Rude-Pickaxe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$196.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$8.00K

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

956

Trades

8,260

lifetime

Volume

$2.76M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$335

Open exposure

$38.5K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 01:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Sports

62% 48% -$156,987

Other

38% 54% -$39,510

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$181

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	+50,493	$44,434	72¢	$36.1K	-$8,331	07-10 23:07
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+22,687	$729	9¢	$2.1K	+$1,370	10-27 11:59
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	+3,703	$1,373	9¢	$339	-$1,035	10-27 11:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	51	$89.2K	97,122	82,763	+14,358	Howard Bison	+$7,689	03-17 23:18
nba mil det 2026 04 08	60	$55.0K	43,978	13,564	+30,414	Pistons	+$1,441	04-08 23:01
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	150	$53.7K	59,115	22,260	+36,855	49ers	-$28,951	01-12 00:39
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	55	$50.3K	47,498	25,195	+22,303	Seahawks	+$2,286	02-09 02:49
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	60	$45.3K	82,273	0	+82,273	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-$45,250	03-22 00:26
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	3	$44.4K	50,493	0	+50,493	open	—	07-10 23:07
nba bkn was 2026 01 02	60	$40.3K	39,678	30,429	+9,249	Wizards	+$4,979	01-02 23:47
Jaguars vs. Bengals	1	$39.5K	70,500	0	+70,500	Jaguars	-$39,480	10-04 16:55
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	57	$35.9K	36,531	0	+36,531	Arizona Wildcats	+$585	03-20 11:54
cbb furman uconn 2026 03 20	50	$33.6K	23,987	11,359	+12,628	Connecticut Huskies	+$685	03-21 02:29
nba was lac 2026 01 14	203	$32.9K	26,618	13,971	+12,647	Clippers	+$2,448	01-15 02:41
nfl la car 2026 01 10	33	$31.1K	28,028	10,260	+17,768	Rams	+$2,633	01-11 00:43
nfl la car 2026 01 10 spread away 10pt5	6	$29.9K	63,613	0	+63,613	Panthers	-$29,900	01-10 20:24
nhl sea las 2026 01 31	43	$28.7K	42,806	2,700	+40,106	Kraken	-$25,203	02-01 03:06
Spread: Bears (-4.5)	4	$28.6K	61,500	0	+61,500	Bears	-$28,587	10-23 01:54
nfl la sea 2026 01 25 total 46pt5	38	$27.1K	56,080	1,878	+54,201	Over	+$28,783	01-25 23:40
nba dal sas 2026 02 07	4	$27.1K	20,362	14,250	+6,112	Spurs	+$1,487	02-07 23:02
nba phi lal 2026 02 05	18	$26.2K	44,534	14,519	+30,015	Lakers	-$12,863	02-06 03:07
UCLA vs. Oregon	2	$25.1K	53,200	0	+53,200	UCLA	+$28,104	10-10 21:34
cfb mia miss 2026 01 08	22	$24.8K	39,346	1,120	+38,226	Miami	+$14,242	01-09 04:05
nba det cle 2026 01 04	112	$24.5K	34,414	25,694	+8,720	Pistons	-$4,634	01-04 18:44
cfb arz smu 2026 01 02	31	$24.5K	44,520	0	+44,520	SMU Mustangs	+$19,974	01-03 00:59
USC vs. Penn State	14	$24.3K	43,942	0	+43,942	USC	-$24,324	10-11 01:33
nba ind cle 2026 04 05	13	$24.0K	26,111	0	+26,111	Cavaliers	+$2,089	04-05 18:57
cfb ala ind 2026 01 01	2	$23.9K	34,130	0	+34,130	Indiana	+$10,239	01-01 21:01
Giants vs. Rams	6	$23.6K	18,576	12,442	+6,134	Rams	+$6	09-22 01:50
nfl la chi 2026 01 18	106	$22.9K	33,435	1,100	+32,335	Rams	+$10,723	01-19 02:58
nba okc mil 2026 01 21	109	$22.7K	24,663	3,745	+20,918	Thunder	+$4,331	01-22 01:40
Spread: Oregon (-3.5)	24	$22.6K	45,745	0	+45,745	Oregon	-$21,720	09-27 01:31
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	21	$21.4K	35,847	0	+35,847	Tennessee Volunteers	-$21,382	03-28 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:49:26	Spread: Missouri State (-7.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	1,005	49¢	$492	0x2b92df…
10-28 00:54:20	UConn vs. Air Force	Air Force	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xc7e4ea…
10-28 00:33:02	UConn vs. Air Force	Air Force	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0xfe8536…
10-27 23:54:23	UConn vs. Air Force	Air Force	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x94a7ac…
10-27 23:54:21	UConn vs. Air Force	Air Force	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4a2d67…
