97¢	$158	0x6b4c50…
02-18 05:15:14	msft above 450 on february 20 2026	No	BUY	163	96¢	$157	0x61797a…
02-16 02:39:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 17	Yes	BUY	209	2¢	$4	0x722694…
02-15 22:50:25	will rob ruszkowski win the ga 14 special election	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x60a31d…
02-14 17:22:09	will how to get to heaven from belfast be the top us netflix show this week	No	BUY	273	97¢	$266	0x3acaaf…
02-14 16:40:15	por spo fam 2026 02 15 spread away 2pt5	FC Famalicão	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0xa8e3b4…
02-14 14:19:13	2026 att pebble beach pro am winner keegan bradley win	No	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0x77e9fd…
02-13 15:34:49	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on february 17	No	BUY	181	97¢	$176	0x3c0ca5…
02-13 13:02:03	will scottie barnes win the 2026 nba all star game mvp 856	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0xd030ef…
02-13 09:34:45	will martin momtahan win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0xe0b609…
02-13 04:28:23	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 540 559	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$2	0x530b72…
02-12 14:41:47	xrp above 1 on february 15	No	BUY	131	2¢	$2	0x86d8a5…
02-12 10:15:33	msft above 440 on february 13 2026	No	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0x4b4529…
02-12 02:45:55	nflx above 70 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	124	95¢	$119	0x5bdc91…
02-12 01:01:31	will john cowan win the ga 14 special election	No	BUY	112	98¢	$109	0x5157b0…
02-11 20:45:51	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 13	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$4	0x3cf8e1…
02-10 09:38:27	solana above 60 on february 12	Yes	BUY	108	96¢	$104	0x2b58fb…
02-10 05:30:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 13	No	BUY	236	96¢	$228	0x7b1ada…
02-10 04:16:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 12	No	BUY	144	95¢	$137	0xa2e327…
02-09 02:37:27	craus wes tas 2026 02 05 match to day 3	Yes	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0xef0f1b…
02-08 07:02:51	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 9 be between 1600000 and 1700000	Yes	BUY	214	2¢	$4	0xe5b284…
02-08 03:04:31	solana above 50 on february 11	Yes	BUY	121	97¢	$118	0xfadf39…
02-08 00:39:47	will kpop demon hunters be the 2 us netflix movie this week february 10	No	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0x4c9264…
02-06 12:15:59	solana above 150 on february 10	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x9b5432…
02-05 19:57:31	will janus metz andor win best director for a dramatic series at the 78th dga awards	No	BUY	127	95¢	$120	0x5ff7e5…
02-05 19:17:59	will the super bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds 582	No	BUY	299	97¢	$291	0x51b1f9…
02-05 18:23:03	will the centrist reform alliance be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 japanese snap election	No	BUY	295	96¢	$284	0x5dca4b…
02-05 14:37:43	will joe thuney win the nfl protector of the year	Yes	BUY	130	10¢	$13	0x843cde…
02-05 07:40:07	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0x65a75d…
02-04 22:36:31	will reiwa shinsengumi be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 japanese snap election	Yes	BUY	201	4¢	$7	0x30db7d…
02-04 18:07:37	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 4 be between 50 and 60	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x582cd2…
02-04 16:12:39	will perplexity run an ad during super bowl lx	No	BUY	145	85¢	$123	0xdf7fc6…
02-03 22:06:28	ethereum above 2300 on february 6	Yes	BUY	339	42¢	$143	0x3413b8…