Frilly-Expertise-Ecumenist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$576

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-09 14:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 32% +$576

Other

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes		+100	$24	12¢	$12	$-12	06-05 09:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$246	198	167	+31	Up	+$36	05-09 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$241	331	139	+192	Up	$-9	05-10 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$233	419	400	+19	open	—	05-25 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$201	108	108	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$200	856	0	+856	Up	+$656	05-09 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$200	10,127	0	+10,127	open	—	05-25 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	5	$143	157	139	+18	Down	+$33	05-10 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$125	903	0	+903	Down	$-125	05-09 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$105	223	0	+223	Down	$-105	05-09 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$103	119	86	+33	Up	+$36	05-10 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$100	238	0	+238	Up	+$138	05-09 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$100	246	0	+246	Down	+$146	05-09 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$100	286	0	+286	open	—	05-25 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$100	137	0	+137	open	—	05-25 19:38
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$99	80	80	+0	open	—	05-19 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$99	152	0	+152	Up	+$53	05-10 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$83	143	143	+0	Down	+$33	05-10 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$50	1,214	0	+1,214	Down	$-50	05-09 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$50	313	0	+313	Up	$-50	05-10 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$31	377	0	+377	Down	$-31	05-10 18:42
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	1	$30	67	0	+67	open	—	05-22 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$28	135	0	+135	Down	$-28	05-10 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$25	100	0	+100	open	—	05-25 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$25	62	0	+62	Down	$-25	05-09 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$25	148	0	+148	open	—	05-25 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$25	58	0	+58	Down	$-25	05-10 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$25	83	0	+83	Down	$-25	05-09 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Up	$-25	05-09 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	05-25 19:43
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	11	$24	100	0	+100	open	—	06-05 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:08:58	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x85f6c0…
06-08 17:29:18	will tim cook say cheaper during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x792fff…
06-08 15:19:42	will tim cook say cheaper during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x32e15c…
06-08 15:11:37	will apple announce an apple smart home display during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x470b17…
06-05 09:03:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x53b9d5…
06-05 05:59:15	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x2b3d89…
06-04 17:10:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xc72c44…
06-04 17:00:49	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xd74561…
06-04 17:00:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x12856f…
06-04 16:50:18	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xd37347…
06-04 16:40:45	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x0f51a0…
06-04 16:40:28	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x2e1aad…
06-04 16:32:19	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xca25ca…
06-04 16:30:39	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xcc98e4…
06-04 16:28:39	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe8293a…
06-04 16:10:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x6c0b1d…
05-25 19:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	148	17¢	$25	0x6a5980…
05-25 19:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x3d7d3a…
05-25 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xd4c083…
05-25 19:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x5c2e54…
05-25 19:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9a1c57…
05-25 19:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	400	32¢	$128	0xd7dc9d…
05-25 19:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xf70231…
05-25 19:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x75daf2…
05-25 19:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xbd23e3…
05-25 18:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x470eef…
05-25 17:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x131bcf…
05-25 17:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x25dde4…
05-25 17:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x700f4b…
05-25 17:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x48762e…
05-25 17:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x4f8a72…
05-22 22:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x44a9a8…
05-22 22:05:19	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xc0c20e…
05-21 22:17:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6f98cc…
05-19 17:28:14	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xe5281d…
05-10 20:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xfb8acf…
05-10 20:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	108	94¢	$101	0x1b4187…
05-10 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xd62268…
05-10 20:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xfa94d7…
05-10 20:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	58	66¢	$38	0x9412cf…
05-10 20:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x329ee9…
05-10 20:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	81	61¢	$49	0x3500bc…
05-10 20:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x2a20b5…
05-10 19:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xf3b086…
05-10 19:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	139	84¢	$116	0xa6bda5…
05-10 19:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x84c985…
05-10 19:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	39	9¢	$3	0x182e8d…
05-10 19:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xe561a4…
05-10 19:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x633e35…
05-10 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	86	62¢	$53	0x6afc4e…
05-10 19:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x78b201…
05-10 19:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	248	10¢	$25	0xe593f0…
05-10 19:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x746446…
05-10 18:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0xf35f74…
05-10 18:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xf193e4…
05-10 18:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xdfc585…
05-10 18:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb84043…
05-10 18:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x297b83…
05-10 18:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	129	42¢	$55	0xfc627c…
05-10 18:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x80cccd…
05-10 18:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	143	18¢	$25	0xd29f77…
05-10 18:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x0dae96…
05-10 18:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	152	65¢	$99	0x9ef4ed…
05-09 21:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	151	23¢	$35	0xe12103…
05-09 21:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	320	20¢	$65	0x9e0a35…
05-09 21:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x201f67…
05-09 21:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	428	6¢	$25	0xfeae3c…
05-09 21:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	475	21¢	$100	0xdaa246…
05-09 21:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	592	4¢	$25	0xeef2bd…
05-09 21:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	622	4¢	$25	0xf24d2f…
05-09 21:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xede5b7…
05-09 20:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xf9c569…
05-09 19:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x800004…
05-09 19:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0x79d150…
05-09 19:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4bfed1…
05-09 19:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe6120a…
05-09 19:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xfa60a0…
05-09 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x2e997d…
05-09 18:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x44e70a…
05-09 18:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	167	85¢	$141	0xfbaef8…
05-09 18:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xe642b4…
05-09 18:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x574107…
05-09 18:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x51305e…
05-09 18:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe700a0…
05-09 18:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x41c5ee…
05-09 18:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf725e6…
05-09 17:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x6ee3a8…
05-09 17:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa69dce…
05-09 17:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5e52e8…
05-09 16:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x38eea8…
05-09 16:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1b32fc…
05-09 15:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x234adb…
05-05 12:00:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xd6e3ad…
05-05 11:48:38	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1510?	Yes	BUY	254	8¢	$20	0x457206…
05-05 11:31:28	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x72e06b…