Athletic-Burden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$711

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

2,118

Trades

3,134

lifetime

Volume

$5.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 09-12 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

93% 27% -$697

Crypto

5% 67% -$27

Politics

2% 100% +$13

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	2	$804	655	655	+0	No	-$493	03-10 13:42
bl2 h96 dyn 2026 02 22 dyn	2	$99	57	57	+0	No	-$1	02-22 13:46
khl met adm 2026 02 22	2	$66	58	58	+0	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	-$34	02-22 13:23
scop liv ran 2026 02 22 liv	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	02-22 10:12
sea rom cre 2026 02 22 cre	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	02-22 10:09
por mor spo 2026 02 21 mor	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	02-20 21:02
arg uni ald 2026 02 22 ald	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$7	02-22 15:48
tur fen kas 2026 02 23 kas	1	$50	53	0	+53	No	+$3	02-22 18:13
sea mil par 2026 02 22 par	1	$50	55	0	+55	Yes	-$50	02-22 10:13
por por rio 2026 02 22 por	1	$50	56	0	+56	Yes	+$6	02-22 10:19
will the bank of israel decrease the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	1	$50	56	0	+56	No	+$6	02-22 10:16
den sif mid 2026 02 22 sif	1	$50	59	0	+59	No	+$9	02-22 14:05
will the bank of israel make no change to the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	1	$50	56	0	+56	Yes	+$6	02-22 10:17
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 tot	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$7	02-22 10:21
elc she swe 2026 02 22 she	1	$50	59	0	+59	Yes	+$9	02-22 10:28
ere twe gro 2026 02 22 gro	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$7	02-22 10:25
cwbb lasal rich 2026 02 22	1	$50	54	0	+54	Richmond Spiders	+$4	02-22 18:15
ere fey tel 2026 02 22 tel	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	02-22 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 9?	7	$31	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11?	5	$16	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-11 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12?	3	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	06-11 11:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:50 UTC	4	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	06-11 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:35 UTC	5	$13	12	12	-0	Up	+$1	06-11 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:40 UTC	5	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	06-11 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 17:00 UTC	5	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	06-11 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:30 UTC	4	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	06-11 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:55 UTC	5	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	06-11 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:45 UTC	10	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	06-11 16:45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 10?	4	$12	12	12	+0	No	-$2	06-09 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 04:15 UTC	4	$11	12	6	+6	Down	-$2	06-23 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 16:20:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x929438…
09-12 06:26:46	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6d0cae…
09-11 21:57:22	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x9d4e6a…
09-11 20:50:22	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x047e6e…
09-11 20:46:43	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc2155f…
09-11 20:21:30	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x98258d…
09-11 20:21:28	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9be272…
09-11 20:21:24	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x6149ed…
09-11 08:42:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa69850…
08-22 13:44:15	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xdf387b…
08-18 05:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xf960be…
08-17 08:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x0d29eb…
08-17 08:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc49c2b…
08-17 08:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x04f309…
08-16 19:50:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x3b88f0…
08-16 13:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc9b95d…
08-16 09:26:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xa31022…
08-15 08:02:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xbcfac0…
08-15 08:01:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xf27512…
08-15 08:01:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x2c0ae6…
08-15 07:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x590e1e…
08-15 06:37:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xf959ca…
08-15 05:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x91e7f1…
08-15 04:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x01528a…
08-15 03:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x96c200…
08-15 03:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xdd6c7a…
08-15 03:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x75704c…
08-14 17:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x9f0908…
08-14 17:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfd817d…
08-14 17:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc78f1d…
08-14 14:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x777ac7…
08-14 14:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x4bcaab…
08-14 11:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xe01765…
08-14 11:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc5eefe…
08-14 11:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3603e7…
08-14 10:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x6b5684…
08-14 10:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe3adce…
08-14 05:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xa4c3fc…
08-14 05:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xb8ebb6…
08-12 09:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xbf79f6…
08-12 03:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb7c9ae…
08-12 01:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x8b921e…
08-12 00:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xb5df30…
08-11 08:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x906b8d…
08-11 08:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9734fa…
08-11 06:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xf20435…
08-11 06:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xcf9417…
08-11 04:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x9f5b33…
08-11 04:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 12?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe2dfd0…
08-11 04:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 11?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xa41383…
08-10 23:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x32ae56…
08-10 22:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x5c134d…
08-10 21:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x8f1a4d…
08-10 21:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 10?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x51874a…
08-10 16:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 12?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xee1366…
08-10 09:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa98722…
08-10 08:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb7e008…
08-10 08:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x1b3fa6…
08-10 07:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x49b93a…
08-10 06:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe99488…
08-10 06:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1f8ceb…
08-10 05:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 11?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf673a1…
08-10 00:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x17cff4…
08-10 00:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xaa7e2b…
08-09 20:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdadcf4…
08-09 16:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6f4e39…
08-09 15:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 9?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe8e0db…
08-09 12:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x159570…
08-09 12:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x358b0c…
08-09 12:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2dadb2…
08-09 11:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 9?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x223e40…
08-09 09:21:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x9f0de4…
08-09 08:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xc760b1…
08-09 08:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x8cae98…
08-09 08:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa9edb4…
08-09 07:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x873479…
08-09 07:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xda1704…
08-09 04:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb0a56f…
08-09 04:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4b90b0…
08-09 04:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 9?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9964a7…
08-07 15:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x393450…
08-07 00:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x7b04e7…
08-07 00:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x338704…
08-06 19:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x871030…
08-06 19:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbc9e92…
08-06 16:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2181d3…
08-06 14:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x0d651f…
08-06 07:15:02	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1fc41e…
08-06 07:02:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x951af8…
08-06 06:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe32c04…
08-06 06:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xdedb73…
08-06 06:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2baca2…
08-06 06:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xbd3710…
08-06 05:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5f41f1…
08-06 05:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8fa355…
08-06 05:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa581a9…
08-05 16:32:03	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x706204…
08-05 15:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 6?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xaa3354…
08-05 14:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xfc0550…
08-05 09:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xe58741…