Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$870

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$55

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 09-28 21:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Sports

49% 11% +$126

Other

33% 7% -$170

Crypto

9% 27% -$19

Politics

9% 25% -$7

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+77	$10	16¢	$13	+$3	09-27 15:41
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+83	$10	14¢	$11	+$1	09-27 15:41
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+50	$12	22¢	$11	-$1	09-27 15:41
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+67	$10	14¢	$9	-$1	09-27 15:41
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+111	$10	6¢	$7	-$3	09-27 15:41
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-71	-$6	5¢	$-4	+$2	09-10 17:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	2	$96	53	53	+0	Yes	+$6	08-14 22:20
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	2	$76	465	465	+0	No	+$36	09-10 07:59
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	7	$70	3,419	0	+3,419	No	-$70	07-16 16:09
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	3	$41	499	0	+499	No	-$41	09-02 20:27
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$36	86	86	+0	No	+$26	09-10 21:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$27	45	45	+0	No	+$7	05-24 11:08
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	1	$25	42	0	+42	No	-$25	07-20 20:25
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	3	$23	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$23	08-23 14:17
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?	3	$22	2,826	0	+2,826	No	-$22	08-17 09:45
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	3	$21	186	186	+0	No	-$10	07-24 17:13
Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	1	$20	800	0	+800	No	-$20	08-09 13:04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	51	0	+51	No	-$20	07-14 11:07
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19?	1	$20	37	0	+37	No	-$20	09-17 20:34
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$20	229	0	+229	Yes	+$209	08-09 13:05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$16	96	0	+96	Yes	+$80	05-19 21:29
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	3	$16	266	266	+0	No	-$14	08-29 14:08
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$12	50	0	+50	open	—	09-27 15:41
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$12	152	0	+152	No	-$12	08-30 12:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	2	$11	75	75	+0	No	-$9	07-17 20:10
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	09-10 17:54
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$11	21	0	+21	No	-$11	07-16 10:31
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	09-27 15:41
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$10	83	0	+83	open	—	09-27 15:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$10	40	0	+40	No	-$10	07-28 10:20
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	09-27 15:41
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	09-27 15:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:05 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	-$10	07-29 15:05
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	88	0	+88	No	-$10	05-19 21:28
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	-$10	07-26 17:48
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	1	$10	35	0	+35	Yes	-$10	07-21 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 21:31:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x57302c…
09-27 15:41:56	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xbbfcf0…
09-27 15:41:38	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x3bf549…
09-27 15:41:30	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xaf15a3…
09-27 15:41:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x90d559…
09-27 15:41:18	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xca5925…
09-17 20:34:19	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xc8a92b…
09-12 13:10:09	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xe28779…
09-11 20:50:37	Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x72e556…
09-10 21:04:00	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	86	36¢	$31	0x5a151a…
09-10 17:54:51	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	71	8¢	$6	0xdd08b1…
09-10 17:54:43	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0xccded3…
09-10 07:59:30	Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	465	12¢	$56	0xe99683…
09-06 22:50:51	Will Sorana Cirstea win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0xcaf717…
09-06 20:57:57	Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0xcb5089…
09-06 20:21:13	Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0x0203d6…
09-05 19:44:01	Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x977035…
09-04 16:12:58	Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x4ef814…
09-02 20:27:52	Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0x328094…
09-01 17:59:16	Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	148	9¢	$13	0x38aac2…
08-31 16:36:19	Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd74319…
08-31 16:36:12	Will Clara Tauson win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf353e9…
08-31 16:36:03	Will Tereza Valentova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3d40db…
08-31 16:35:57	Will Donna Vekic win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x28f2ec…
08-31 16:35:49	Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x676579…
08-31 16:35:40	Will Xiyu Wang win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x811e4b…
08-31 16:35:31	Will Sofia Kenin win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	760	0¢	$1	0x6ed145…
08-31 16:35:22	Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	701	0¢	$1	0x93f756…
08-31 16:35:13	Will Sloane Stephens win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	707	0¢	$1	0x970b77…
