Palatable-Picture-Standoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

1,136

Trades

2,413

lifetime

Volume

$2.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 07-21 00:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 57% -$100

Politics

2% 25% -$2

Other

1% 44% -$11

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-13	-$1	5¢	$-1	+$0	04-29 02:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	6	$19	40	40	+0	No	-$1	04-13 19:03
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	12	$15	50	50	+0	No	+$1	04-13 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 02:00 UTC	4	$15	12	11	+0	Down	-$1	04-17 02:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 17:00 UTC	3	$15	57	7	+50	Down	-$1	04-17 17:15
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$15	37	0	+37	Spain	-$15	07-19 21:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 14:45 UTC	12	$14	69	65	+4	Down	+$8	04-16 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 17:30 UTC	3	$14	174	7	+167	Up	+$0	04-17 17:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 01:45 UTC	3	$14	15	8	+7	Up	+$2	04-17 02:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 01:30 UTC	3	$13	14	7	+7	Down	+$1	04-17 01:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:30 UTC	2	$12	12	11	+1	Down	+$2	04-24 17:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$12	33	33	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:25 UTC	3	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	04-15 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$11	12	6	+5	Up	-$4	04-26 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:40 UTC	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	04-22 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$10	8	7	+1	Down	+$1	04-26 07:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 15:00 UTC	5	$10	11	6	+5	Down	+$0	04-17 15:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 17:30 UTC	9	$10	23	15	+8	Up	+$1	04-16 17:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 02:35 UTC	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	04-15 02:36
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	04-13 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:05 UTC	4	$10	10	5	+5	Up	+$0	04-22 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	04-27 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:30 UTC	7	$9	10	10	+0	Down	$0	04-22 17:32
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$3	07-15 23:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-03 15:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 19:00 UTC	3	$9	10	5	+5	Down	+$0	04-22 19:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:50 UTC	4	$9	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	04-22 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 20:30 UTC	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	04-22 20:43
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$9	35	28	+7	Up	-$3	05-18 19:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 01:30 UTC	4	$9	10	5	+5	Down	+$1	04-21 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$9	10	10	+0	Down	$0	04-27 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 00:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6d78cb…
07-20 03:35:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x2d9b35…
07-20 03:34:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x859d94…
07-20 02:50:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x891c4f…
07-20 02:49:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5ca547…
07-19 21:39:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x07ebf6…
07-19 21:06:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x1ba5c2…
07-17 06:23:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf66a87…
07-17 06:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x57b890…
07-17 05:46:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4d3452…
07-17 05:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x89848a…
07-17 05:37:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x7658c9…
07-17 05:36:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa498ee…
07-17 00:49:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1cbeb3…
07-15 23:06:49	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4801f8…
07-15 02:46:43	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x68f9ff…
07-15 02:43:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb309bd…
07-15 02:42:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2ed267…
07-12 05:27:01	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4005cc…
07-10 21:43:44	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7b3820…
07-10 21:41:55	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x65c776…
07-10 19:43:02	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb22e91…
07-10 19:32:37	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x30cb61…
05-20 19:28:32	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x30a247…
05-20 19:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xebab1e…
05-20 19:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x78f334…
05-20 19:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3a31e4…
05-20 19:08:26	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd2faf7…
05-20 19:08:16	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3c3181…
05-20 16:44:53	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x30cd19…
05-20 16:42:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2dd247…
05-20 16:41:37	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc0f6be…
05-20 05:41:13	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xff0736…
05-20 05:40:59	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe12e27…
05-19 00:10:26	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x14f6f1…
05-18 23:53:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa882a9…
05-18 23:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd347e6…
05-18 23:37:54	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd88670…
05-18 19:36:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf5e6fe…
05-18 19:32:18	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x14d66f…
05-18 19:31:34	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xe07f77…
05-18 19:31:30	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x9bab43…
05-18 19:31:23	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb67012…
05-18 19:21:25	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x443948…
05-18 19:21:16	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8fece5…
05-18 18:28:30	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0xa15c73…
05-18 18:28:13	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x7f53a9…
05-18 18:27:27	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1285bc…
05-18 17:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbae5a9…
05-18 17:52:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x14b013…
05-18 17:33:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x773782…
05-18 17:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc537c3…
05-18 17:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x11d054…
05-18 16:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8c18fa…
05-18 16:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfc0bb9…
05-18 16:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xbc2cbb…
05-18 16:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1f7df5…
05-18 16:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xd1a9d7…
05-18 16:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x52fc6e…
05-18 15:56:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xf2ddd2…
05-18 15:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x03aaf0…
05-18 15:52:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1df98c…
05-18 15:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x942c9f…
05-18 15:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbb6380…
05-18 15:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb60eaf…
05-17 17:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x1918ef…
05-17 17:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x001cf1…
05-17 16:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd780f9…
05-17 06:34:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2625c5…
05-17 06:32:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5d398e…
05-17 06:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xebb47f…
05-17 06:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdca8dd…
05-17 06:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e5433…
05-17 06:18:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbd1b66…
05-17 05:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x2f8432…
05-17 05:35:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xab0d2d…
05-17 05:31:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xc83c78…
05-17 05:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe0c924…
05-17 03:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x31158b…
05-17 03:36:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1c5023…
05-17 01:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x37e670…
05-17 01:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x408213…
05-17 01:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x9cdd8d…
05-17 00:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5e814c…
05-17 00:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x25ffc7…
05-17 00:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xac1760…
05-16 23:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xcb7281…
05-16 23:04:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x532266…
05-16 22:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xe9b1b9…
05-16 22:37:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8f1c5f…
05-16 21:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x613afe…
05-16 21:21:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0a8517…
05-16 21:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x9f9f66…
05-16 21:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x528832…
05-16 21:09:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$0	0xd429b2…
05-16 21:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd7119a…
05-16 20:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x3acd0a…
05-16 20:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0371cf…
05-16 20:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb3b642…
05-16 20:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7f137d…