Polite-Epoxy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

111

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-29 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

94% 58% -$18

Politics

4% 67% -$14

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	06-20 18:17
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-01 00:06
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-26 20:20
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 21:06
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	04-27 19:09
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 12:55
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-25 01:21
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-20 01:46
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-25 12:51
Will Robert Menendez Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-08?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	06-03 02:24
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 16:00
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-29 02:41
Will "NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-23 19:52
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-04 19:15
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-06 06:17
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 29?	2	$16	32	0	+32	No	+$0	05-29 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-28 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 04:45
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-05 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 2?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 20:50
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 16:01
highest temperature in san francisco on april 23 2026 60 61f	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-22 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 10:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-27 22:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 00:21
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 07:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 17:46:04	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3634c2…
06-29 02:41:59	Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa50865…
06-29 00:27:41	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0c6644…
06-28 13:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xb4d2d2…
06-28 04:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe3a780…
06-27 14:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x445d06…
06-27 12:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xb55e50…
06-27 12:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8b9dc4…
06-27 11:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd67c52…
06-27 08:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 27?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x4fc153…
06-26 01:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x5e5d96…
06-26 01:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4474fa…
06-25 12:51:25	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe20657…
06-25 01:21:17	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4b3d2b…
06-25 01:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x34bb63…
06-25 00:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on June 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6ed36b…
06-24 06:01:38	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x099cab…
06-23 16:00:25	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xcf2dbb…
06-23 05:13:26	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xcdd3c4…
06-22 12:55:07	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xed4132…
06-21 19:54:35	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x8b144e…
06-20 18:17:13	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdbe5c0…
06-20 11:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x8f1e95…
06-19 09:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xd3e80c…
06-19 07:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 19?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xe94753…
06-16 17:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd9394b…
06-16 14:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 17?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8a834e…
06-16 13:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x983a34…
06-15 11:50:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xa03c07…
06-15 10:21:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 15?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf4b807…
06-14 09:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xcdeb23…
06-14 09:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdb8d97…
06-14 09:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3c260b…
06-13 15:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4c6734…
06-13 14:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x75e955…
06-12 14:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x363e20…
06-12 14:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x37aed7…
06-12 14:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1b96a5…
06-12 13:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 13?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1d7209…
06-11 19:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x452ee4…
06-11 18:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4328f9…
06-11 05:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x66fb63…
06-11 03:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x681fc8…
06-09 17:07:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x64b39d…
06-09 09:26:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x98924a…
06-09 07:22:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf72690…
06-08 21:06:22	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4133b8…
06-08 14:22:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 9?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x472e5c…
06-08 14:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xb3262b…
06-07 18:16:04	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf210a5…
06-07 08:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x67a607…
06-07 07:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf469e3…
06-06 18:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x80e4d7…
06-06 12:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x6acf84…
06-06 06:17:42	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6a3fb9…
06-06 00:03:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcba5ec…
06-05 23:27:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd001d6…
06-05 06:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xf04cfc…
06-05 06:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x1b663b…
06-05 06:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 5?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd261bc…
06-04 08:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xa44697…
06-04 08:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x2592dd…
06-03 02:24:41	Will Robert Menendez Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-08?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf71658…
06-03 01:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xaea4cd…
06-03 01:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8f90ff…
06-02 10:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfe199b…
06-02 10:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc50351…
06-02 10:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x84579f…
06-02 10:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5142cb…
06-02 08:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbaa504…
06-01 23:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xc14c6c…
06-01 19:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe6d643…
06-01 10:29:43	Will Robert Menendez Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-08?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xfa6799…
05-31 15:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x6dd35a…
05-31 15:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2fea08…
05-31 15:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x481b3f…
05-31 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x0a52a6…
05-31 07:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x553114…
05-30 17:24:07	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc79886…
05-30 04:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2c4f7f…
05-30 04:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x27f289…
05-29 09:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x702ab1…
05-29 08:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 29?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x1edbf5…
05-29 01:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x17dc71…
05-29 01:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x49a4c2…
05-28 13:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x0db9da…
05-28 12:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf7b48c…
05-28 06:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xd6f791…
05-27 19:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x662b5c…
05-27 08:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4d000d…
05-27 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xba30b5…
05-27 04:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x9534e6…
05-26 20:20:45	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbc8791…
05-26 16:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 27?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8c5cdb…
05-25 12:01:12	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9cf08a…
05-23 19:52:11	Will "NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9e23fa…
05-22 00:03:16	Will "NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x093468…
05-20 01:46:08	Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x58944a…
05-18 09:18:20	Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6166f8…
05-16 14:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x2c7252…