10-27 23:54:20	UConn vs. Air Force	Air Force	BUY	92	51¢	$47	0x6ee592…
10-27 23:54:20	UConn vs. Air Force	Air Force	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x5b2d42…
10-27 23:31:18	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x4801c7…
10-27 23:20:42	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	28	55¢	$16	0xeb2215…
10-27 13:54:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,760	53¢	$933	0xbf3d9f…
10-27 11:59:42	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,315	3¢	$42	0x8ade05…
10-27 11:57:41	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	798	3¢	$25	0x71d4fb…
10-27 11:52:44	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	977	3¢	$30	0x2183f8…
10-27 11:51:53	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	468	3¢	$14	0xea3979…
10-27 11:49:12	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,033	3¢	$33	0xe58ade…
10-27 11:48:39	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,033	3¢	$33	0xe5c97f…
10-27 11:47:29	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,032	3¢	$32	0xae5b4d…
10-27 11:46:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,032	3¢	$32	0xea41e8…
10-27 11:45:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$34	0xfe698f…
10-27 11:45:00	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$34	0x434cbc…
10-27 11:44:38	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$34	0x91656f…
10-27 11:43:51	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$34	0x0d0f8c…
10-27 11:42:57	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$34	0xa415c5…
10-27 11:42:23	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,465	3¢	$50	0x028f97…
10-27 11:38:47	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,033	3¢	$33	0x602b07…
10-27 11:38:26	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,033	3¢	$33	0x9cd59d…
10-27 11:37:51	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,033	3¢	$33	0x272d87…
10-27 11:36:53	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,033	3¢	$33	0xb542a2…
10-27 11:35:02	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,033	3¢	$33	0x1e308d…
10-27 11:34:23	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	358	3¢	$11	0xa9cd6d…
10-27 11:34:09	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	675	97¢	$653	0x50b435…
10-27 11:33:33	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1,033	97¢	$1,000	0xda4afa…
10-27 11:32:35	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,033	3¢	$33	0x112a96…
10-27 11:32:15	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	430	3¢	$14	0x9b9573…
10-27 11:32:03	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,033	3¢	$33	0x8fccb0…
10-27 11:31:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	775	3¢	$24	0x1f37a9…
10-27 02:36:08	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x8166b0…
10-27 01:14:35	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	480	51¢	$245	0x2b08b8…
10-27 01:14:17	Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	380	49¢	$186	0x1dfe99…
10-27 00:08:59	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	1,960	58¢	$1,137	0x7c039a…
10-27 00:06:15	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	259	82¢	$214	0xd94b3e…
10-27 00:03:12	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	47	18¢	$8	0x6fc202…
10-26 23:54:30	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	1,960	58¢	$1,137	0x473c86…
10-26 23:21:53	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	876	82¢	$719	0x2b7fd7…
10-26 23:12:29	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	308	82¢	$252	0xef0eb5…
10-26 23:07:45	Spread: Hornets (-2.5)	Wizards	BUY	210	48¢	$101	0xe8b95f…
10-26 23:04:59	Spread: Hornets (-2.5)	Wizards	BUY	64	48¢	$31	0x168551…
10-26 22:55:51	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	383	18¢	$68	0x60628d…
10-26 22:51:35	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	668	18¢	$119	0x8f6c32…
10-26 22:43:27	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	265	82¢	$217	0x4f2004…
10-26 06:17:44	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	1,825	72¢	$1,314	0xb41611…
