Friendly-Sovereignty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

838

Trades

1,940

lifetime

Volume

$2.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-27 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% +$3

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:10 UTC	4	$24	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	09-21 15:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:50 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	09-21 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:35 UTC	3	$12	12	2	+11	Up	+$1	04-23 18:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:30 UTC	3	$12	12	2	+10	Up	+$0	09-21 15:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:40 UTC	3	$12	11	1	+10	Up	+$0	09-21 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 04:00 UTC	2	$11	7	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-21 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 21:20 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 21:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 17:10 UTC	10	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	06-19 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 20:45 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 21:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:55 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	09-21 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 21:30 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 04:15 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	-$10	04-21 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-12 20:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:00 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	09-21 15:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:05 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	09-21 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-12 08:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:10 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	09-21 16:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 23:25 UTC	9	$9	6	5	+1	Up	+$0	06-17 23:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	8	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-12 19:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:10 UTC	8	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	06-20 07:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 09:20 UTC	8	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	06-20 09:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:45 UTC	8	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	06-14 23:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:35 UTC	8	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	06-17 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-11 18:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:10 UTC	8	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	06-19 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$8	51	51	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 06:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 09:20 UTC	7	$7	5	4	+1	Up	+$0	06-14 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$7	7	2	+5	Up	+$0	04-27 19:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:45 UTC	7	$7	4	3	+1	Up	+$0	06-17 08:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 00:30 UTC	7	$7	4	3	+1	Up	+$0	06-18 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:57:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0fa581…
10-27 20:56:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x68bff4…
10-27 20:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb21466…
10-27 20:51:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1726f5…
10-27 20:43:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xa0384f…
10-27 20:40:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x10e1d4…
10-27 20:38:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb260cc…
10-27 20:37:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xedb392…
10-27 20:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xdbe5a9…
10-27 20:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x49ee8d…
10-27 20:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x0c26f9…
10-27 20:12:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5c6b9c…
10-27 19:16:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x13ffdb…
10-27 19:15:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6125b6…
10-26 22:33:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x156f01…
10-26 22:33:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0eb483…
10-26 21:07:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x989b61…
10-26 21:06:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb64ab2…
10-26 20:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x836521…
10-26 20:49:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa7ab08…
10-26 20:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9b6561…
10-26 20:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe603fc…
10-25 21:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x238758…
10-25 21:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcf5e13…
10-25 21:18:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xefeb55…
10-25 21:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xac0af7…
10-25 18:52:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x121134…
10-25 18:51:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf5eb88…
10-25 18:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1dc018…
10-25 18:48:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x16ca65…
10-25 09:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xeae347…
10-25 09:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa221e4…
10-25 09:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xd5ca2c…
10-25 09:33:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x559bd0…
10-25 09:33:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x70863e…
10-25 09:32:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa69fc9…
10-25 09:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xc4a5d3…
10-25 09:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd5d7c1…
10-16 21:34:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x77a99f…
10-16 21:33:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf2168c…
10-16 21:17:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xcb3307…
10-16 21:16:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x585d78…
10-16 20:06:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaedd62…
10-16 20:06:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x957c81…
10-16 19:59:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x8d7060…
10-16 19:58:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x179d99…
10-16 19:58:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x049442…
10-16 19:57:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4ded77…
10-16 19:52:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x0010fe…
10-16 19:52:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xaea845…
10-16 19:47:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd0a11c…
10-16 19:46:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8db289…
10-16 19:42:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8f78f7…
10-16 19:42:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc007eb…
10-16 19:40:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x154189…
10-14 22:31:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x02a94a…
10-14 22:21:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xdf2210…
10-14 22:20:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdab6be…
10-14 22:16:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5a3304…
10-14 22:16:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfc4922…
10-14 22:16:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xd24d8f…
10-14 22:16:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6df8e7…
10-14 22:11:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x44fd26…
10-14 22:03:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdd8771…
10-14 22:03:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xebf85f…
10-14 22:02:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xdca4ab…
10-14 22:02:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcba82a…
10-14 21:43:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x506d39…
10-14 21:42:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2e2e9e…
10-14 21:37:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x832e8e…
10-14 21:28:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x5642dd…
10-14 21:27:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8298dc…
10-14 21:12:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x7d4dcf…
10-14 21:12:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x94262f…
10-14 21:08:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe02f5f…
10-14 21:08:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x685dea…
10-14 21:06:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x318939…
10-14 20:48:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x29b7ee…
10-14 20:48:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9acd8d…
10-14 20:07:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x535848…
10-14 20:07:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x573d88…
10-14 20:06:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x21a22d…
10-14 20:06:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xffa65f…
10-14 19:39:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4689dc…
10-14 19:38:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x765c43…
10-12 22:06:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x2c8b08…
10-12 22:06:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4d985a…
10-12 21:33:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x39d314…
10-12 21:32:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd38812…
10-12 21:31:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x41580c…
10-12 21:31:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe05a0f…
10-12 21:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x84016e…
10-12 21:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x5e0b00…
10-12 21:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd3d279…
10-12 21:22:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xfcacb4…
10-12 21:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbcb051…
10-12 21:20:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xf76944…
10-12 21:20:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcd17e1…
10-12 21:17:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb94062…
10-12 21:17:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x24f68c…