Fat-Variety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

665

lifetime

Volume

$98.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-15 04:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 100% +$5

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
the ring high stakes ryan garcia vs mario barrios	4	$2.3K	1,196	1,124	+73	open	—	02-22 06:54
sol updown 5m 1771851300	1	$924	967	0	+967	open	—	02-23 12:59
btc updown 5m 1771744500	1	$923	951	0	+951	open	—	02-22 07:19
sol updown 5m 1771851000	1	$915	924	0	+924	open	—	02-23 12:54
btc updown 5m 1771995300	2	$900	910	0	+910	open	—	02-25 05:00
xrp updown 5m 1771908000	1	$889	899	0	+899	open	—	02-24 04:44
btc updown 5m 1771907100	2	$879	889	0	+889	open	—	02-24 04:29
xrp updown 5m 1771868100	1	$866	875	0	+875	open	—	02-23 17:39
xrp updown 5m 1771848900	2	$801	809	0	+809	open	—	02-23 12:19
btc updown 5m 1771570200	1	$796	820	0	+820	open	—	02-20 06:54
btc updown 5m 1776813000	1	$708	715	0	+715	open	—	04-21 23:13
btc updown 5m 1771738200	2	$700	713	0	+713	open	—	02-22 05:34
xrp updown 5m 1771571400	1	$627	633	0	+633	open	—	02-20 07:14
btc updown 5m 1771652700	1	$616	623	0	+623	open	—	02-21 05:49
btc updown 5m 1771738800	1	$600	616	0	+616	open	—	02-22 05:45
btc updown 5m 1771739400	1	$600	610	0	+610	open	—	02-22 05:55
btc updown 5m 1777007400	2	$585	591	0	+591	open	—	04-24 05:15
btc updown 5m 1771840800	1	$572	578	0	+578	open	—	02-23 10:04
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$570	576	0	+576	open	—	04-25 05:49
btc updown 5m 1772361600	1	$562	568	0	+568	open	—	03-01 10:44
eth updown 5m 1771827900	3	$560	572	0	+572	open	—	02-23 06:29
btc updown 5m 1771827300	2	$548	557	0	+557	open	—	02-23 06:19
btc updown 5m 1771656900	2	$516	521	0	+521	open	—	02-21 06:59
btc updown 5m 1772802600	2	$500	513	0	+513	open	—	03-06 13:15
sol updown 5m 1771737600	2	$500	513	0	+513	open	—	02-22 05:25
sol updown 5m 1771651200	2	$500	508	0	+508	open	—	02-21 05:24
btc updown 5m 1771932300	2	$480	485	0	+485	open	—	02-24 11:29
btc updown 5m 1771847700	1	$477	482	0	+482	open	—	02-23 11:59
xrp updown 5m 1771569000	1	$466	476	0	+476	open	—	02-20 06:34
btc updown 5m 1772011500	1	$459	470	0	+470	open	—	02-25 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 04:50:43	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0xe58d79…
06-12 08:48:01	kbo lot lg 2026 06 12	LG Twins	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd2bff4…
06-04 08:58:45	btc updown 5m 1780563300	Up	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xed9e64…
06-04 06:34:19	btc updown 5m 1780554600	Down	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x3b9ba5…
06-04 04:29:04	btc updown 5m 1780547100	Down	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x8fe795…
06-04 04:14:09	xrp updown 5m 1780546200	Up	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xbdc4e8…
06-04 04:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780545600	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbf5650…
06-02 15:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	116	94¢	$109	0xcd3289…
06-02 15:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x47b64c…
06-01 10:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x326a2f…
06-01 10:09:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc7f789…
05-28 15:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xddb569…
05-28 11:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x140114…
05-28 10:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x8d0194…
05-28 10:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xd65836…
05-27 16:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x76c1d9…
05-27 15:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe4a61b…
05-27 15:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a774a…
05-27 15:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5dfbd4…
05-27 10:29:31	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xe9175c…
05-27 10:22:03	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x47105f…
05-27 06:21:41	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x73e929…
05-27 03:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	162	83¢	$134	0xe54407…
05-26 13:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xc63b75…
05-24 14:57:23	Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x4796de…
05-24 12:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x7b9e65…
05-24 12:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x264389…
05-24 12:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xe96d24…
05-24 11:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xe3458a…
05-23 12:49:35	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x0c1684…
05-23 12:34:50	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x8d93f1…
05-23 12:19:48	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xb81ce0…
05-23 12:14:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x88836f…
05-20 07:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x99bc67…
05-20 07:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb2233d…
05-20 06:19:42	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x1e7190…
05-20 06:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xd22294…
05-20 06:04:58	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	29	5¢	$2	0x3183a5…
05-20 06:04:35	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xb6de3c…
05-20 05:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x52a153…
05-20 05:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	128	94¢	$120	0xa8fd5f…
05-19 16:39:58	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xd12255…
05-19 16:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x981b62…
05-19 16:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x37cf45…
05-19 16:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xc6339d…
05-19 16:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x219d03…
05-19 16:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x1cd210…
05-19 15:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xf266b7…
05-19 15:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x5b717d…
05-19 15:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x28aa0d…
05-19 15:29:09	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xd515be…
05-19 09:09:52	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0xab222c…
05-19 09:09:01	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x83de3a…
05-19 08:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xb5fa5d…
05-19 08:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x22385a…
05-19 08:49:53	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdc9ab3…
05-19 08:49:51	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xa51efe…
05-18 12:05:00	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xbc1f40…
05-18 11:59:50	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe77cc4…
05-18 11:59:48	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x02e738…
05-18 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x7e4d9d…
05-18 11:44:22	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x8f85d6…
05-18 04:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x41f426…
05-17 18:54:36	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x63b125…
05-17 18:53:45	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xcb4da8…
05-17 18:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x5a8ad6…
05-17 18:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	77	59¢	$45	0x16a015…
05-17 18:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x742f39…
05-17 02:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x744c19…
05-17 02:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x2c2bd9…
05-16 14:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xe4196d…
05-16 14:44:27	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x46d032…
05-16 14:44:20	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xde5eda…
05-16 14:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xd900e4…
05-16 14:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xea2ebb…
05-14 07:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb5787d…
05-14 07:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x97d035…
05-14 06:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8f90e0…
05-14 06:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd7b6a9…
05-14 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xcb2e7a…
05-14 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xca4de4…
05-14 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x072202…
05-14 05:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x70c832…
05-14 05:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x1c0d6d…
05-13 12:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xbbf214…
05-12 07:59:13	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x6f38db…
05-12 06:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65a3a2…
05-12 05:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa56274…
05-12 05:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe57371…
05-03 07:37:38	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x460e1e…
05-03 07:30:26	KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins	LG Twins	SELL	275	1¢	$3	0x7e69b7…
05-03 05:21:06	KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins	LG Twins	BUY	260	52¢	$135	0xf53aac…
05-03 05:07:28	KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins	LG Twins	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb99645…
05-02 23:54:22	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	55	41¢	$23	0xb0f2f2…
05-02 15:54:46	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x770f0d…
05-02 15:10:36	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	153	72¢	$110	0xd211e6…
05-02 06:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x71dcbe…
05-01 06:24:48	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xa2a98d…
05-01 06:19:42	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe9cc83…
05-01 06:19:42	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4a1b01…