Outstanding-Cupola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved

Trades

13,151

lifetime

Volume

$82.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-29 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 22% $-26

Other

40% 75% +$1

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 535 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771068300	3	$1.2K	915	500	+416	open	—	02-14 11:28
btc updown 5m 1771087800	3	$911	614	606	+8	open	—	02-14 16:53
btc updown 5m 1771272000	4	$881	491	488	+3	open	—	02-16 20:05
btc updown 5m 1771020600	5	$827	578	441	+136	open	—	02-13 22:15
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 17 2026 26corhigher	2	$801	402	402	+0	open	—	03-17 15:06
btc updown 5m 1771265700	24	$736	600	591	+9	open	—	02-16 18:17
btc updown 5m 1771068600	29	$735	614	605	+9	open	—	02-14 11:35
highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 19c	4	$659	369	369	+0	open	—	03-30 06:08
btc updown 5m 1771698900	6	$554	313	311	+1	open	—	02-21 18:40
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 17corhigher	4	$475	240	240	+0	open	—	04-03 17:34
btc updown 5m 1771086900	2	$456	434	427	+7	open	—	02-14 16:36
btc updown 15m 1771858800	173	$438	832	0	+832	open	—	02-23 15:14
eth updown 5m 1774825500	56	$435	445	444	+1	open	—	03-29 23:09
highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 66 67f	3	$428	218	218	+0	open	—	03-29 04:47
btc updown 5m 1771088100	12	$420	447	440	+7	open	—	02-14 16:56
highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 20corhigher	4	$409	213	213	+0	open	—	03-30 04:59
btc updown 5m 1771020900	7	$407	232	220	+12	open	—	02-13 22:20
highest temperature in chicago on march 17 2026 28 29f	2	$403	203	203	+0	open	—	03-18 04:00
highest temperature in seattle on march 27 2026 60 61f	4	$400	204	204	+0	open	—	03-28 05:12
highest temperature in hong kong on april 5 2026 28c	5	$384	195	194	+0	open	—	04-05 18:42
highest temperature in paris on march 22 2026 17c	70	$349	181	181	-0	open	—	03-22 18:44
btc updown 15m 1771857900	146	$347	670	0	+670	open	—	02-23 14:58
btc updown 15m 1771857000	148	$347	671	0	+671	open	—	02-23 14:37
btc updown 5m 1771086600	2	$340	357	0	+357	open	—	02-14 16:34
btc updown 15m 1775308500	111	$319	505	76	+429	open	—	04-04 13:31
btc updown 15m 1771875000	93	$312	395	267	+128	open	—	02-23 19:41
btc updown 15m 1771869600	125	$304	584	0	+584	open	—	02-23 18:14
btc updown 5m 1771085700	1	$300	317	0	+317	open	—	02-14 16:18
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 4 2026 28c	2	$298	150	150	+0	open	—	04-04 08:42
btc updown 15m 1771859700	120	$296	586	0	+586	open	—	02-23 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 15:19:47	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9da14f…
06-29 11:54:22	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x27dbba…
06-29 11:54:10	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa0700f…
06-28 18:44:29	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by june 30	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9130d0…
06-28 18:10:25	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by june 30	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x52297b…
06-28 18:07:26	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by june 30	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x71de22…
06-28 18:04:16	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by june 30	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7b4587…
06-28 18:03:32	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by june 30	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x74a286…
06-28 14:54:40	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by june 30	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xcb5b0e…
06-28 05:04:16	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4ec87c…
06-27 17:14:19	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xf5faae…
06-27 08:29:50	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3413cf…
06-26 14:47:19	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x47ee36…
06-26 14:03:33	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xba64c8…
06-26 14:02:18	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf3bb35…
06-24 08:58:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2be235…
06-23 15:07:05	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x27b118…
06-23 15:04:32	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x2118c4…
06-23 10:20:13	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x95704f…
06-23 08:57:01	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x36e273…
06-22 07:42:11	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by june 30	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3819f…
06-22 07:41:59	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by june 30	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8d20d8…
06-22 03:51:50	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xce0986…
06-22 03:51:26	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x676d55…
06-21 19:52:28	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xbdd8f3…
06-21 07:13:10	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe77797…
06-21 06:45:43	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d3789…
06-21 06:45:25	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd029d7…
06-21 06:43:37	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc1d737…
06-21 01:55:38	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x60edb4…
06-21 00:03:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x44e0e2…
06-20 20:13:23	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x459933…
06-20 20:12:47	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by june 30	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x25865c…
06-20 19:13:49	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d2ce6…
06-19 16:27:22	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5702a1…
06-19 14:33:29	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x44e547…
06-15 16:32:45	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa4b047…
06-15 16:32:01	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7f6b95…
06-15 07:57:34	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x73d4e3…
06-15 07:56:49	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1f67a6…
06-14 19:22:37	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by june 30	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x72e6fd…
06-14 10:50:15	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x67eaa6…
06-14 10:49:54	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc29924…
06-14 06:45:58	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by june 30	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x4750e8…
06-14 06:44:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe94706…
06-14 05:34:49	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4e5848…
06-13 15:09:10	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x58e9a1…
06-13 15:08:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x0d171e…
06-13 05:48:09	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x67b82d…
06-13 05:47:54	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95b854…
06-12 17:54:36	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xfc31d0…
06-10 19:58:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x62257e…
06-09 17:33:19	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x779083…
06-09 13:30:40	btc updown 5m 1781011800	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x88bc1b…
06-09 13:30:24	btc updown 5m 1781011800	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3e1998…
06-09 13:23:22	btc updown 5m 1781011200	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x17fe5e…
06-09 13:23:01	btc updown 5m 1781011200	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbde053…
06-09 08:07:21	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x72c4cb…
06-01 16:55:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x8cf8bf…
06-01 11:45:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7cf33b…
05-28 14:13:09	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xfeb1dc…
05-28 11:42:57	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2db1d2…
05-28 08:34:04	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 28?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xe04add…
05-28 04:31:22	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 28?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x189def…
05-28 04:31:12	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xe8eb79…
05-20 14:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x741250…
05-19 10:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x27ef2b…
05-19 10:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7fec5f…
05-17 16:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x1f7912…
05-17 16:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3a37ff…
05-10 20:06:43	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5d8abd…
05-10 07:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x4fa31b…
05-10 07:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3d7f0e…
05-10 07:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x36b7df…
05-10 07:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaddd73…
05-10 07:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3be7d6…
05-10 07:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x378734…
05-08 14:54:42	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x1d098f…
05-08 14:42:41	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x15c2e9…
05-08 14:04:02	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdf67ca…
05-08 14:04:00	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xbe47f0…
05-08 13:56:03	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x08d54d…
05-08 13:49:38	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0xcb3498…
05-08 13:49:22	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x89faef…
05-08 13:48:35	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x9d2f4e…
05-08 13:48:24	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x87eac8…
05-08 08:11:08	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x36757b…
05-08 06:38:40	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4da8f5…
05-07 18:29:34	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc70924…
05-07 13:59:16	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x8be0db…
05-07 13:41:22	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x36214a…
05-07 08:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd537af…
05-07 08:57:19	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x539b22…
05-07 08:51:44	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xeaaf75…
05-07 08:49:24	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x143113…
05-07 08:48:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xe0d6ed…
05-07 08:47:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x126e85…
05-07 08:47:04	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2dbd7f…
05-06 15:37:36	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4d2bd3…
05-06 15:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x3681fc…