Similar-Grove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

$355

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-09 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

79% 62% $-68

Crypto

16% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-6

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	+225	$159	79¢	$178	+$18	05-28 19:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+510	$143	30¢	$156	+$13	06-08 19:15
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	-25	$-23	86¢	$-21	+$2	06-05 19:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$3.6K	1,833	1,833	+0	open	—	05-30 05:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$3.4K	1,785	1,785	+0	open	—	05-28 13:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	2	$1.5K	2,017	0	+2,017	open	—	05-30 07:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$1.3K	752	752	+0	open	—	05-28 16:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	3	$420	220	220	+0	Down	+$20	05-11 19:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$404	209	209	+0	open	—	05-26 18:37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$400	419	0	+419	Down	+$19	05-08 18:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$376	200	200	+0	open	—	05-31 05:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	2	$317	1,983	0	+1,983	open	—	05-30 07:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	3	$254	129	129	+0	open	—	05-21 14:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	2	$242	143	143	+0	open	—	05-20 18:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?	3	$222	113	113	+0	open	—	05-17 05:56
will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$214	127	127	+0	open	—	06-09 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	2	$213	110	110	+0	open	—	05-16 13:41
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$194	123	123	+0	Sean Strickland	$-6	05-10 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	2	$192	253	0	+253	open	—	05-18 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	3	$187	195	0	+195	open	—	05-18 18:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	2	$173	100	100	+0	open	—	05-23 09:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$164	200	0	+200	Up	+$36	05-11 19:42
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	2	$163	104	104	+0	open	—	05-18 05:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 17?	2	$159	121	50	+71	open	—	05-17 06:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	1	$159	225	0	+225	open	—	05-28 19:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$143	510	0	+510	open	—	06-08 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	2	$136	176	0	+176	open	—	05-18 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	1	$130	190	0	+190	open	—	05-18 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	1	$130	188	0	+188	open	—	05-18 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET	5	$128	211	115	+96	open	—	05-18 05:55
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	1	$104	130	0	+130	open	—	05-21 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	1	$102	136	0	+136	open	—	05-18 14:22
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 20?	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	05-20 10:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:35:21	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	82	90¢	$74	0x3149cc…
06-09 19:43:21	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x2d950f…
06-09 18:04:39	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xce9cec…
06-09 17:58:18	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xb50120…
06-08 19:15:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	510	28¢	$143	0x27becd…
06-07 17:44:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x008585…
06-05 19:57:10	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x072df8…
06-05 06:24:36	will people be said 200 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x5710ec…
05-31 05:24:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x45b8b8…
05-30 07:32:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xcca51f…
05-30 07:07:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	1,473	16¢	$236	0x9e995b…
05-30 05:52:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	510	16¢	$82	0xb2af3b…
05-30 05:49:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,484	0xc041e5…
05-30 05:46:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1,833	100¢	$1,830	0x754954…
05-29 16:54:40	Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xce9436…
05-28 19:54:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	225	71¢	$159	0xc7c291…
05-28 16:32:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	752	99¢	$748	0x5c2a98…
05-28 13:19:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	1,819	97¢	$1,760	0xf8103e…
05-28 13:16:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x8aebca…
05-28 13:13:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	1,785	100¢	$1,779	0xd114af…
05-27 19:03:38	Will Dell say "Computer" or "Laptop" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x74c747…
05-26 18:37:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0x5f392a…
05-26 15:53:28	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x015d37…
05-26 11:49:12	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x5ef8d7…
05-25 14:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x2ee79b…
05-25 14:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xbd2102…
05-25 14:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$14	0xacad3a…
05-25 14:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x57c9fb…
05-25 13:02:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x3646c1…
05-25 08:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x56009f…
05-24 10:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xdfc643…
05-23 09:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0xef649f…
05-23 09:12:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x0e4fbd…
05-23 09:05:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xa5083b…
05-23 07:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x9b7cc4…
05-23 07:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	95	55¢	$52	0x505fa7…
05-23 07:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x198b36…
05-23 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0efc1b…
05-22 05:41:54	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x51f7b7…
05-21 15:30:24	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xec17cb…
05-21 15:15:44	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 21?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x2abc00…
05-21 15:15:30	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x2326eb…
05-21 15:14:41	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc3131a…
05-21 15:13:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	130	80¢	$104	0x1de1a2…
05-21 15:08:44	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x31ee60…
05-21 15:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x44f8fe…
05-21 14:57:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xbf9d81…
05-21 12:49:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x23c8ac…
05-21 12:49:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xdf9e74…
05-21 10:19:00	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x15be1e…
05-21 05:46:36	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x4bed0b…
05-20 21:22:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x4b2596…
05-20 21:22:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3cebf0…
05-20 21:10:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x889571…
05-20 20:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x604278…
05-20 20:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x949232…
05-20 19:19:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0x226270…
05-20 19:15:21	Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe42a56…
05-20 18:46:01	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5808e1…
05-20 18:44:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	143	99¢	$142	0xbf78d1…
05-20 10:08:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x5a1c60…
05-20 09:35:05	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Ukraine" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb7b51d…
05-20 09:30:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x8650f6…
05-19 08:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1b9897…
05-19 08:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7aa91d…
05-19 07:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe5ef32…
05-19 07:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0af8e8…
05-18 20:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x1abd39…
05-18 20:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	240	75¢	$180	0x9738da…
05-18 18:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xc5c923…
05-18 18:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0xb1bb65…
05-18 18:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xfdc6b2…
05-18 18:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0xdb3021…
05-18 16:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	190	69¢	$130	0x4c89f5…
05-18 15:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0xa4991c…
05-18 14:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	136	75¢	$102	0x550a48…
05-18 14:13:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x7d7ff2…
05-18 12:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x8342fc…
05-18 12:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xfe54cf…
05-18 10:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	159	80¢	$127	0xdef522…
05-18 10:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x595689…
05-18 09:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	136	68¢	$93	0xc8ac7f…
05-18 08:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x37d619…
05-18 08:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x8baae3…
05-18 07:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	188	69¢	$130	0x2c4ba9…
05-18 06:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0xf72a61…
05-18 06:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x0d299b…
05-18 05:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	83	26¢	$22	0xde171a…
05-18 05:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	32	26¢	$8	0xc37247…
05-18 05:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0xccfe96…
05-18 05:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	115	16¢	$18	0xf89fef…
05-18 05:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x9b1b16…
05-18 05:42:11	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x6e8c1a…
05-17 19:41:52	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	104	57¢	$59	0x809293…
05-17 18:18:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	77	93¢	$71	0x661ffb…
05-17 06:31:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xd83491…
05-17 06:15:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	67	5¢	$3	0x64af1b…
05-17 06:02:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	121	92¢	$112	0x884bec…
05-17 05:56:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xe05d70…
05-16 15:28:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xf26f67…