Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$907

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

264

Trades

580

lifetime

Volume

$8.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 03-10 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 48% -$745

Politics

22% 23% -$154

Other

1% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$1.1K	731	731	+0	Yes	+$12	03-05 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC	3	$513	594	33	+562	Down	-$448	03-05 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:15 UTC	1	$500	510	0	+510	Up	+$10	03-05 21:18
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	7	$351	631	631	+0	No	-$38	03-05 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:55 UTC	4	$287	153	153	+0	Up	+$16	03-04 13:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$239	313	313	+0	Yes	-$96	03-08 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:20 UTC	1	$230	353	0	+353	Up	-$230	03-05 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:05 UTC	4	$203	112	111	+1	Up	+$18	03-04 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:50 UTC	7	$183	120	118	+2	Up	+$53	03-04 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:00 UTC	3	$153	225	142	+83	Up	-$6	03-03 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:05 UTC	2	$126	91	90	+1	Up	+$54	03-05 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:15 UTC	3	$98	102	80	+22	Up	-$17	03-05 20:18
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	3	$96	88	88	+0	No	-$4	03-05 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:00 UTC	1	$90	94	0	+94	Down	+$4	03-03 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:20 UTC	3	$85	54	53	+1	Up	+$20	03-04 08:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:10 UTC	5	$83	98	10	+88	Down	-$3	03-03 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:25 UTC	3	$83	106	0	+106	Down	-$5	03-03 19:29
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$80	43	43	+0	No	$0	03-03 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:30 UTC	1	$78	82	0	+82	Down	+$4	03-03 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:15 UTC	3	$78	57	56	+1	Down	+$20	03-04 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 20:05 UTC	2	$75	87	0	+87	Down	-$2	03-03 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:05 UTC	3	$69	79	20	+59	Down	+$4	03-03 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:55 UTC	6	$67	75	74	+1	Up	+$16	03-03 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:05 UTC	2	$61	93	0	+93	Down	+$32	03-03 19:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:40 UTC	1	$60	67	0	+67	Up	+$7	03-04 18:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC	3	$59	39	38	+1	Up	+$18	03-04 19:14
bitcoin up or down march 4 2pm et	2	$56	54	54	+0	Down	+$18	03-04 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 20:15 UTC	5	$56	71	0	+71	Up	-$3	03-03 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 16:25 UTC	3	$55	77	0	+77	Down	+$18	03-03 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:25 UTC	5	$54	48	48	+1	Down	+$4	03-03 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-10 20:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf4890e…
03-10 20:28:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	113	35¢	$40	0x5e207a…
03-10 20:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa30e56…
03-10 20:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2cc24d…
03-10 20:12:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9fc7a2…
03-10 20:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfaa6b9…
03-10 20:06:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0966dd…
03-10 20:00:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5769c3…
03-10 19:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5e02bc…
03-10 19:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xef9709…
03-09 20:08:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	44	72¢	$32	0xb5a13f…
03-09 20:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xd994d7…
03-09 20:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x76b90b…
03-09 20:05:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x76291a…
03-09 19:37:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa58455…
03-09 19:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8d5d13…
03-09 10:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x966a56…
03-09 09:42:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xa466e6…
03-09 09:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x993bd9…
03-09 09:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8400c6…
03-09 07:33:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x86cd4a…
03-09 07:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe75bbf…
03-09 07:17:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x5af1e6…
03-09 07:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0a9ae5…
03-09 07:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe25643…
03-09 07:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfaeeee…
03-08 19:35:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x92c234…
03-08 19:33:43	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0xc7e788…
03-08 19:33:37	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x88889f…
03-08 19:33:27	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xdd05de…
03-08 19:33:15	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x1a3f8e…
03-08 19:33:11	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x1a9072…
03-08 19:32:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	235	18¢	$41	0x316f03…
03-05 22:23:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	353	65¢	$230	0xacfdfe…
03-05 22:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x698599…
03-05 22:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf418d4…
03-05 22:08:41	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	54	9¢	$5	0xb7ea24…
03-05 22:08:23	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	59	21¢	$12	0x392ddd…
03-05 22:08:15	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	SELL	49	52¢	$26	0x478715…
03-05 22:08:03	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	591	24¢	$144	0x146bab…
03-05 22:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x52a105…
03-05 22:04:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	561	83¢	$466	0x7284a6…
03-05 22:00:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x8937d4…
03-05 21:59:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0xe1579f…
03-05 21:58:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2c708a…
03-05 21:58:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xf7f902…
03-05 21:57:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3ed143…
03-05 21:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xdf29f7…
03-05 21:52:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	161	7¢	$12	0xcd172d…
03-05 21:48:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0xca1131…
03-05 21:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	58	24¢	$14	0xd2df4a…
03-05 21:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0x4959db…
03-05 21:43:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x112138…
03-05 21:40:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0b199a…
03-05 21:40:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	70	45¢	$32	0x275a59…
03-05 21:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xfc4165…
03-05 21:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xdac618…
03-05 21:32:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0xfd727d…
03-05 21:31:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7468f4…
03-05 21:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xfa2d72…
03-05 21:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb1bb6a…
03-05 21:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0x917a0c…
03-05 21:25:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xbfcfd8…
03-05 21:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1f1736…
03-05 21:18:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xe66ec6…
03-05 21:12:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x1b0f89…
03-05 21:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x696b80…
03-05 21:10:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x714c2a…
03-05 21:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	91	40¢	$37	0xabe04a…
03-05 21:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x73e43d…
03-05 21:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0xb2028c…
03-05 20:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x0c5bc1…
03-05 20:47:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0xbc9ffd…
03-05 20:45:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x1aa9d1…
03-05 20:44:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x375e6b…
03-05 20:37:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x98e495…
03-05 20:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe74c09…
03-05 20:28:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x494aab…
03-05 20:27:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x881f61…
03-05 20:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xa9db72…
03-05 20:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8174fa…
03-05 20:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x48f3d0…
03-05 20:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xcdc39d…
03-05 20:18:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x7cb84c…
03-05 20:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	80	45¢	$36	0xae6dd2…
03-05 20:15:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	89	67¢	$60	0x09c5bc…
03-05 20:13:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	41	51¢	$21	0x84a825…
03-05 20:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3a220a…
03-05 20:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x93a9dd…
03-05 20:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x08c372…
03-05 20:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xfc7d62…
03-05 20:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0xb12dfb…
03-05 20:05:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x7c034a…
03-05 20:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0x16d70c…
03-05 20:03:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xd06d0e…
03-05 19:59:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe4fe02…
03-05 19:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	69	15¢	$10	0x9b91a4…
03-05 19:57:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xd48bb8…
03-05 19:56:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xc746bb…
03-05 19:56:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xf97834…