Repulsive-Sustainment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

1,338

Trades

7,759

lifetime

Volume

$259.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-27 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 70% -$3,305

Other

35% 49% +$218

Politics

3% 74% +$1,069

Tech

0% 20% -$212

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 542 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	78	$3.5K	5,068	5,068	+0	Yes	+$288	02-20 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	43	$3.3K	2,183	2,992	-809	Yes	-$152	05-01 17:57
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	85	$3.2K	3,404	3,404	+0	Yes	+$1,074	03-04 17:00
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	121	$2.6K	10,307	10,591	-284	No	-$141	03-04 15:06
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	43	$2.4K	2,989	2,974	+14	Yes	+$337	03-02 16:59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	102	$2.4K	7,623	7,623	+0	No	+$111	05-26 16:00
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	91	$2.3K	8,231	8,231	+0	No	+$115	02-20 13:32
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	65	$2.2K	3,211	3,261	-51	Yes	+$184	03-02 20:58
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 90 114	38	$1.9K	2,979	1,629	+1,349	No	-$340	02-21 08:25
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	63	$1.8K	2,519	2,075	+444	No	+$51	05-15 14:22
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	48	$1.7K	2,173	3,105	-932	No	+$319	02-24 15:42
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	20	$1.7K	4,311	4,311	+0	No	-$1,467	03-05 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:50 UTC	9	$1.6K	1,312	1,312	+0	Down	-$34	08-27 08:55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	50	$1.6K	2,571	1,612	+959	No	-$104	06-15 15:17
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	23	$1.5K	1,347	1,347	+0	Yes	+$640	02-11 17:18
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	73	$1.4K	5,237	4,448	+789	No	+$88	02-14 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:05 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,944	1,546	+398	Down	-$296	08-27 12:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:20 UTC	12	$1.4K	1,092	1,092	+0	Down	+$450	08-24 19:24
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	10	$1.4K	1,231	1,231	+0	Yes	+$58	03-25 14:09
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	13	$1.4K	3,792	2,511	+1,281	Yes	+$1,071	03-19 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:05 UTC	62	$1.3K	814	814	+0	Up	+$225	08-24 19:07
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	53	$1.3K	11,965	4,175	+7,790	No	-$205	02-24 05:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	78	$1.3K	2,499	2,499	+0	Yes	+$949	06-13 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	2	$1.3K	1,423	1,423	+0	Down	-$602	08-27 12:03
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	61	$1.3K	7,588	3,907	+3,681	No	-$24	05-14 10:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	47	$1.2K	3,505	4,314	-809	No	+$26	04-30 21:23
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	31	$1.2K	1,443	1,443	+0	Yes	+$207	05-12 15:55
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	56	$1.1K	4,555	4,555	+0	No	+$163	02-20 04:13
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?	22	$1.1K	1,250	1,000	+250	Yes	+$279	06-13 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:15 UTC	11	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Up	-$29	08-21 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x15288b…
10-27 06:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x657907…
10-27 06:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	97	71¢	$69	0xf282b1…
10-27 06:11:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	64¢	$16	0xa202e3…
10-27 06:10:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x7e7060…
10-27 06:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x27d6e0…
10-27 06:10:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	64¢	$24	0xd74e80…
10-27 06:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x02bfd2…
10-27 06:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	82	41¢	$34	0xb33b47…
10-27 06:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xcbf2a9…
10-27 06:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x994060…
10-27 06:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xc5eac9…
10-27 06:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x0b92d3…
10-27 06:03:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	63¢	$51	0x75d20e…
10-27 06:03:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$0	0x36beca…
10-27 06:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	63¢	$12	0xb4734d…
10-27 05:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x835ba1…
10-27 05:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	90	77¢	$69	0x6a9e24…
10-27 05:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	78	89¢	$69	0x5cc84e…
10-27 05:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	119	22¢	$26	0xeadf4c…
10-27 05:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x164852…
10-27 05:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	103	34¢	$35	0xb53e48…
10-27 05:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	111	62¢	$69	0x1e9a1c…
10-27 05:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	103	67¢	$69	0x762eff…
10-27 05:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x770b15…
10-27 05:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x06dc5b…
10-27 05:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x3e37cf…
10-27 05:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	89	78¢	$69	0x4363df…
10-27 05:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	87	79¢	$69	0x6bccb9…
10-27 05:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	69¢	$36	0x272095…
10-27 05:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	87	79¢	$69	0x09160c…
10-27 05:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	78	100¢	$77	0xf48cf0…
10-27 05:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	78	89¢	$69	0xaa7842…
10-27 05:05:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xe83d51…
10-27 05:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0xda8d2c…
10-27 05:05:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	297	59¢	$176	0x1b0269…
10-26 19:07:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	355	47¢	$167	0x78b217…
10-26 19:07:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x65950e…
10-26 17:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x083d5b…
10-26 17:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	130	34¢	$44	0x27598e…
10-26 17:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xa2bb7d…
10-26 17:42:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0x825cb7…
10-26 17:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	12¢	$9	0x3e292e…
10-26 17:13:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xeecb21…
10-26 16:35:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x45b9d7…
10-26 16:35:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x9ed5f6…
10-26 16:34:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xc84d19…
10-26 16:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xda0c9d…
10-26 16:33:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x514305…
10-26 16:21:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x2bcc0d…
10-26 14:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x66ad2c…
10-26 14:09:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	49¢	$31	0x908e10…
10-26 14:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1d652c…
10-26 13:56:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x122a7e…
10-26 13:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3fb0de…
10-26 13:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xed7916…
10-26 13:46:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x8490dd…
10-26 13:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x0b9f7e…
10-26 13:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8b6da6…
10-26 13:19:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x08c143…
10-26 11:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xd12f7b…
10-26 11:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x233526…
10-26 11:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xa09c13…
10-26 11:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x2d2322…
10-26 11:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xcd6bb3…
10-26 11:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	93	74¢	$69	0x9106cf…
10-26 11:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x05e542…
10-26 11:06:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	82¢	$57	0xdca275…
10-26 11:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x8db967…
10-26 08:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xd7b149…
10-26 06:59:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x49dd5d…
10-26 06:56:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc61651…
10-23 17:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	206	24¢	$49	0x65c3be…
10-23 17:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x2002ef…
10-23 17:29:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	246	5¢	$12	0xe16a08…
10-23 17:27:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x2f8907…
10-23 17:26:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0xdc2182…
10-23 17:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x6d69b0…
10-23 17:24:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x17395f…
10-23 17:23:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x722895…
10-23 17:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x7525e7…
10-23 17:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x99b719…
10-23 17:13:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0xbd7958…
10-23 17:13:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x3af03a…
10-23 17:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xc47f68…
10-23 17:10:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	13¢	$8	0x00ca38…
10-23 17:10:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	15¢	$26	0xbebc77…
10-23 17:10:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x45eb7b…
10-23 17:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x7a076e…
10-23 17:09:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	19¢	$18	0xb7e3e5…
10-23 17:09:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x7664d8…
10-23 17:09:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xc54b23…
10-23 17:04:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	23¢	$27	0x29e2c4…
10-23 17:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xdb2e50…
10-23 17:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	24¢	$28	0xeef8cb…
10-23 17:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	23¢	$46	0x9e9d8b…
10-23 17:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x962cb0…
10-23 17:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x7f69a5…
10-23 17:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0x54b609…
10-23 17:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0xf7a93b…