08-31 16:35:07	Will Elisabetta Cocciaretto win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	701	0¢	$1	0x2b4f81…
08-31 16:35:00	Will Peyton Stearns win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	701	0¢	$1	0x4ffb02…
08-31 16:34:54	Will Nadia Podoroska win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	701	0¢	$1	0xc2193c…
08-31 16:34:45	Will Maria Sakkari win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	977	0¢	$1	0xe96269…
08-31 16:34:34	Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	977	0¢	$1	0x3a2a2a…
08-31 16:34:25	Will Sorana Cirstea win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	977	0¢	$1	0x58dba3…
08-30 16:46:16	Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa550d4…
08-30 16:46:09	Will Daria Kasatkina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe752f1…
08-30 16:46:00	Will Donna Vekic win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x869852…
08-30 16:45:51	Will Tereza Valentova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	212	0¢	$0	0x32e8f8…
08-30 16:45:43	Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x127287…
08-30 16:45:36	Will Sofia Kenin win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2bc406…
08-30 16:44:04	Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x6debce…
08-30 12:06:16	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x55a4b1…
08-29 14:12:28	Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	270	7¢	$20	0x6b081e…
08-29 14:08:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	266	0¢	$1	0xa3848f…
08-23 14:17:21	Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x190b2b…
08-23 14:16:48	Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x6dc927…
08-17 09:45:28	Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x87036e…
08-17 09:44:55	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x7444c0…
08-14 22:21:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4c0e84…
08-14 22:20:27	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x91def1…
08-14 22:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x023e71…
08-11 21:56:48	Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x25c4f8…
08-10 15:09:25	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0x4fa0a7…
08-09 13:05:46	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0x60ef6e…
08-09 13:05:30	Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	2,026	1¢	$18	0xeb662e…
08-09 13:04:33	Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$20	0x0d0413…
08-09 13:04:01	Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	465	4¢	$20	0x4ca140…
08-06 19:32:02	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0xe47680…
08-02 22:46:35	will japan be in the headlines this week 20260731155626124	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x820af6…
07-29 15:26:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x31b109…
07-29 15:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x979c97…
07-29 15:21:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa37f1c…
07-29 15:16:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbee49a…
07-29 15:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x99183f…
07-29 15:05:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x459e0e…
07-29 14:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfdf0e4…
07-29 14:52:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x64239c…
07-29 14:45:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x533883…
07-29 14:43:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x78a06e…
07-28 10:20:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x62e149…
07-28 10:17:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x028d8b…
07-26 17:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x874ebf…
07-26 17:49:21	Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xd897f9…
07-26 17:49:10	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xa75d0e…
07-26 17:48:58	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb8188f…
07-26 17:48:49	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	133	7¢	$10	0xc5039a…
07-26 17:47:24	mlb cle tb 2026 07 26	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6c0dbc…
07-26 17:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xbc392a…
07-24 17:13:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	186	3¢	$5	0xd78d87…
07-24 13:27:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x9831a1…
07-24 13:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x15683e…
07-24 12:53:12	will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233 223 869 558 982	No	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x8199c6…
07-24 12:51:54	bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x8b2b90…
07-24 12:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x9d1992…
07-24 11:15:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xdefe5b…
07-24 11:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3781b0…
07-24 11:12:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xbee6bc…
07-21 15:29:39	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x8b48d3…
07-21 14:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x60de1b…
07-20 20:25:42	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x0fcc06…
07-20 20:23:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x362e93…
07-20 20:22:33	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xdf76cf…
07-19 22:46:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x9007f7…
07-17 20:10:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0xdf9e2f…
07-16 16:09:11	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	325	2¢	$6	0xbd22b3…
07-16 15:58:55	Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x73e61e…
07-16 13:32:23	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	133	7¢	$10	0xcb6ab5…
07-16 10:32:52	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1bb401…
07-16 10:31:05	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x19ba14…