10-26 01:44:39	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	660	83¢	$548	0x4905ed…
10-26 01:09:06	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	780	38¢	$296	0xb43c29…
10-26 00:33:09	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	1,350	37¢	$500	0x834691…
10-26 00:19:24	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	BUY	1,025	45¢	$461	0x8dbf0f…
10-26 00:19:20	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	1,025	54¢	$554	0xb00408…
10-26 00:14:29	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	2,500	58¢	$1,450	0x8509f7…
10-26 00:08:51	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	2,050	54¢	$1,107	0x7f6654…
10-26 00:04:24	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	BUY	1,025	45¢	$461	0x9e267b…
10-26 00:03:56	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	BUY	1,025	45¢	$461	0x930bd6…
10-25 23:55:41	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	1,025	54¢	$554	0x50b1b2…
10-25 23:55:30	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	BUY	1,025	45¢	$461	0xb56bd0…
10-25 23:33:30	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	920	58¢	$534	0x0e87af…
10-25 22:04:12	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1,031	47¢	$485	0x15c979…
10-25 21:54:32	Spread: Lions (-5.5)	Lions	BUY	525	49¢	$257	0xa4a876…
10-25 21:54:15	Spread: Lions (-4.5)	Lions	BUY	525	52¢	$273	0xf16870…
10-25 20:08:36	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	377	47¢	$177	0xd8b733…
10-25 18:48:33	Spread: Texans (-4.5)	Texans	BUY	512	42¢	$215	0xdf8221…
10-25 18:47:57	Spread: Texans (-4.5)	Texans	BUY	1,000	42¢	$420	0x1408a1…
10-25 16:59:47	Spread: Bengals (-4.5)	Bengals	BUY	6,242	42¢	$2,621	0x5755f2…
10-25 16:59:30	Spread: Bengals (-4.5)	Bengals	BUY	2,058	42¢	$865	0x29bd30…
10-25 16:55:24	Spread: Texans (-9.5)	Giants	BUY	420	46¢	$193	0x7cc638…
10-25 15:35:32	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xe1cbef…
10-25 15:19:53	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	78	44¢	$34	0xb8b660…
10-25 15:19:53	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9aee40…
10-25 15:16:20	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	85	44¢	$37	0xa84ece…
10-25 15:16:05	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x71c33f…
10-25 15:13:32	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xdabea1…
10-25 15:13:02	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0xa1858d…
10-25 15:01:50	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	85	44¢	$37	0xb92b3f…
10-25 15:01:23	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	173	44¢	$76	0x01d6ad…
10-25 14:49:00	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa3832a…
10-25 14:47:50	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x902aac…
10-25 14:44:59	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	107	44¢	$47	0x323a89…
10-25 14:43:24	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6f465a…
10-25 14:38:47	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0xff879f…
10-25 14:38:09	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	85	44¢	$37	0xf1957a…
10-25 14:34:57	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0xe815cb…
10-25 14:30:24	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xf26a5c…
10-25 14:29:12	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0xb80598…
10-25 14:27:33	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	169	44¢	$75	0xe02712…
10-25 14:27:17	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x7a18f0…
10-25 14:19:45	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	170	44¢	$75	0xd2eb7c…
10-25 14:17:30	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x346abd…
10-25 14:17:27	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x515107…
10-25 14:05:44	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xeea61c…
10-25 14:04:36	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	216	44¢	$95	0x37ab78…
10-25 14:04:36	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x011725…
10-25 13:57:20	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x551ded…
10-25 13:52:53	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5c0b18…