Miniature-Pulley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$455

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-29 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

67% 92% -$6

Politics

20% 91% +$5

Crypto

13% 75% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	07-30 14:45
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	09-29 16:25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	09-29 16:23
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-01 06:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$11	13	0	+13	Yes	-$11	09-29 16:23
us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-19 09:35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	09-29 16:23
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	02-01 06:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-01 06:09
will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-01 06:09
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-01 06:09
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-19 09:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-30 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-15 11:59
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-15 11:59
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-24 03:09
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-08 06:15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-15 12:00
will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-15 11:59
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 03:10
jack smith charged by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-19 09:36
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	02-01 06:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	07-15 11:59
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-08 06:15
us strike on nigeria by january 31 2026	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	02-01 06:10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-08 06:15
will trump meet with elon musk in march 2026 396	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$1	03-19 09:34
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	-$1	02-01 06:09
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$7	9	0	+9	No	+$2	06-24 03:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$1	03-19 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 16:25:21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x9e01d8…
09-29 16:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x2afc48…
09-29 16:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x72e199…
09-29 16:23:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xa50186…
07-30 14:45:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x8dca4f…
07-30 14:44:59	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x12b779…
07-15 12:00:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xaf2a0f…
07-15 11:59:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1e0537…
07-15 11:59:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc7c093…
07-15 11:59:35	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x44d2a0…
07-15 11:59:28	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x625c4f…
06-24 03:10:32	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x8bfe8b…
06-24 03:10:20	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x084984…
06-24 03:10:08	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8ed21d…
06-24 03:09:58	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa75f61…
06-08 06:15:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x73965e…
06-08 06:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x1e0ac3…
06-08 06:15:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x177cc1…
06-08 06:15:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x13925c…
05-25 16:22:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xae4e77…
05-25 16:22:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x0c9619…
05-25 16:21:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x238a6d…
05-25 16:21:47	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x17c00c…
05-25 16:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe9d9e5…
05-13 13:09:03	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x86be65…
05-13 13:08:30	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x84572a…
05-13 13:07:46	Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x15cb85…
05-13 13:07:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb1847a…
05-13 13:06:59	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb9b11e…
05-13 13:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x983c09…
04-08 06:24:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x20b9aa…
04-08 06:23:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa0e998…
04-08 06:23:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd9beef…
04-08 06:22:27	will trump praise allah again by april 15	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x71d4e6…
04-08 06:22:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x078c6e…
04-08 06:21:47	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xed28b1…
03-19 09:36:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x598f42…
03-19 09:36:25	jack smith charged by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x977c56…
03-19 09:35:19	us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x864aea…
03-19 09:34:51	will trump meet with elon musk in march 2026 396	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x6a33f7…
03-19 09:34:13	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9acf81…
03-19 09:33:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9ba6d1…
02-01 06:10:10	us strike on nigeria by january 31 2026	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xf15e75…
02-01 06:09:56	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xe44416…
02-01 06:09:44	will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8247e0…
02-01 06:09:42	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xf747f3…
02-01 06:09:36	will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8779e0…
02-01 06:09:32	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xabd2e8…
02-01 06:09:26	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0d8acb…
02-01 06:09:20	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbc236e…
01-27 15:28:09	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7d64e6…
01-14 06:49:38	us strike on nigeria by january 31 2026	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x2e1b97…
01-14 06:48:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x10dbff…
01-14 06:48:46	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3a4bf9…
01-14 06:48:26	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe6f6af…
01-06 16:51:03	Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x894cfd…
01-06 16:50:23	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x03d2c9…
01-06 16:49:55	Brevis FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x9e6682…
01-06 16:49:37	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb2a86f…
01-06 16:49:31	will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb55e2d…
01-06 16:49:21	Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2a2aa3…
01-06 16:49:05	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xbb820d…
01-06 16:48:57	will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc29bd2…
01-06 16:48:45	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x218602…
01-06 16:48:37	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1dd058…