Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$491

Unrealized P&L

-$62

Hit rate

34.6%

Resolved

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$120

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-08 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 5% -$202

Sports

30% 43% -$184

Politics

23% 33% -$6

Other

7% 0% -$99

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		-140	-$58	86¢	$-120	-$62	05-03 09:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$4	02-23 04:25
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$177	110	110	+0	Yes	-$1	02-21 06:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 18:45 UTC	2	$153	300	300	+0	Up	+$147	02-21 18:59
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$144	105	245	-140	open	—	06-23 10:12
nba hou was 2026 03 02	9	$106	922	0	+922	Rockets	-$106	03-02 05:09
nba cha was 2026 02 22	1	$100	556	0	+556	Hornets	-$100	02-22 09:35
nba sac sas 2026 02 21	1	$80	1,000	0	+1,000	Spurs	-$80	02-21 07:39
ethereum up or down on february 22	1	$80	308	0	+308	Down	-$80	02-22 09:23
lol gen fox1 2026 02 21	1	$80	667	0	+667	Gen.G	-$80	02-21 08:13
nba nyk cle 2026 02 24	1	$77	128	0	+128	Cavaliers	+$51	02-23 04:53
nba bkn atl 2026 02 22	1	$70	304	0	+304	Hawks	-$70	02-22 09:30
solana up or down february 21 3pm et	39	$67	1,521	0	+1,521	Down	-$67	02-21 20:45
ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	1	$50	167	0	+167	Strickland	+$117	02-21 07:57
bitcoin up or down on february 21	1	$50	192	0	+192	Up	-$50	02-21 08:26
bitcoin up or down february 21 3pm et	3	$28	719	19	+700	Down	+$3	02-21 20:53
solana up or down on february 22	1	$26	118	0	+118	Down	-$26	02-22 09:40
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$25	156	0	+156	No	-$25	03-05 04:15
nba uta hou 2026 02 23	1	$22	25	0	+25	Rockets	+$4	02-23 07:57
Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?	2	$14	54	0	+54	open	—	10-08 14:07
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$12	120	120	+0	open	—	10-08 08:12
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$9	129	0	+129	No	-$9	02-21 07:32
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?	1	$8	50	0	+50	No	-$8	06-23 10:19
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?	1	$8	50	0	+50	No	-$8	06-23 10:19
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 19:15 UTC	4	$7	600	0	+600	Down	-$7	02-21 19:29
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$6	100	0	+100	No	-$6	03-03 02:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	02-21 19:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 19:15 UTC	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	02-21 19:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 19:15 UTC	4	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	02-21 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC	37	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	02-21 19:14
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?	1	$4	60	0	+60	No	-$4	06-23 10:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 14:07:18	Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xb6cd20…
10-08 08:12:43	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	120	5¢	$6	0x1e0d12…
07-11 14:55:04	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2f83b6…
06-25 23:27:13	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xd3d289…
06-23 10:19:53	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x6bf1ff…
06-23 10:19:40	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe2b610…
06-23 10:17:43	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x31882c…
06-23 10:12:32	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	105	32¢	$34	0x813f05…
05-04 08:35:22	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	105	50¢	$52	0xb81c60…
05-03 09:57:38	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	140	41¢	$58	0xe4bb36…
03-05 04:15:11	Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xd402dc…
03-03 02:08:13	Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0xd08ff2…
03-02 19:08:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4d9871…
03-02 19:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0ddd42…
03-02 18:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd277d9…
03-02 18:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x65bd48…
03-02 18:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb2e47b…
03-02 18:41:07	Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x5aec55…
03-02 18:40:11	Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	162	1¢	$2	0x2d7c45…
03-02 05:09:41	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5fdd64…
03-02 05:08:35	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x7a1a02…
03-02 05:07:29	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	128	11¢	$14	0xd1d5cc…
03-02 05:06:39	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x6b459c…
03-02 05:06:09	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x8f7d08…
03-02 05:04:13	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xe666cf…
03-02 05:03:27	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x660a94…
03-02 05:03:19	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xf962d0…
03-02 05:01:19	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	507	12¢	$60	0x1ad076…
02-23 07:57:32	nba uta hou 2026 02 23	Rockets	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xd03379…
02-23 04:53:36	nba nyk cle 2026 02 24	Cavaliers	BUY	128	60¢	$77	0x2a8c4c…
02-23 04:25:56	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x11f783…
