Orange-Cymbal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.3%

Resolved

486

Trades

2,868

lifetime

Volume

$140.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 08-30 04:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

61% 27% -$3,446

Sports

27% 31% -$352

Politics

9% 29% -$153

Tech

2% 14% -$44

Crypto

1% 20% -$3

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba hou lal 2026 04 18 total 207pt5	21	$5.5K	4,400	4,400	+0	Under	+$28	04-19 02:48
nba hou lal 2026 04 18 spread away 5pt5	26	$5.4K	3,210	3,210	+0	Lakers	+$41	04-19 02:48
spy up or down on april 13 2026	6	$3.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	Up	$0	04-12 02:11
qqq up or down on april 13 2026	17	$3.2K	3,537	3,537	+0	Up	-$32	04-12 04:10
dota2 mouz ngx 2026 04 11	13	$2.9K	2,236	2,359	-123	Nigma Galaxy	-$78	04-11 11:20
nba mem uta 2026 04 10 spread home 4pt5	22	$2.8K	1,786	2,786	-1,000	Jazz	-$92	04-11 02:49
nhl wpg las 2026 04 13	5	$2.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	Golden Knights	-$60	04-14 02:43
epl sun tot 2026 04 12 draw	5	$2.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$120	04-12 14:20
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	36	$2.2K	2,200	2,200	+0	Lakers	+$7	04-25 02:23
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15 total 220pt5	2	$2.2K	2,000	1,973	+27	Over	+$2	04-16 03:36
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	36	$2.1K	2,049	2,744	-695	NIP	-$127	04-25 14:22
dota2 aur1 sar1 2026 04 18	22	$2.1K	7,168	6,706	+462	Aurora	+$279	04-18 12:26
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	-$1	04-01 14:05
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2.0K	998	998	+0	Yes	-$1	03-30 14:00
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10 spread away 11pt5	23	$2.0K	2,012	2,022	-10	Kings	-$20	04-11 03:13
epl sun tot 2026 04 12 sun	2	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$720	04-12 14:21
cs2 red9 m8 2026 04 14	6	$1.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	RED Canids	-$11	04-14 13:55
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	11	$1.8K	1,624	1,624	+0	Timberwolves	$0	05-01 02:58
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by between 20% and 25%?	21	$1.6K	948	900	+48	Yes	+$68	04-21 12:16
val pr1 ge1 2026 04 24	39	$1.6K	2,140	2,140	+0	Paper Rex	+$12	04-24 11:58
dota2 l1ga gl 2026 04 10	21	$1.5K	1,657	1,657	+0	GamerLegion	-$21	04-10 14:03
mlb nyy tb 2026 04 12	9	$1.3K	1,579	1,579	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	-$14	04-12 02:54
lol ig1 blg 2026 04 18	31	$1.3K	5,057	4,921	+137	Bilibili Gaming	+$298	04-18 10:37
Will Google reach $400 in April?	10	$1.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	No	+$5	04-28 14:26
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by between 35% and 40%?	14	$1.3K	1,399	600	+799	No	-$40	04-17 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	5	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	-$9	04-28 14:19
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	9	$1.2K	600	600	+0	76ers	-$1	04-28 13:52
lib pen cp 2026 04 16 draw	3	$1.2K	833	833	+0	No	+$0	04-17 01:32
nhl las col 2026 04 11	23	$1.1K	1,034	1,034	+0	Golden Knights	+$7	04-12 02:26
nba phx lal 2026 04 10 spread away 2pt5	4	$1.1K	682	687	-5	Lakers	-$4	04-11 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 04:43:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x7ac9ca…
08-30 04:34:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x5ad27e…
07-05 09:29:47	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,000	3¢	$62	0x9d139b…
07-05 09:27:44	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$64	0xa3f92e…
06-06 10:07:58	will gamerlegion qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	254	49¢	$125	0x55a3f3…
06-06 10:07:27	will betboom qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	300	51¢	$153	0x492f27…
06-06 01:58:43	will gamerlegion qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	532	51¢	$273	0x9f6a7e…
06-06 01:58:16	will betboom qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	420	53¢	$223	0x4d7bef…
05-28 11:43:44	Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Just Players	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x4a686c…
05-28 11:35:46	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x50dcfd…
05-28 11:35:25	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	463	88¢	$407	0x1680c8…
05-20 12:29:07	Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	644	15¢	$97	0x0bb241…
05-20 12:23:54	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	463	34¢	$158	0x1d1995…
05-19 13:40:55	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0x51dec2…
05-19 13:39:57	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	120	91¢	$109	0xb2832c…
05-19 13:37:07	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	120	94¢	$112	0xfdf990…
05-19 13:36:53	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x4f77b5…
05-19 13:32:38	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	No	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0xbb6247…
05-19 13:31:43	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xc2687b…
05-19 13:31:43	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	No	SELL	57	65¢	$37	0x73b3b2…
05-19 13:31:43	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	No	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x014b36…
05-19 13:29:01	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x0470ae…
05-19 13:28:05	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	120	6¢	$7	0xcf588a…
05-19 13:27:24	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x897838…
05-19 13:26:11	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0xc6570d…
05-19 13:23:14	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x7a1b5f…
05-19 13:22:27	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	91	10¢	$9	0xbac3dd…
05-19 13:22:20	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xe5ddf1…
05-19 13:14:01	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x96e392…
