Smart-Dinosaur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$480

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 06-06 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

64% 16% -$30

Crypto

26% 41% -$1

Politics

9% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	4	$45	55	50	+5	Yes	+$41	05-31 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?	2	$31	17	17	+0	Yes	+$3	06-02 23:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-02 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 1?	2	$25	14	14	+0	Yes	+$3	06-01 12:53
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-27 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 2?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-02 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on May 27?	3	$22	84	0	+84	Yes	-$22	05-27 07:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-27 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$18	45	45	+0	Up	+$8	06-02 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	2	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	+$11	05-30 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 31?	2	$12	22	22	+0	Yes	+$10	05-31 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?	2	$12	11	11	+0	Yes	+$10	06-02 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 2?	1	$11	2,312	0	+2,312	No	-$11	06-02 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 2?	1	$11	992	0	+992	No	-$11	06-02 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 29?	1	$10	56	0	+56	No	-$10	05-29 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	06-03 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	06-02 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on May 29?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	05-29 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	06-03 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	06-03 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	Up	-$5	06-02 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	Down	-$5	06-02 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	83	0	+83	Down	-$5	06-02 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	-$5	05-27 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	06-03 01:27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 31?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	06-01 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$4	45	0	+45	Up	-$4	06-03 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Up	-$3	06-03 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Up	+$6	06-03 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$3	21	0	+21	Up	-$3	06-03 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 03:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9bd728…
06-06 02:58:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1188b2…
06-06 02:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4eda07…
06-06 02:32:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9904ad…
06-06 02:11:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcd58dd…
06-06 01:53:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb964ac…
06-03 04:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8539df…
06-03 04:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x3c16bc…
06-03 04:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x430f96…
06-03 04:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb212a4…
06-03 04:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1a2d45…
06-03 04:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xda8d35…
06-03 04:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x65f094…
06-03 03:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xaa3788…
06-03 03:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd9835d…
06-03 03:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x60065e…
06-03 02:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x073eee…
06-03 02:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xd900c5…
06-03 02:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x9065eb…
06-03 02:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc0adc9…
06-03 02:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc75ec9…
06-03 02:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x73fdd6…
06-03 02:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe3daba…
06-03 02:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x938a97…
06-03 01:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x139e5c…
06-03 01:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xc0074e…
06-03 01:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xfdba61…
06-03 01:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x1f51de…
06-03 01:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4ac0f5…
06-03 01:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x07842e…
06-03 01:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd1cb1b…
06-03 00:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x10077d…
06-02 23:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xbc9b4f…
06-02 22:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0bc264…
06-02 15:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xd495b4…
06-02 15:00:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf4ab23…
06-02 14:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x136078…
06-02 13:58:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x7129b6…
06-02 12:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x810e2e…
06-02 09:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x4f0001…
06-02 09:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0x598efd…
06-02 09:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5ce266…
06-02 08:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2bf078…
06-02 08:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x68f911…
06-02 08:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x116d59…
06-02 06:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	992	1¢	$11	0xbf09e6…
06-02 06:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2,312	0¢	$11	0x0ddfac…
06-02 06:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x126a12…
06-02 06:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x3b3879…
06-02 06:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x880c9d…
06-02 05:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x03b921…
06-02 05:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	132	1¢	$1	0xc0d9a1…
06-01 12:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x17c4ab…
06-01 07:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x31f460…
06-01 00:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb36293…
05-31 16:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x9e6b4f…
05-31 16:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc15db7…
05-31 16:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x5a06cf…
05-31 15:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8be0e7…
05-31 14:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xcda811…
05-31 14:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdf24c9…
05-31 13:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xca7715…
05-31 12:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x591ee1…
05-31 12:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x3a3dfa…
05-31 12:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0x4f167d…
05-31 12:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x355580…
05-31 12:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe27781…
05-31 12:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3ef294…
05-31 12:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x2e891b…
05-31 12:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfb4c66…
05-31 12:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x37a312…
05-31 12:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xed44e4…
05-31 12:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x71dbad…
05-31 12:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xe4b5d3…
05-31 12:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x16f737…
05-31 12:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x59d2d5…
05-31 09:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe34a71…
05-31 09:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x0f7e26…
05-31 09:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xebbbdd…
05-31 09:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8fb2ec…
05-31 09:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x2d301f…
05-31 09:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc3020b…
05-31 09:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xaa0445…
05-31 08:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf2ad67…
05-31 08:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x5b74d4…
05-31 08:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8eca30…
05-31 08:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf7073d…
05-31 08:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x10b550…
05-31 08:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x316f64…
05-31 08:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x7a0c23…
05-31 07:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd53d97…
05-31 07:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x859b8f…
05-31 07:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	49	86¢	$42	0x562e50…
05-31 07:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf845ff…
05-30 16:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x79ae16…
05-30 16:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb91db4…
05-30 16:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x808a87…
05-30 16:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe3629f…
05-30 16:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3c7d0a…
05-30 16:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x56a7a2…