Tempting-Pamphlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.9%

Resolved

254

Trades

881

lifetime

Volume

$1.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 08-29 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

71% 18% +$38

Sports

24% 24% -$11

Politics

3% 0% -$1

Tech

2% 0% -$6

Crypto

1% 67% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mex tij pac 2026 04 22 spread home 2pt5	10	$67	87	86	+1	CF Pachuca	+$59	04-23 04:53
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	19	$61	60	64	-4	Under	-$3	04-07 13:03
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	16	$43	45	44	+1	Under	$0	04-07 10:16
will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	15	$38	46	46	+0	Yes	+$1	04-22 20:58
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	46	$37	246	246	+0	Yes	$0	04-22 21:01
dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 btts	9	$36	44	43	+1	Yes	-$1	04-23 18:42
aus mct ccm 2026 04 07 btts	9	$29	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	04-07 09:45
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	2	$28	40	40	+0	No	-$6	08-29 09:02
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	14	$27	47	32	+15	76ers	-$6	05-03 00:31
den sif fcf 2026 04 19 btts	7	$22	30	30	+0	Yes	+$2	04-19 12:17
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 btts	14	$21	35	39	-4	Yes	+$1	04-07 12:33
nor kbk ffk 2026 04 19 draw	13	$21	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-19 15:06
itc ata laz 2026 04 22 draw	10	$19	36	35	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 19:12
mls clb lag 2026 04 22 btts	3	$18	23	22	+0	Yes	-$1	04-22 23:21
Will there be at least 2700 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?	2	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	08-13 19:51
Pistons vs. Magic	6	$16	20	20	+0	Pistons	$0	04-30 22:37
spl dam okh 2026 04 23 spread home 1pt5	6	$16	20	20	+0	Damac Saudi Club	+$4	04-23 18:28
col1 adp isf 2026 04 23 draw	7	$16	25	25	+0	No	$0	04-23 22:45
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	13	$15	58	58	+0	No	-$1	04-22 00:11
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?	5	$15	15	15	+0	No	$0	05-03 00:41
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	6	$15	20	20	+0	GamerLegion	$0	05-01 22:52
dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 spread away 1pt5	6	$15	15	15	+0	FC Bayern München	+$3	04-22 19:10
dota2 gl yes 2026 04 06 total games 2pt5	2	$14	12	12	+0	Under	+$5	04-06 22:28
spl haz riy 2026 04 24 total 2pt5	4	$14	16	16	+0	Over	$0	04-24 15:51
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 1 Winner	4	$14	10	10	+0	Yellow Submarine	+$2	05-06 10:22
spl njm taa 2026 04 23 total 2pt5	3	$14	18	17	+0	Over	-$1	04-23 16:01
mls tor phi 2026 04 22 draw	8	$14	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	04-22 23:21
col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 draw	11	$14	40	25	+15	No	-$3	04-19 23:05
ere psv zwo 2026 04 23 btts	3	$13	18	18	+0	Yes	-$1	04-23 17:50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	6	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 09:02:43	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0xdf35ec…
08-27 18:13:43	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x82d5f7…
08-13 19:51:34	Will there be at least 2700 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xb44040…
08-11 07:18:37	will there be at least 2700 measles cases in the us by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x7dd018…
05-13 22:11:24	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xa35300…
05-13 22:11:17	1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x44523e…
05-13 22:10:58	Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xe5d269…
05-13 22:10:16	Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xea0a75…
05-13 22:09:41	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3fd2a4…
05-13 13:45:08	1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x050e1d…
05-13 13:32:04	SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xaeb0d0…
05-13 09:37:53	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8711e1…
05-13 08:08:43	Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7fc947…
05-13 07:33:12	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5ffd01…
05-13 07:32:38	Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xe70b51…
05-13 07:32:37	Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x5c9944…
05-13 07:31:25	Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x364078…
05-13 07:31:23	Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf074be…
05-13 07:21:58	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8190e8…
05-13 07:21:56	Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x5a8639…
05-13 07:21:16	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe65310…
05-13 07:21:16	Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x854504…
05-12 22:00:43	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x278ed0…
05-12 19:52:26	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe0dd53…
05-12 19:42:21	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x675868…
05-12 19:42:21	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0b338a…
05-12 19:36:57	Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe78258…
05-12 19:36:55	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x1c6283…
05-12 19:34:25	Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe7f725…
05-12 19:23:04	Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3e340e…
05-12 15:21:57	Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe0e014…
05-12 15:11:32	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6e7a6a…
05-12 15:09:19	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x54cd7d…
