Serious-Smelting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,367

lifetime

Volume

$6.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-08 21:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 16:54
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-11 11:26
FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 09:09
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 12:46
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 09:09
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 05:32
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 12:46
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:55
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-08 21:37
lal elc mal 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-21 14:30
Will Kirk Cousins play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-07 08:20
Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 30, 8AM ET?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 12:33
La Bisbal: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Aliona Bolsova	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 04:43
j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 btts	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 12:28
cs2 k271 100t 2026 04 03 game1	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-03 13:14
atp su hussey 2026 04 16	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 05:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:37:09	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07bad1…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5aa94e…
06-07 23:59:18	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12d53b…
06-07 22:02:00	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x140028…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x670c72…
06-07 19:26:45	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b87e2…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12a97e…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d0feb…
06-07 13:09:46	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25f01e…
06-07 12:05:49	atp damm ficovic 2026 06 07 set handicap home 1pt5	Damm	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b8553…
06-06 23:09:43	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56ca21…
06-06 11:32:33	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x14e83d…
06-06 11:32:28	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99560f…
06-05 01:22:36	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b6130…
06-03 16:36:00	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5eee2b…
06-03 16:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8415d3…
06-03 04:48:46	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa4b3ef…
06-02 22:56:05	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b6deb…
06-02 15:24:44	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x973118…
06-02 14:02:08	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8def9…
06-01 18:07:05	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8b667…
06-01 07:28:44	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02bb27…
06-01 07:18:07	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x516a02…
06-01 02:05:36	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7851c2…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1aecb…
05-31 18:59:01	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed8cb3…
05-31 18:43:09	Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner	INOX Division	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff8fba…
05-31 18:08:24	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e7ccc…
05-31 14:19:34	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf517e3…
05-31 13:09:32	Centurion: Giles Hussey vs Edward Winter	Giles Hussey	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a3013…
05-31 11:44:50	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ed00e…
05-30 22:51:01	Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f0a8f…
05-30 22:09:41	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3631cd…
05-30 19:09:19	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8ce52…
05-30 17:59:00	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1605e6…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a058b…
05-30 13:03:39	Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5eac3…
05-30 11:17:29	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04243b…
05-30 07:45:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e67b2…
05-30 04:48:31	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5316e3…
05-30 02:48:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9587ad…
05-29 21:58:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15f9db…
05-29 21:01:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x714ef5…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7584c9…
05-29 18:27:16	Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa33385…
05-29 17:27:48	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x738171…
05-29 16:01:28	El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3709b…
05-29 13:57:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbbc649…
05-29 01:07:43	Centurion: Harold Mayot vs Millen Hurrion	Harold Mayot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ef8e6…
05-28 20:08:42	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2403b7…
05-28 16:52:23	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1955d…
05-28 12:37:01	Flavio Cobolli vs. Yibing Wu: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Under 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f095f…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd93179…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b689a…
05-27 16:11:25	Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs 25 cents (+1.5)	BESTIA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x878d47…
05-26 21:29:19	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4aebb…
05-26 20:00:20	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ab4c8…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8dbab…
05-26 06:28:01	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e71c6…
05-26 01:08:49	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5242f…
05-25 18:17:52	Ignacio Buse vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd58fa…
05-25 18:11:53	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9f0d55…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x821f03…
05-25 04:48:19	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb920db…
05-25 02:28:41	Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9943e7…
05-25 01:58:06	Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86ca04…
05-25 01:24:35	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x443ba7…
05-25 00:46:54	Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x53f4f7…
05-24 22:57:07	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x773b43…
05-24 22:23:15	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1af655…
05-24 20:19:00	Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2c519…
05-24 19:24:12	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x332fc8…
05-24 17:22:20	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4625e8…
05-24 17:22:19	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xad4fd9…
05-24 15:57:40	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29de96…
05-24 15:30:01	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b48bd…
05-24 09:29:59	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa11ff…
05-24 08:02:50	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95ace4…
05-24 00:32:06	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7d2de…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25ca25…
05-23 12:56:33	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8126b0…
05-23 09:08:51	AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Ventforet Kōfu: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7632c…
05-23 01:24:50	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05eb03…
05-22 21:01:24	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	FOKUS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9aefbd…
05-22 18:54:23	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1fb538…
05-22 17:07:31	World Championships: Germany vs. Hungary	Germany	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a8eea…
05-22 09:44:06	ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Rina Saigo	Rina Saigo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc363e6…
05-21 20:07:50	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71444f…
05-21 14:25:01	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97575f…
05-21 03:08:42	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaeb212…
05-21 01:45:59	Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05a628…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2002a2…
05-20 21:22:36	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95ec33…
05-20 21:17:34	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x802d28…
05-20 19:13:55	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbbcd6…
05-20 11:43:39	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56407e…
05-20 09:47:41	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb0605…
05-20 04:04:51	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x917685…
05-19 20:50:08	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7fcdef…
05-19 20:02:47	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu	Emilio Nava	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b0e4c…