02-22 09:40:30	solana up or down on february 22	Up	BUY	118	22¢	$26	0x06752e…
02-22 09:35:48	nba cha was 2026 02 22	Wizards	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x761c55…
02-22 09:30:16	nba bkn atl 2026 02 22	Nets	BUY	304	23¢	$70	0x473e32…
02-22 09:23:32	ethereum up or down on february 22	Up	BUY	308	26¢	$80	0x4f03ed…
02-21 20:53:44	bitcoin up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	700	1¢	$5	0xca7879…
02-21 20:45:04	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xe09e23…
02-21 20:45:04	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x93c86c…
02-21 20:44:48	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc733c0…
02-21 20:44:26	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x020a25…
02-21 20:44:22	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27a2bc…
02-21 20:44:22	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x072712…
02-21 20:44:22	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x00c49e…
02-21 20:44:18	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xedb93f…
02-21 20:44:12	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1ef4a6…
02-21 20:43:56	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa3e09a…
02-21 20:43:54	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb27618…
02-21 20:43:54	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9b3a00…
02-21 20:43:46	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x123fcd…
02-21 20:43:26	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa5500f…
02-21 20:43:24	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9ce206…
02-21 20:43:24	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2fb8f9…
02-21 20:43:06	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2f02fd…
02-21 20:43:00	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	312	3¢	$8	0x0ca92f…
02-21 20:42:06	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x643cd5…
02-21 20:41:32	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xd9dd92…
02-21 20:40:56	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9befbd…
02-21 20:40:52	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb43fd2…
02-21 20:40:24	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x836116…
02-21 20:40:20	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xbe44cf…
02-21 20:40:20	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x56ac11…
02-21 20:40:14	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xb9d3b2…
02-21 20:40:14	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x75851b…
02-21 20:40:14	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x73af37…
02-21 20:40:14	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x0c5f51…
02-21 20:40:12	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3bfa41…
02-21 20:40:06	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xf233f6…
02-21 20:37:54	bitcoin up or down february 21 3pm et	Down	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x707bbd…
02-21 20:35:56	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x9315c5…
02-21 20:35:56	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x8fbfc2…
02-21 20:35:56	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x815332…
02-21 20:35:56	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x72f5b4…
02-21 20:34:56	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6a92b4…
02-21 20:34:54	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xaa434b…
02-21 20:34:54	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x84bb1a…
02-21 20:34:54	solana up or down february 21 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5e16b7…
02-21 20:33:12	bitcoin up or down february 21 3pm et	Down	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x89f7f8…
02-21 20:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xb3cda5…
02-21 20:19:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x18a979…
02-21 20:14:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x03bad2…
02-21 20:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc12a41…
02-21 20:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	164	1¢	$2	0x83a68d…
02-21 20:05:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x11d328…
02-21 20:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xf4945b…
02-21 20:04:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xed6386…
02-21 20:04:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x54b41f…
02-21 20:04:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4d307d…
02-21 20:04:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xbecc4f…
02-21 20:04:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb8da0b…
02-21 20:04:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1889fe…
02-21 20:04:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf65679…
02-21 20:04:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x81f4ac…
02-21 20:04:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x0d019a…
02-21 20:04:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf5ee17…
02-21 20:04:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xc844aa…
02-21 20:04:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3491b8…
02-21 20:04:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x6872ab…
02-21 20:04:38	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd3c108…
02-21 20:04:38	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xbd6db7…
02-21 20:04:38	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x32a5dd…