Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$979

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

106

Trades

1,791

lifetime

Volume

$261.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$146

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-16

last 10-06 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 60% -$1,242

Other

19% 100% +$533

Politics

8% 0% -$271

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 554 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	15	$24.1K	12,660	12,660	+0	open	—	09-29 15:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	10	$21.4K	11,061	11,061	+0	Yes	-$271	09-29 18:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	9	$17.7K	9,057	9,057	+0	open	—	09-30 18:04
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	1	$7.1K	7,615	0	+7,615	Yes	+$533	10-03 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	32	$6.7K	3,697	3,697	+0	Down	+$668	10-01 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	37	$6.1K	3,795	3,795	+0	Down	-$59	10-06 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	18	$4.6K	2,464	2,464	+0	Up	+$239	10-06 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:50 UTC	45	$4.4K	4,749	587	+4,163	Up	-$72	10-03 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	45	$4.3K	5,051	636	+4,415	Down	+$130	10-03 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	40	$4.0K	4,405	0	+4,405	Up	+$405	10-01 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	39	$3.9K	4,284	0	+4,284	Down	+$384	10-01 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:35 UTC	39	$3.9K	4,196	250	+3,946	Down	+$197	09-30 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	38	$3.7K	4,130	2,706	+1,424	Up	-$1,879	10-06 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	35	$3.7K	3,930	1,715	+2,215	Down	-$702	10-01 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	19	$3.6K	2,039	2,038	+0	Up	+$239	10-01 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:20 UTC	36	$3.6K	3,938	0	+3,938	Up	+$369	09-28 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	32	$3.2K	3,650	0	+3,650	Up	+$450	10-01 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	26	$3.1K	3,002	1,471	+1,531	Down	-$124	10-06 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	25	$3.1K	2,645	1,606	+1,039	Up	-$260	10-01 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:50 UTC	31	$3.1K	3,264	0	+3,264	Up	+$182	09-30 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	31	$3.0K	3,524	0	+3,524	Down	+$499	10-01 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	31	$3.0K	3,493	1,188	+2,305	Up	-$671	10-01 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:40 UTC	30	$3.0K	3,460	634	+2,826	Up	+$23	10-03 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	28	$2.9K	3,425	955	+2,470	Up	-$22	10-01 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:25 UTC	29	$2.9K	3,516	0	+3,516	Up	-$263	09-28 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	29	$2.8K	3,174	420	+2,754	Up	-$4	10-01 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	26	$2.8K	3,146	0	+3,146	Up	+$346	10-06 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	27	$2.7K	3,240	690	+2,549	Down	+$26	10-03 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:00 UTC	26	$2.6K	2,769	0	+2,769	Up	+$169	09-29 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:15 UTC	26	$2.6K	2,873	0	+2,873	Down	+$273	09-30 18:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 17:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x65f3a3…
10-06 17:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2,462	99¢	$2,437	0x6bd1a2…
10-06 17:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xd4ab2e…
10-06 17:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xde9b85…
10-06 17:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xfbef07…
10-06 17:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0ce461…
10-06 17:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xdd7381…
10-06 17:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xcfd81e…
10-06 17:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	221	91¢	$200	0x2cb7de…
10-06 17:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x351d67…
10-06 17:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd04e75…
10-06 17:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xcf00d8…
10-06 17:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x46e6dd…
10-06 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xc40f84…
10-06 17:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0xfdeb57…
10-06 17:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x0ef028…
10-06 17:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	118	84¢	$100	0xd486a7…
10-06 17:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x6a9824…
10-06 17:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xdb6045…
10-06 17:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x901445…
10-06 17:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x55fb62…
10-06 17:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x037e98…
10-06 17:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xa32225…
10-06 17:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x074df2…
10-06 17:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	208	15¢	$32	0xe4aa9d…
10-06 17:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xba8a73…
10-06 17:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x3f4a85…
10-06 17:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	400	58¢	$232	0xe6d00d…
10-06 17:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xfb88ee…
10-06 17:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x376bcc…
10-06 17:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xa27dc8…
10-06 16:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	817	99¢	$809	0xb91ea0…
10-06 16:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x61857e…
10-06 16:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x2edfcb…
10-06 16:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x5cd38e…
10-06 16:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xed1487…
10-06 16:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8d3d75…
10-06 16:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x632007…
10-06 16:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3bbe57…
10-06 16:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x558ca7…
10-06 16:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8d968b…
10-06 16:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb403de…
10-06 16:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xef702b…
10-06 16:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xd30485…
10-06 16:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x1c3282…
10-06 16:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x8cab49…
10-06 16:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xc07605…
10-06 16:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xb594b6…
10-06 16:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6a74dd…
10-06 16:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x7ed0b6…
10-06 16:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe25dc9…
10-06 16:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x38f824…
10-06 16:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x173fde…
10-06 16:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x455b71…
10-06 16:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3b0d20…
10-06 16:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xae2aea…
10-06 16:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf61f5f…
10-06 16:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb6b6ef…
10-06 16:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x9017fd…
10-06 16:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd0fba0…
10-06 16:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x3275c0…
10-06 16:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xddb515…
10-06 16:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x4a24b9…
10-06 16:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xcc88f9…
10-06 16:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x86ce9f…
10-06 16:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x329b4f…
10-06 16:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x583c6d…
10-06 16:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x481b65…
10-06 16:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x8c480e…
10-06 16:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x3da990…
10-06 16:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x8ae054…
10-06 16:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	652	7¢	$45	0xa581f5…
10-06 16:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xb78d4a…
10-06 16:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x044e98…
10-06 16:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xd9bf01…
10-06 16:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xeda32d…
10-06 16:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xae131d…
10-06 16:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x781ebd…
10-06 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xddbefd…
10-06 16:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x925b01…
10-06 16:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xc6aafb…
10-06 16:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xaf2969…
10-06 16:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x7aba79…
10-06 16:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x6b497a…
10-06 16:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x56ab6d…
10-06 16:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0xf959de…
10-06 16:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9fb191…
10-06 16:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4ec964…
10-06 16:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa30633…
10-06 16:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9ea658…
10-06 16:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0a91dc…
10-06 16:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xaf916c…
10-06 16:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xba5be1…
10-06 16:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xeb232a…
10-06 16:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x86e298…
10-06 16:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x6a4515…
10-06 16:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x99452f…
10-06 16:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf68053…
10-06 16:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	204	16¢	$33	0xffa116…
10-06 16:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x2b98c0…