Crushing-Jeans — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$173

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

3,750

Trades

12,739

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 11-01 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Other

76% 41% +$288

Sports

12% 45% -$5

Crypto

7% 9% -$103

Politics

3% 90% +$7

Tech

2% 53% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 339 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes		+10	$5	99¢	$10	+$5	10-22 17:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes		+10	$7	74¢	$7	+$0	10-28 06:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	33	$131	215	215	+0	No	+$3	05-13 06:08
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	17	$103	65	65	+0	open	—	10-13 02:56
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	28	$86	260	230	+30	Team Spirit	+$15	05-21 21:07
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	81	$83	1,707	1,707	+0	No	+$5	05-15 09:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	6	$75	40	40	+0	Yes	+$2	09-18 09:20
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	18	$73	100	80	+20	Aurora	+$5	05-16 17:12
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	6	$72	45	45	+0	No	-$3	10-28 00:46
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	14	$72	115	115	-0	PlayTime	+$14	05-22 17:20
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	7	$69	70	20	+50	Yes	+$4	10-13 15:38
dota2 rnx ts8 2026 07 10 game2	17	$61	40	35	+5	Team Spirit	+$1	07-10 16:47
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	21	$59	170	170	+0	Knicks	+$5	05-20 02:49
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	18	$57	160	105	+55	Aurora	-$16	05-24 11:28
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	19	$56	763	763	+0	Aurora	+$7	05-24 13:02
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	4	$55	30	30	+0	No	+$3	09-13 18:37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	14	$53	370	130	+240	Team Liquid	-$9	05-17 12:58
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$51	46	46	+0	No	+$1	05-23 04:39
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	19	$51	210	130	+80	Aurora	-$6	05-23 17:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	5	$50	50	30	+20	No	-$5	09-21 09:06
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	25	$48	342	302	+40	PARIVISION	+$13	05-17 16:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$48	40	30	+10	open	—	10-22 17:25
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?	2	$47	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	09-01 17:30
Will Isaac del Toro win the 2026 Tour De France?	8	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-15 16:53
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	15	$47	195	125	+70	BetBoom Team	-$2	05-20 17:28
Thunder vs. Spurs	9	$47	660	610	+50	Spurs	-$4	05-25 02:02
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner	10	$45	60	40	+20	Aurora	-$4	05-24 19:04
Spurs vs. Thunder	15	$44	60	40	+20	Spurs	+$6	05-19 03:17
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	4	$42	30	30	+0	Yes	-$6	10-09 16:16
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	5	$41	176	20	+156	PARIVISION	-$12	05-23 16:24
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	2	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	09-06 14:56
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	5	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-06 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:28:06	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xb3f419…
11-01 15:27:36	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x792517…
11-01 15:27:33	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x3dbd2b…
11-01 15:27:28	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x8ba8a1…
11-01 15:26:24	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xbaa151…
11-01 15:26:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xa519dd…
11-01 15:26:09	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x88c2f3…
11-01 15:25:54	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf84071…
11-01 15:25:46	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xf8fa81…
11-01 15:25:03	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x1e320b…
11-01 15:24:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xf76273…
11-01 15:23:46	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x06a51c…
11-01 14:10:58	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xd165d0…
11-01 13:46:52	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xfa16e4…
11-01 12:46:39	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x0a5233…
11-01 12:45:40	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x84d59b…
11-01 12:44:06	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x038d43…
11-01 12:43:07	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x3e44ec…
11-01 11:21:36	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	HellNight-	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x9da132…
11-01 11:20:18	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	HellNight-	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x160dc7…
11-01 11:19:54	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	HellNight-	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0xe627db…
11-01 11:03:52	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	HellNight-	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8bc33a…
11-01 10:06:13	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HellNight- - Game 1 Winner	HellNight-	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x186cda…
11-01 05:36:49	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x916d9f…
11-01 04:16:58	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0xca2d95…
11-01 04:05:27	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc122cd…
11-01 02:23:15	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3a558d…
11-01 02:22:15	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfc9a81…
11-01 01:45:39	Kings vs. Grizzlies	Kings	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0aba17…
11-01 01:41:13	Kings vs. Grizzlies	Kings	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xa2e2fe…
11-01 01:40:10	Kings vs. Grizzlies	Kings	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xddb7dc…
