Quixotic-Unblinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.4%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$200

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-09 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 20% $-5

Politics

11% — —

Sports

10% 0% $-0

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$30	27	26	+1	open	—	04-26 20:07
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	3	$16	133	124	+9	open	—	04-27 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-26 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-26 20:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	227	227	+0	open	—	04-27 01:36
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	6	$9	58	32	+26	open	—	04-30 02:12
Rockets vs. Lakers	3	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$7	26	3	+23	open	—	04-27 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	6	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	5	$6	38	10	+29	open	—	04-30 02:28
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$6	13	13	+0	open	—	04-27 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	6	5	+0	open	—	04-27 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$4	9	8	+0	open	—	04-26 20:03
Will Trump dance today?	2	$4	200	285	-85	open	—	04-27 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$3	106	1	+104	open	—	04-27 01:29
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$3	57	2	+55	open	—	04-27 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$3	157	0	+157	open	—	04-30 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$3	12	0	+12	Up	$-3	05-08 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	04-30 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 02:44
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	2	$3	133	124	+9	open	—	04-26 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$3	102	2	+100	open	—	04-30 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$2	5	4	+0	open	—	04-27 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-26 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 00:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7ca5ce…
05-09 00:21:12	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xeb3ec8…
05-08 22:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x956248…
05-08 22:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf17b5a…
05-08 21:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x696837…
05-08 21:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6e0208…
05-08 21:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2b5420…
05-08 21:03:02	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7505a2…
05-08 18:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xdaf67c…
05-08 18:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3beb32…
04-30 19:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6d77f9…
04-30 19:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x495994…
04-30 19:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe56b64…
04-30 18:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x43b472…
04-30 18:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x01fcf0…
04-30 18:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x4a9fbc…
04-30 18:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe33d9e…
04-30 18:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x886497…
04-30 03:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xa7aac6…
04-30 03:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x88d86c…
04-30 03:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5cef44…
04-30 03:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xe439e2…
04-30 03:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x87f4c6…
04-30 03:46:46	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x0e4b15…
04-30 03:43:48	Marcus Smart: Points O/U 2.5	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x3cd38b…
04-30 03:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xbf8316…
04-30 03:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x004e5d…
04-30 03:15:48	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xcce554…
04-30 02:50:52	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Kansas City Royals	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6f05b6…
04-30 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x4ab2f7…
04-30 02:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x458ef6…
04-30 02:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3536f1…
04-30 02:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9c67f0…
04-30 02:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd07066…
04-30 02:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb3d735…
04-30 02:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x73871a…
04-30 02:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd6025b…
04-30 02:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x47b84e…
04-30 02:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x4c19f3…
04-30 02:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6578c3…
04-30 02:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9801ea…
04-30 02:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc00245…
04-30 02:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef0dfb…
04-30 02:22:04	Marcus Smart: Points O/U 2.5	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd46d25…
04-30 02:20:24	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe7f264…
04-30 02:12:08	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x728caa…
04-30 02:11:26	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xefda57…
04-30 02:03:10	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xefaccd…
04-30 01:57:48	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x06ee5e…
04-30 01:56:16	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc58337…
04-30 01:54:52	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x2fa625…
04-30 01:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x6a6cd1…
04-30 01:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x40302e…
04-30 01:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9efed2…
04-27 02:01:44	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcf6213…
04-27 01:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x8edc53…
04-27 01:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x59ed00…
04-27 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9d6a79…
04-27 01:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x1faf91…
04-27 01:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xaa19b4…
04-27 01:52:12	Will Trump dance today?	No	SELL	285	1¢	$2	0x8f0763…
04-27 01:47:52	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4deb57…
04-27 01:47:48	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xead1b4…
04-27 01:45:34	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xca6200…
04-27 01:44:58	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xec13f0…
04-27 01:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$3	0x643fbb…
04-27 01:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8d0f97…
04-27 01:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x4cd658…
04-27 01:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x340cc6…
04-27 01:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x2ea71f…
04-27 01:36:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	2¢	$5	0x277d45…
04-27 01:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe8a0db…
04-27 01:29:02	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x231bb0…
04-27 01:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x9e0f0c…
04-27 01:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0c7a2f…
04-27 01:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x8d7cc8…
04-27 01:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x21b23a…
04-27 01:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x87a089…
04-27 01:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3154bb…
04-27 01:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x69442d…
04-27 01:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6944a7…
04-27 01:20:50	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x19d61e…
04-27 01:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd39235…
04-27 01:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc5f5c3…
04-27 01:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x0ec632…
04-27 01:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1a4466…
04-27 01:11:16	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x609dc8…
04-27 01:09:54	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x26c5f0…
04-27 01:09:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x551c47…
04-27 01:01:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xec5a36…
04-27 00:53:08	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x310de7…
04-27 00:52:34	Will Trump dance today?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x97e57d…
04-27 00:16:12	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x20d641…
04-27 00:13:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	124	6¢	$7	0x62f90e…
04-26 23:24:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	124	0¢	$1	0x3f8617…
04-26 21:00:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xdc397e…
04-26 20:30:28	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0xdece57…
04-26 20:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0x7e2318…
04-26 20:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6dafc7…
04-26 20:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x8bc2e2…