Naive-Inspection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

953

Trades

4,021

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-03 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

84% 30% +$74

Crypto

16% 65% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?	2	$427	227	227	+0	No	+$27	08-07 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	22	$377	894	60	+834	No	+$61	08-11 05:27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 6?	17	$363	278	278	+0	Yes	+$193	07-06 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 17?	17	$249	180	180	+0	Yes	+$111	08-17 12:14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 21?	2	$243	143	143	+0	No	+$43	07-21 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 1?	4	$219	124	124	+0	No	+$19	06-01 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15?	16	$218	120	120	+0	No	+$21	06-15 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 20?	11	$216	177	177	+0	Yes	+$138	07-20 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 15?	2	$215	116	116	+0	No	+$15	06-15 00:32
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?	7	$214	135	135	+0	Yes	+$55	08-04 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	8	$204	182	182	+0	Yes	+$160	06-23 09:52
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 6?	3	$200	112	112	+0	No	+$0	08-06 18:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4?	3	$191	101	101	+0	No	+$11	08-04 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 8?	19	$184	146	146	+0	Yes	+$108	07-08 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?	4	$183	114	114	+0	No	+$3	06-16 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 20?	3	$177	109	109	+0	No	-$23	08-20 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 17?	14	$174	352	156	+196	No	-$36	08-17 12:14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 11?	3	$173	115	115	+0	No	-$27	08-11 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 28?	2	$167	87	87	+0	No	+$7	05-28 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?	3	$165	146	146	+0	Yes	+$127	06-16 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 31?	3	$160	85	85	+0	No	+$10	07-31 17:10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 1?	8	$160	95	95	+0	No	+$2	08-01 18:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?	3	$146	77	77	+0	No	+$6	05-27 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?	22	$145	357	140	+217	No	-$70	06-25 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 6?	14	$141	176	176	+0	No	+$53	06-06 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?	3	$140	104	104	+0	Yes	+$68	06-14 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 31?	9	$140	112	112	+0	Yes	+$48	07-31 23:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?	4	$135	91	91	+0	No	+$35	09-20 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 6?	2	$135	79	79	+0	No	-$5	08-06 15:48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 4?	3	$134	74	74	+0	No	+$4	08-04 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 22:55:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x7faea9…
10-03 19:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x23de80…
10-02 21:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xdcd048…
10-02 21:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xf3ca4c…
10-02 21:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x7e3aac…
10-01 20:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 2?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x0bb24e…
10-01 00:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xb2243a…
09-29 20:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xd9890c…
09-24 14:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xcd06e5…
09-24 12:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x78d6a3…
09-20 06:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?	No	SELL	79	93¢	$73	0x528338…
09-20 06:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa5b162…
09-20 06:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x82e3b8…
09-19 16:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x40ff9f…
08-22 09:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x8449a1…
08-22 08:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xadd04b…
08-22 08:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0xe672b7…
08-22 05:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x789f77…
08-21 10:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xeab2fc…
08-21 10:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x580b43…
08-21 10:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf36fef…
08-21 08:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	83	46¢	$38	0xe16084…
08-21 06:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xf5569e…
08-21 06:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa58ccc…
08-21 06:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8b5348…
08-21 05:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xe57363…
08-21 05:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x8fedc1…
08-21 04:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2740a9…
08-21 04:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe298bb…
08-21 04:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x37ac61…
08-21 04:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xba01c4…
08-21 04:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0x73fd7c…
08-21 04:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	31	26¢	$8	0xbf9d9b…
08-21 04:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xd22588…
08-21 04:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3ea9c8…
08-21 03:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x2e4507…
08-21 03:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x5b70f0…
08-21 03:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xab608f…
08-21 03:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x07098d…
08-21 03:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x02d93b…
08-21 03:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x42dca9…
08-21 03:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8dcc2c…
08-21 03:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x63dc87…
08-21 03:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x55e898…
08-21 03:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe9c362…
08-21 03:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xaca482…
08-21 03:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xb581e9…
08-21 03:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xa60741…
08-21 03:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa8ab4d…
08-21 03:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd37b1d…
08-21 03:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x40334a…
08-21 03:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x4e14f7…
08-20 05:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 20?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x9db239…
08-20 05:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 20?	No	SELL	99	72¢	$71	0x3f8703…
08-20 05:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3fa96d…
08-20 05:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb2d16d…
08-20 05:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	71	28¢	$20	0x943afb…
08-20 05:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1ab58e…
08-20 04:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 20?	No	SELL	57	69¢	$39	0x2b8d76…
08-20 04:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0x0e185f…
08-20 04:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 20?	No	SELL	73	69¢	$51	0x161b9c…
08-20 04:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 20?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xcb6e55…
08-20 03:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa9fbf5…
08-20 03:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x140365…
08-20 03:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x8b8de1…
08-20 03:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3e63ba…
08-20 03:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3f33b6…
08-20 03:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 20?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x1e8b84…
08-20 03:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x851e29…
08-20 03:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x385e8a…
08-20 03:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x253483…
08-20 03:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb8aa32…
08-20 03:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd332cf…
08-20 03:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x7219e9…
08-20 03:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0x3a0a3a…
08-20 03:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x01b1cf…
08-20 03:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 20?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xdea792…
08-20 03:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xfa7248…
08-20 03:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xc7a67c…
08-20 03:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x621f72…
08-20 03:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xc84bc4…
08-20 03:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 20?	No	BUY	61	83¢	$50	0xa2273c…
08-20 03:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8852d9…
08-20 03:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x991744…
08-19 19:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	63	7¢	$4	0x5d6274…
08-19 18:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1d5e42…
08-19 15:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xee4127…
08-19 13:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x9162ec…
08-19 13:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x8985d0…
08-19 13:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x27defc…
08-19 13:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x03a8de…
08-19 13:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd0eafc…
08-19 13:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x15de24…
08-19 08:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x92cf4b…
08-19 08:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4c525f…
08-19 07:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x389510…
08-19 07:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xebe126…
08-19 07:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd5791b…
08-19 06:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x134cd4…
08-19 06:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x74cf56…