Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$390

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

629

Trades

1,463

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 04-07 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 29% -$1,142

Politics

29% 33% +$604

Other

11% 52% +$148

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$402	337	337	+0	Yes	+$270	03-01 07:12
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	8	$360	787	810	-23	No	+$136	03-01 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 01:10 UTC	2	$345	174	174	+0	Down	+$0	03-23 01:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:45 UTC	2	$332	169	169	+0	Up	+$3	03-23 03:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$325	311	311	+0	No	+$84	03-11 03:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	5	$256	164	164	+0	No	+$56	03-09 15:38
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$231	199	199	+0	No	+$18	03-01 21:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	24	$230	994	763	+231	No	-$34	03-01 19:18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$208	241	241	+0	Yes	+$6	02-27 06:30
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	6	$204	465	465	+0	No	-$102	03-27 23:34
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$199	118	118	+0	Yes	-$8	03-08 03:10
will marco rubio visit israel by march 2	6	$170	600	0	+600	No	+$430	02-27 18:37
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 01:00 UTC	6	$163	213	212	+0	Down	+$135	03-23 01:04
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$158	562	383	+179	Yes	-$48	03-04 04:23
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$150	103	103	+0	Yes	+$50	03-06 07:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	16	$148	255	255	+0	Yes	-$53	03-08 21:19
will france strike iran by march 31	11	$129	366	297	+69	No	-$35	03-04 05:14
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	2	$125	124	124	+0	No	$0	03-04 22:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:15 UTC	4	$123	123	121	+2	Up	-$6	03-27 11:18
us strikes iraq by february 28	2	$120	100	100	+0	Yes	+$80	03-04 23:45
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	7	$117	753	753	+0	No	-$27	03-08 10:15
bitcoin above 62k on march 10	13	$112	1,092	1,092	+0	Yes	+$22	03-08 06:56
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$109	103	103	+0	Yes	+$97	03-01 10:48
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	2	$104	135	135	+0	No	+$28	03-05 08:43
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	6	$93	263	263	+0	No	+$7	03-06 01:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 01:45 UTC	3	$89	223	88	+136	Down	+$20	03-23 01:48
will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	2	$87	643	643	+0	No	-$79	03-27 09:38
will iran strike lebanon in march	3	$86	76	76	+0	Yes	+$1	03-23 00:59
us strikes iraq by march 7	4	$85	55	55	+0	Yes	-$2	03-02 06:17
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	5	$81	59	59	+0	No	+$21	03-06 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-07 22:56:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x448567…
04-07 22:51:13	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x225a25…
04-07 22:49:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x75afd8…
04-07 22:48:31	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	103	15¢	$15	0x3e87be…
04-06 03:43:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-06 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x0b9ccd…
04-06 03:43:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-06 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0f2e68…
04-06 03:41:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xdca697…
04-06 03:40:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x4a9529…
04-06 03:38:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdaf1ff…
04-06 03:38:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0175af…
04-06 03:35:37	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xcd5471…
04-06 03:35:35	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2dc241…
04-06 03:34:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	SELL	379	4¢	$14	0x094fc2…
04-06 03:33:13	solana up or down april 5 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xbc30b8…
04-06 03:26:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xeba693…
04-06 03:25:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x7db50d…
04-06 03:24:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x872a1c…
04-06 03:24:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1f0f59…
04-06 03:23:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xda5ae3…
04-06 03:23:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcaed8c…
04-06 03:22:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:20 UTC	Down	SELL	73	6¢	$4	0x2ce3a1…
04-06 03:21:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4879d2…
04-06 03:21:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xbbcd6e…
04-06 03:21:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x57cb39…
04-06 03:19:47	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xac38ba…
04-06 03:19:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xb132f0…
04-06 03:18:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x6d2fcf…
04-06 03:06:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2bc65a…
04-06 03:06:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2ebc51…
04-06 03:06:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xccd5c2…
04-06 03:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x17efe2…
04-06 03:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x9bda36…
04-06 03:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd155cb…
04-06 02:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x2b08da…
04-06 02:58:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe0a38c…
03-31 01:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0da7fe…
03-31 01:50:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7acf2a…
03-31 01:50:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x30f096…
03-31 01:50:47	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0b711e…
03-31 01:47:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0xb604e2…
03-31 01:41:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3062a5…
03-31 01:41:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xae537d…
03-31 01:36:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x0f3f4a…
03-30 06:19:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-30 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xaebb78…
03-30 05:07:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0xfd619e…
03-30 04:47:16	ethereum above 1700 on april 5	No	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0xb9f4e4…
03-30 04:46:06	Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Leadership Change	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x6cef0d…
03-30 02:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x8e0bea…
03-30 02:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe15f86…
03-30 02:31:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc7cdea…
03-30 02:28:52	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x842fe5…
03-30 02:27:42	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	52	21¢	$11	0x087807…
03-30 02:26:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	47	14¢	$6	0x6787aa…
03-30 02:24:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe82795…
03-30 02:23:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x653908…
03-30 02:22:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3d0512…
03-30 02:22:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x79c726…
03-30 02:21:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf34faf…
03-30 02:16:10	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0x384d5c…
03-30 02:15:58	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	38¢	$11	0xf04edd…
03-30 02:10:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfe7ba5…
03-30 02:09:14	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xc3555a…
03-30 02:05:32	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$15	0x03e84d…
03-30 01:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0xdecbc3…
03-29 23:54:58	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	34	39¢	$13	0x49a643…
03-29 23:54:36	bitcoin above 60k on april 5	No	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x26810c…
03-29 23:49:02	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x3f3bb4…
03-29 23:48:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 23:45 UTC	Down	SELL	33	32¢	$10	0xb1e1ea…
03-29 23:47:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x833ebc…
03-29 23:43:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x69d3d4…
03-29 23:41:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa8a909…
03-28 08:15:25	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$45	0xcbac51…
03-28 04:37:39	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0xda9bf1…
03-27 23:36:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	222	3¢	$6	0xde07be…
03-27 23:35:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 30	No	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x1d9fa3…
03-27 23:35:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 30	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x11cba7…
03-27 23:34:31	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x33c875…
03-27 23:34:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	465	11¢	$51	0xffc3c9…
03-27 11:48:57	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	No	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x12ee59…
03-27 11:48:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x58edd2…
03-27 11:45:45	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0xb83962…
03-27 11:44:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x5ebb9e…
03-27 11:40:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x755600…
03-27 11:40:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xc095c5…
03-27 11:39:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	30¢	$6	0xefd79f…
03-27 11:38:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0x447c22…
03-27 11:37:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xd6c80c…
03-27 11:36:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x2c8aba…
03-27 11:35:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	41¢	$8	0xf77465…
03-27 11:33:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x5e5c78…
03-27 11:33:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x208473…
03-27 11:32:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6ea932…
03-27 11:32:29	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x22cda9…
03-27 11:26:55	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x97b55c…
03-27 11:26:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x403701…
03-27 11:25:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	57	12¢	$7	0x68224a…
03-27 11:19:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	58	47¢	$27	0xaf017b…
03-27 11:18:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	66	42¢	$28	0x1b13be…
03-27 11:17:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	67	47¢	$31	0xef7dcf…
03-27 11:17:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	55	55¢	$30	0xf6bc06…