Similar-Grove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

-$292

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$321

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-01 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

83% 62% $-68

Crypto

13% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-6

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+1,159	$598	26¢	$296	$-303	06-16 16:23
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	-25	$-23	99¢	$-25	$-2	06-05 19:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	-190	$-13	0¢	$-0	+$13	06-25 17:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$3.6K	1,833	1,833	+0	open	—	05-30 05:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$3.4K	1,785	1,785	+0	open	—	05-28 13:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	2	$1.5K	2,017	0	+2,017	open	—	05-30 07:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$1.3K	752	752	+0	open	—	05-28 16:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$1.1K	1,669	510	+1,159	open	—	06-16 16:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	1	$950	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	06-16 08:16
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	6	$703	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	06-30 12:48
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	9	$650	1,983	1,279	+703	open	—	06-14 21:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	3	$420	220	220	+0	Down	+$20	05-11 19:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$404	209	209	+0	open	—	05-26 18:37
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	3	$400	1,682	0	+1,682	open	—	07-01 18:26
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$400	419	0	+419	Down	+$19	05-08 18:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	2	$384	225	225	+0	open	—	06-12 22:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$376	200	200	+0	open	—	05-31 05:24
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	2	$294	439	0	+439	open	—	07-01 18:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	3	$254	129	129	+0	open	—	05-21 14:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	2	$242	143	143	+0	open	—	05-20 18:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?	3	$222	113	113	+0	open	—	05-17 05:56
will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$214	127	127	+0	open	—	06-09 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	2	$213	110	110	+0	open	—	05-16 13:41
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$194	123	123	+0	Sean Strickland	$-6	05-10 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	2	$192	253	0	+253	open	—	05-18 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	3	$187	195	0	+195	open	—	05-18 18:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	2	$173	100	100	+0	open	—	05-23 09:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$164	200	0	+200	Up	+$36	05-11 19:42
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	2	$163	104	104	+0	open	—	05-18 05:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 17?	2	$159	121	50	+71	open	—	05-17 06:31
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	2	$136	176	0	+176	open	—	05-18 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	1	$130	190	0	+190	open	—	05-18 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 18:28:23	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	250	73¢	$182	0xa3262b…
07-01 18:26:47	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	1,631	24¢	$392	0xeddb9e…
07-01 10:27:46	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x541b03…
07-01 10:26:52	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	189	59¢	$112	0xde0767…
06-30 13:09:58	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0x463c58…
06-30 12:48:28	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	1,700	0¢	$2	0xa1184b…
06-30 12:48:23	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	SELL	3,200	0¢	$3	0xe7679e…
06-25 17:06:29	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x0a382c…
06-25 17:06:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	190	7¢	$13	0xc17bbf…
06-16 19:31:50	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	BUY	1,700	6¢	$94	0x347c02…
06-16 18:36:44	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	348	22¢	$76	0x21d996…
06-16 18:32:22	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x60751d…
06-16 18:20:32	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xdc9acc…
06-16 17:53:53	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x3a77e9…
06-16 17:48:07	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	2,824	22¢	$618	0x175418…
06-16 16:23:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	159	57¢	$91	0x30a5ac…
06-16 16:21:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x95c631…
06-16 08:16:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x1fb503…
06-15 12:57:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0xfe45ad…
06-15 12:10:52	will ai be said 35 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260612212743963	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x86a925…
06-15 12:10:52	will ai be said 35 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260612212743963	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x6c3dfb…
06-15 11:12:40	will ai be said 35 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260612212743963	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfa6896…
06-15 06:13:09	will people be said 200 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 15 20260611144822133	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x32e723…
06-14 21:58:37	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x7e5084…
06-14 21:53:10	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	130	26¢	$34	0x2bd50d…
06-14 21:46:57	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$12	0x77f546…
06-14 21:46:43	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	1,000	26¢	$260	0x88133c…
06-14 21:46:39	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$12	0x30de25…
06-14 21:46:03	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0xa66153…
06-14 21:45:42	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0xec47e8…
06-14 18:53:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xe38a26…
06-12 22:34:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0x4832c0…
06-12 16:26:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	33	50¢	$17	0x52ffba…
06-12 16:26:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	477	50¢	$238	0x9ace80…
06-11 08:52:21	f1 catalunya grand prix safety car 2026 06 14	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xb5627a…
06-10 18:19:33	will oracle say vision during earnings call 20260608174328855	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xdf70c0…
06-10 08:49:18	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x5cd8df…
06-09 21:35:21	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	82	90¢	$74	0x3149cc…
06-09 19:43:21	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x2d950f…
06-09 18:04:39	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xce9cec…
06-09 17:58:18	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xb50120…
06-08 19:15:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	510	28¢	$143	0x27becd…
06-07 17:44:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x008585…
06-05 19:57:10	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x072df8…
06-05 06:24:36	will people be said 200 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x5710ec…
05-31 05:24:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x45b8b8…
05-30 07:32:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xcca51f…
05-30 07:07:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	1,473	16¢	$236	0x9e995b…
05-30 05:52:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	510	16¢	$82	0xb2af3b…
05-30 05:49:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,484	0xc041e5…
05-30 05:46:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1,833	100¢	$1,830	0x754954…
05-29 16:54:40	Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xce9436…
05-28 19:54:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	225	71¢	$159	0xc7c291…
05-28 16:32:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	752	99¢	$748	0x5c2a98…
05-28 13:19:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	1,819	97¢	$1,760	0xf8103e…
05-28 13:16:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x8aebca…
05-28 13:13:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	1,785	100¢	$1,779	0xd114af…
05-27 19:03:38	Will Dell say "Computer" or "Laptop" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x74c747…
05-26 18:37:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0x5f392a…
05-26 15:53:28	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x015d37…
05-26 11:49:12	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x5ef8d7…
05-25 14:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x2ee79b…
05-25 14:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xbd2102…
05-25 14:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$14	0xacad3a…
05-25 14:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x57c9fb…
05-25 13:02:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x3646c1…
05-25 08:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x56009f…
05-24 10:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xdfc643…
05-23 09:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0xef649f…
05-23 09:12:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x0e4fbd…
05-23 09:05:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xa5083b…
05-23 07:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x9b7cc4…
05-23 07:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	95	55¢	$52	0x505fa7…
05-23 07:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x198b36…
05-23 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0efc1b…
05-22 05:41:54	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x51f7b7…
05-21 15:30:24	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xec17cb…
05-21 15:15:44	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 21?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x2abc00…
05-21 15:15:30	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x2326eb…
05-21 15:14:41	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc3131a…
05-21 15:13:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	130	80¢	$104	0x1de1a2…
05-21 15:08:44	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x31ee60…
05-21 15:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x44f8fe…
05-21 14:57:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xbf9d81…
05-21 12:49:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x23c8ac…
05-21 12:49:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xdf9e74…
05-21 10:19:00	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x15be1e…
05-21 05:46:36	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x4bed0b…
05-20 21:22:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x4b2596…
05-20 21:22:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3cebf0…
05-20 21:10:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x889571…
05-20 20:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x604278…
05-20 20:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x949232…
05-20 19:19:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0x226270…
05-20 19:15:21	Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe42a56…
05-20 18:46:01	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5808e1…
05-20 18:44:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	143	99¢	$142	0xbf78d1…
05-20 10:08:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x5a1c60…
05-20 09:35:05	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Ukraine" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb7b51d…
05-20 09:30:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x8650f6…