Palatable-Picture-Standoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

262

Trades

2,373

lifetime

Volume

$2.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-20 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 55% $-12

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	6	$19	40	40	+0	open	—	04-13 19:03
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	12	$15	50	50	+0	open	—	04-13 15:13
btc updown 15m 1776391200	4	$15	12	11	+0	open	—	04-17 02:11
btc updown 15m 1776445200	3	$15	57	7	+50	open	—	04-17 17:15
btc updown 15m 1776350700	12	$14	69	65	+4	open	—	04-16 14:59
btc updown 15m 1776447000	3	$14	174	7	+167	open	—	04-17 17:45
btc updown 15m 1776390300	3	$14	15	8	+7	open	—	04-17 02:00
btc updown 15m 1776389400	3	$13	14	7	+7	open	—	04-17 01:45
eth updown 5m 1777051800	2	$12	12	11	+1	open	—	04-24 17:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$12	33	33	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 23:53
btc updown 5m 1776216300	3	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$11	12	6	+5	open	—	04-26 06:54
btc updown 5m 1776879600	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$10	8	7	+1	open	—	04-26 07:08
btc updown 15m 1776438000	5	$10	11	6	+5	open	—	04-17 15:15
btc updown 15m 1776360600	9	$10	23	15	+8	open	—	04-16 17:42
btc updown 5m 1776220500	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-15 02:36
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 16:03
btc updown 5m 1776895500	4	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	04-22 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 15:52
btc updown 5m 1776879000	7	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 15:47
btc updown 5m 1776884400	3	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	04-22 19:02
btc updown 5m 1776873000	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 15:51
btc updown 15m 1776889800	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 20:43
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$9	35	28	+7	open	—	05-18 19:32
eth updown 15m 1776735000	4	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	04-21 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 15:58
btc updown 5m 1776880200	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-26 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 19:28:32	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x30a247…
05-20 19:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xebab1e…
05-20 19:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x78f334…
05-20 19:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3a31e4…
05-20 19:08:26	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd2faf7…
05-20 19:08:16	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3c3181…
05-20 16:44:53	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x30cd19…
05-20 16:42:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2dd247…
05-20 16:41:37	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc0f6be…
05-20 05:41:13	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xff0736…
05-20 05:40:59	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe12e27…
05-19 00:10:26	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x14f6f1…
05-18 23:53:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa882a9…
05-18 23:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd347e6…
05-18 23:37:54	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd88670…
05-18 19:36:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf5e6fe…
05-18 19:32:18	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x14d66f…
05-18 19:31:34	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xe07f77…
05-18 19:31:30	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x9bab43…
05-18 19:31:23	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb67012…
05-18 19:21:25	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x443948…
05-18 19:21:16	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8fece5…
05-18 18:28:30	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0xa15c73…
05-18 18:28:13	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x7f53a9…
05-18 18:27:27	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1285bc…
05-18 17:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbae5a9…
05-18 17:52:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x14b013…
05-18 17:33:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x773782…
05-18 17:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc537c3…
05-18 17:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x11d054…
05-18 16:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8c18fa…
05-18 16:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfc0bb9…
05-18 16:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xbc2cbb…
05-18 16:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1f7df5…
05-18 16:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xd1a9d7…
05-18 16:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x52fc6e…
05-18 15:56:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xf2ddd2…
05-18 15:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x03aaf0…
05-18 15:52:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1df98c…
05-18 15:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x942c9f…
05-18 15:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbb6380…
05-18 15:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb60eaf…
05-17 17:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x1918ef…
05-17 17:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x001cf1…
05-17 16:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd780f9…
05-17 06:34:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2625c5…
05-17 06:32:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5d398e…
05-17 06:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xebb47f…
05-17 06:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdca8dd…
05-17 06:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e5433…
05-17 06:18:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbd1b66…
05-17 05:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x2f8432…
05-17 05:35:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xab0d2d…
05-17 05:31:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xc83c78…
05-17 05:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe0c924…
05-17 03:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x31158b…
05-17 03:36:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1c5023…
05-17 01:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x37e670…
05-17 01:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x408213…
05-17 01:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x9cdd8d…
05-17 00:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5e814c…
05-17 00:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x25ffc7…
05-17 00:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xac1760…
05-16 23:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xcb7281…
05-16 23:04:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x532266…
05-16 22:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xe9b1b9…
05-16 22:37:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8f1c5f…
05-16 21:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x613afe…
05-16 21:21:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0a8517…
05-16 21:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x9f9f66…
05-16 21:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x528832…
05-16 21:09:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$0	0xd429b2…
05-16 21:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd7119a…
05-16 20:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x3acd0a…
05-16 20:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0371cf…
05-16 20:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb3b642…
05-16 20:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7f137d…
05-16 20:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x6e45af…
05-16 20:51:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x01ccb2…
05-16 17:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x467d81…
05-16 17:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe3835f…
05-16 17:49:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf209b4…
05-16 17:47:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x86c7df…
05-16 17:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x76647e…
05-16 17:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd79bbe…
05-16 17:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x118c85…
05-16 17:38:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x974ba4…
05-16 17:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6c43b8…
05-16 15:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xca995e…
05-16 15:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x162138…
05-16 15:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6b1c3c…
05-16 15:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb1b2e5…
05-16 15:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf18d62…
05-16 15:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd3bd33…
05-16 01:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa37399…
05-16 01:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x8fd58d…
05-16 01:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xca5e9c…
05-15 21:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xafd155…
05-15 21:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe40c41…
05-15 16:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x33f508…