05-12 15:08:11	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2181c7…
05-12 15:08:09	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe864ff…
05-12 14:57:56	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe31eb9…
05-12 14:31:36	SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x884e81…
05-09 07:08:06	Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x60da6f…
05-09 07:06:14	Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x613c08…
05-09 02:44:00	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	FC St. Pauli 1910	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x30ebd4…
05-08 22:07:44	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc50c3d…
05-08 20:41:06	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x66b6bd…
05-08 20:37:12	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3b880d…
05-08 20:36:19	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xee62d3…
05-08 19:29:42	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x6883dd…
05-08 18:48:47	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x7ab0d3…
05-08 18:00:50	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5	Under	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x094457…
05-08 17:46:38	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf76dcc…
05-08 17:10:59	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x1d667a…
05-08 17:01:32	Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xb40fd3…
05-08 16:58:44	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd77bc4…
05-08 16:57:52	Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9dfb6e…
05-08 16:55:11	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1c65ef…
05-08 16:44:39	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x85854d…
05-08 16:43:29	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xdda4b2…
05-08 16:39:24	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	FC St. Pauli 1910	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1e58cc…
05-08 15:45:15	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd5b845…
05-08 15:44:59	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2035c7…
05-08 15:42:48	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf8ec84…
05-08 15:04:16	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x989d91…
05-08 14:33:19	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x84021d…
05-08 14:28:09	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xab6209…
05-08 14:03:27	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdb1707…
05-08 13:38:55	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5ec9a0…
05-08 13:21:12	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xecbb1d…
05-08 13:03:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x10c76a…
05-08 13:01:15	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xfe18cb…
05-08 13:00:31	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0a59e1…
05-08 12:59:14	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc94619…
05-08 12:36:01	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x91f857…
05-08 12:35:59	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xc6bd93…
05-08 12:32:36	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6d361d…
05-08 12:31:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xe136c3…
05-08 12:28:19	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc44668…
05-08 12:28:16	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x18ecb7…
05-08 11:56:51	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Under	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xbf6df6…
05-08 11:45:48	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x04a203…
05-08 10:58:31	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x457bb6…
05-08 10:52:22	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xcc8af7…
05-08 10:40:35	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x82c186…
05-08 10:30:08	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8cd3a0…
05-08 09:52:20	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x961198…
05-08 09:15:30	Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)	Racing Club de Lens	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x2b7b21…
05-08 07:12:34	Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)	Racing Club de Lens	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x83d303…
05-08 07:08:39	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x7b3aef…
05-08 07:05:55	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc0fb99…
05-08 06:52:54	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5a23fa…
05-08 04:45:34	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xdb0f77…
05-08 04:43:38	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x548549…
05-07 21:34:16	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x62c14d…
05-07 19:03:31	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5	Under	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x218572…
05-07 18:53:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc09efc…
05-07 16:04:24	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x72a884…
05-07 15:59:00	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Under	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xc79e03…
05-07 15:06:06	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd105ad…
05-07 14:44:24	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe3e480…
05-07 13:54:38	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x74d708…
05-07 12:15:39	Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x23c643…
05-07 12:15:26	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	Under	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe72e70…
05-07 12:00:22	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x742446…