Candid-Smith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$316

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-11 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-316

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$381	329	198	+131	Up	$-139	05-11 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$266	176	176	+0	Down	+$26	05-11 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$238	160	160	+0	Down	+$78	05-11 19:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 7?	2	$132	101,757	0	+101,757	Yes	$-132	05-07 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$93	103	92	+11	Up	$-72	05-07 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$51	60	27	+33	Up	+$1	05-11 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$42	25	22	+3	Down	+$4	05-10 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$37	22	22	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$35	22	22	+0	Down	+$9	05-11 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$20	41	0	+41	Up	$-20	05-11 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$20	52	0	+52	Down	$-20	05-11 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$18	39	39	+0	Up	$-18	05-10 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$18	44	44	+0	Up	$-12	05-11 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$15	19	14	+6	Up	$-5	05-11 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$14	20	0	+20	Down	$-14	05-10 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$10	34	0	+34	Up	$-10	05-11 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	Up	$-6	05-11 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Down	$-4	05-10 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	Down	$-3	05-10 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 19:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	$-2	05-07 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-10 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 20:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x74e08f…
05-11 20:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x75d49b…
05-11 20:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa9e869…
05-11 19:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1575a7…
05-11 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x76bfc8…
05-11 19:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x462b9e…
05-11 19:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb36d95…
05-11 19:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x9f41e9…
05-11 19:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x20dbe9…
05-11 19:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xa3cdf0…
05-11 19:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	131	84¢	$110	0x3939c6…
05-11 19:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	198	61¢	$121	0xfaf429…
05-11 19:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	198	76¢	$150	0xa33177…
05-11 19:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0x69db3b…
05-11 18:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0xcde33e…
05-11 18:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	82	98¢	$81	0x1fddde…
05-11 18:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x509820…
05-11 18:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	94	70¢	$65	0x02a32b…
05-11 18:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0x860f94…
05-11 18:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xfbb070…
05-11 18:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x2f92a0…
05-11 18:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x88bdcc…
05-11 18:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0x40a9d4…
05-11 18:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x73da20…
05-11 18:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x2ed90f…
05-11 18:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xac0402…
05-11 18:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0d8c6d…
05-11 18:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xdc17e1…
05-11 18:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xae6d5d…
05-10 20:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0xb78903…
05-10 20:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0xd3fe35…
05-10 20:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xae7dff…
05-10 19:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x4eb126…
05-10 19:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x969e4b…
05-10 19:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x27c6ad…
05-10 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xafac20…
05-10 19:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe85394…
05-10 19:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xfcad2e…
05-10 19:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xea88c7…
05-10 18:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x6fc89c…
05-10 18:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x630076…
05-10 18:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xe462fb…
05-10 18:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x651530…
05-10 18:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xbce5e2…
05-07 11:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x0f36d6…
05-07 11:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	92	11¢	$10	0x1cc05e…
05-07 11:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	92	88¢	$81	0x59c5be…
05-07 10:05:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2a1e84…
05-07 09:55:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	95,120	0¢	$95	0xabd7c3…
05-07 09:55:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	6,638	1¢	$37	0x220657…