05-19 13:12:46	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	47	33¢	$16	0x7e5bf5…
05-19 13:12:35	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xba40c3…
05-19 13:11:31	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?	No	SELL	48	70¢	$33	0xa744e5…
05-19 13:07:33	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?	No	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0xfc3be5…
05-19 12:49:12	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x327c8d…
05-19 12:45:24	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xd5c3fb…
05-19 12:32:57	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 350.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x347626…
05-19 12:32:40	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x7d6e99…
05-19 12:32:08	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x980ff2…
05-19 12:31:38	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x4d9f6c…
05-19 12:31:26	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 350.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x458ab9…
05-19 12:22:38	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x5bdbc8…
05-19 12:21:56	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xd1a965…
05-19 12:17:24	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x607baf…
05-19 12:15:52	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xf2d8f7…
05-19 12:14:12	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xe412ae…
05-19 12:08:39	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	91	10¢	$9	0xd39f21…
05-19 11:56:59	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x070d8a…
05-19 11:56:38	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xa6849a…
05-19 11:56:33	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0xd97ef1…
05-19 11:56:24	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xb2b56e…
05-19 11:56:19	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0x8dc9a8…
05-19 11:56:14	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	173	5¢	$8	0x552f27…
05-19 11:56:09	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	51	93¢	$48	0xc7ab0f…
05-19 11:56:02	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?	No	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0xe27ab7…
05-19 11:55:58	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	120	94¢	$112	0x496e35…
05-19 11:55:51	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	140	93¢	$131	0x131055…
05-19 10:23:22	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5e59e4…
05-19 10:20:50	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x277405…
05-19 10:20:18	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x865663…
05-19 10:18:02	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x913f9b…
05-19 10:14:21	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0xf9df5f…
05-19 10:13:37	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xf38c12…
05-19 08:52:59	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0xc19eca…
05-19 08:10:18	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x07a50b…
05-19 08:01:19	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	140	93¢	$131	0xc67d12…
05-19 08:01:14	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x3e1841…
05-19 08:01:09	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0xa1996b…
05-19 07:31:52	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5c1dfb…
05-19 07:04:46	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x5a52d7…
05-19 06:55:24	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xfec45b…
05-19 06:54:21	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x3ef5d9…
05-19 06:49:41	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6088e7…
05-19 06:45:50	Will Mike Thurmond finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xc8b5a2…
05-19 06:45:07	Will Mike Thurmond finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf9e55b…
05-19 06:37:09	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x0d795a…
05-19 06:37:02	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	120	6¢	$7	0x990939…
05-19 06:33:56	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfa7b76…
05-19 06:09:09	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$8	0x409a95…
05-19 05:30:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x5803b2…
05-19 05:30:46	Will Burt Jones finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x7882a4…
05-19 05:29:10	Will Burt Jones finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3132d2…
05-19 05:25:54	Will Burt Jones finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x429765…
05-19 05:24:19	Will Burt Jones finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x95032d…
05-19 05:24:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0x8e5457…
05-19 05:22:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x10d942…
05-18 13:24:13	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x30f45d…
05-18 13:23:10	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x7a795a…
05-18 13:22:47	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x9e60f5…
05-18 13:22:10	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x2670b0…
05-18 12:37:57	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	308	44¢	$136	0xdbae43…
05-18 12:17:27	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xa325ce…
05-18 12:17:25	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	112	49¢	$55	0x8e07fe…
05-18 12:17:13	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	158	49¢	$77	0x5b6b07…
05-18 12:14:48	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	247	51¢	$126	0xf44f35…
05-18 12:14:13	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xff7853…
05-18 12:14:13	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x212620…
05-18 12:05:14	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	260	51¢	$133	0xaf827b…
05-18 12:04:30	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	556	52¢	$289	0xfd7d1e…
05-18 12:04:19	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xee7bd6…
05-17 02:28:28	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x9c7447…