Unfit-Efficacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.71K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.86K

Hit rate

40.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

69 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$11.5K

$12.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$180

Open exposure

$450

1 position

First seen

2026-05-22

last 10-16 01:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

84% 17% -$661

Other

16% 12% -$1,982

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No		+10,000	$3,315	4¢	$450	-$2,865	10-01 03:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	2	$5.0K	12,000	2,000	+10,000	open	—	10-01 03:51
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	1	$2.5K	4,300	0	+4,300	Yes	+$1,849	09-07 20:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	5	$1.6K	14,210	0	+14,210	No	-$1,619	08-30 22:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	35	$890	204,333	0	+204,333	No	-$890	05-29 01:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$757	6,999	0	+6,999	Yes	-$757	09-28 02:25
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	1	$575	2,245	0	+2,245	Yes	-$575	10-01 03:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	2	$408	400	400	+0	open	—	10-16 01:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	9	$226	2,028	0	+2,028	Yes	-$226	10-01 05:39
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	1	$185	7,500	0	+7,500	Yes	-$185	10-16 01:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	1	$78	1,955	0	+1,955	No	-$78	08-30 21:56
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?	1	$63	210	0	+210	Yes	-$63	08-30 22:11
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	3	$60	262	0	+262	Yes	-$60	10-16 01:27
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx	1	$35	88	0	+88	Minnesota Lynx	-$35	05-28 02:14
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$34	35	0	+35	Hurricanes	+$1	05-28 02:13
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	1	$5	5	0	+5	Leviatán Esports	+$0	05-28 02:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?	1	$3	19	0	+19	No	-$3	05-28 02:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	05-22 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-28 02:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 01:32:18	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	7,500	2¢	$185	0x8f8b0d…
10-16 01:31:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	400	60¢	$240	0x4bd59c…
10-16 01:27:19	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x1166a9…
10-16 01:27:06	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0xa85ca3…
10-16 01:26:57	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x2ca80a…
10-01 05:39:35	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	221	11¢	$24	0x0d6686…
10-01 05:26:45	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x7cf00b…
10-01 05:20:53	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xa17ef4…
10-01 05:05:41	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0xb58629…
10-01 04:50:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x8d0e6a…
10-01 04:42:41	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x736237…
10-01 04:35:23	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x2c470f…
10-01 04:25:50	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xb1a765…
10-01 03:52:23	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	BUY	2,245	26¢	$575	0x129ccf…
10-01 03:52:11	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	1,078	11¢	$121	0xe939ea…
10-01 03:51:50	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	SELL	2,000	43¢	$860	0xd254d9…
09-28 02:25:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,100	10¢	$108	0xc98bb4…
09-23 03:39:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	400	42¢	$168	0xaa1569…
09-23 03:37:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	5,899	11¢	$649	0x99a982…
09-23 03:36:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	12,000	35¢	$4,175	0xd4631d…
09-07 20:15:57	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4,300	57¢	$2,451	0xb33052…
08-30 22:13:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	4,500	4¢	$202	0x06b609…
08-30 22:13:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	1,500	6¢	$90	0x849847…
08-30 22:11:13	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	30¢	$63	0x5a044d…
08-30 22:04:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	465	8¢	$36	0xef4df7…
08-30 21:57:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	5,354	14¢	$771	0x7b667c…
08-30 21:56:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	2,391	22¢	$520	0x6e542a…
08-30 21:56:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	BUY	1,955	4¢	$78	0x0cb1a7…
05-29 01:04:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xc15039…
05-28 07:09:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	265	0¢	$0	0xcc1c55…
05-28 07:06:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	15,000	1¢	$127	0x7f72ef…
05-28 06:53:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	7,000	0¢	$35	0x3d97cc…
05-28 06:35:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x53ce55…
05-28 06:34:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	71	0¢	$0	0xa6e6e5…
05-28 06:25:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,689	0¢	$2	0xa163c3…
05-28 06:21:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	2,445	0¢	$2	0xecb374…
05-28 06:16:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	113	0¢	$0	0x76e6e3…
05-28 06:16:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,819	0¢	$2	0x94de66…
05-28 05:17:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	4,311	0¢	$4	0x536b93…
05-28 05:16:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	3,659	0¢	$4	0x869aa0…
05-28 05:16:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	168	0¢	$0	0x3c58c7…
05-28 05:16:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	2,222	0¢	$2	0xf44c4d…
05-28 05:16:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb4afbb…
05-28 05:05:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	387	0¢	$0	0x5db445…
05-28 05:05:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	20,751	0¢	$21	0x1d0840…
05-28 04:58:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	15,000	1¢	$105	0xc2a90b…
05-28 04:25:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$17	0xa17e54…
05-28 04:13:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$24	0x8ade51…
05-28 04:11:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$28	0xdb153a…
05-28 04:10:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9f95fa…
05-28 04:05:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5f2a98…
05-28 03:47:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	12,874	0¢	$26	0x49b04e…
05-28 03:44:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x497112…
05-28 03:43:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x16bd87…
05-28 03:39:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x0007db…
05-28 02:43:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	60,000	0¢	$300	0x1fa873…
05-28 02:14:00	Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx	Atlanta Dream	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0x3ff277…
05-28 02:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x1aea28…
05-28 02:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfe0c21…
05-28 02:13:05	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x9a3bec…
05-28 02:12:48	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	Leviatán Esports	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2ff571…
05-28 02:03:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	7,115	0¢	$21	0xf2b724…
05-28 01:47:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa73274…
05-28 01:42:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb289e4…
05-28 01:39:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe98a78…
05-28 01:36:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	5,147	0¢	$15	0x20b6c1…
05-28 01:18:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xd7d588…
05-27 22:58:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	13,500	1¢	$135	0xe21adf…
05-22 11:12:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4775af…