11-01 01:40:10	Kings vs. Grizzlies	Kings	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x409e35…
11-01 01:09:34	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf07a0f…
11-01 01:08:16	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x1f6974…
11-01 01:08:13	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe7d4cd…
11-01 01:03:51	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x17549b…
11-01 01:03:37	Cavaliers vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf9b293…
11-01 01:00:49	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7eb99d…
11-01 00:44:24	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x25442c…
11-01 00:36:51	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9d3139…
11-01 00:36:40	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xfce472…
11-01 00:35:04	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa53f82…
11-01 00:35:04	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xa3d9f1…
11-01 00:31:49	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf902a9…
11-01 00:23:48	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb9f5ee…
10-31 23:34:28	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8723a8…
10-31 22:44:13	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x32c206…
10-31 20:41:06	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x51cd50…
10-31 20:37:07	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LOS	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xa2fa4e…
10-31 20:37:06	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x935832…
10-31 20:34:58	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LOS	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xae866b…
10-31 20:34:55	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x57af56…
10-31 20:34:52	Trail Blazers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xc03edd…
10-31 20:24:01	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 2 Winner	Level Up Academy	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x21c4a6…
10-31 20:22:45	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 2 Winner	Level Up Academy	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x07109a…
10-31 20:22:43	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 2 Winner	Level Up Academy	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xf93fc1…
10-31 20:22:37	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 2 Winner	Level Up Academy	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x773876…
10-31 20:22:07	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 2 Winner	Level Up Academy	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x4f9495…
10-31 20:22:07	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 2 Winner	Level Up Academy	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1bd0f5…
10-31 20:22:04	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 2 Winner	Level Up Academy	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x17ca00…
10-31 19:53:12	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x71d166…
10-31 19:50:03	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xcf0125…
10-31 19:49:51	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x796ab2…
10-31 19:49:16	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x31787d…
10-31 19:49:09	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x153555…
10-31 19:34:37	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LYON	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x4e7fe7…
10-31 19:16:21	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x06d66a…
10-31 19:15:25	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 1 Winner	old blood	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x4dc3c0…
10-31 19:14:33	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 1 Winner	old blood	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x409f23…
10-31 19:13:10	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood - Game 1 Winner	old blood	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x1b10ec…
10-31 18:38:28	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x5c2895…
10-31 18:32:24	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x63e739…
10-31 18:32:07	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x59f5e1…
10-31 18:31:06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x471a47…
10-31 18:30:07	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5795bb…
10-31 18:30:06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd303d9…
10-31 18:30:01	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x672b92…
10-31 18:29:54	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x3f200f…
10-31 18:28:52	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x750fd1…
10-31 18:27:40	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x7c7dd8…
10-31 18:25:39	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xb2d85e…
10-31 18:25:04	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x562aef…
10-31 18:24:55	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x37fc54…
10-31 18:24:39	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x245904…
10-31 18:09:22	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x599891…
10-31 18:00:15	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc76724…
10-31 17:53:34	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x88a835…
10-31 17:50:03	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0e1a8d…
10-31 16:57:54	Dota 2: Hokori vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner	Hokori	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x6832fd…
10-31 16:50:52	Dota 2: Hokori vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner	Hokori	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xa42087…
10-31 16:47:13	Dota 2: Hokori vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner	Hokori	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x5c9f4e…
10-31 16:46:58	Dota 2: Hokori vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner	Hokori	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xe04971…
10-31 16:04:09	Dota 2: Hokori vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner	Hokori	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xccc71f…
10-31 16:04:03	Dota 2: Hokori vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner	Hokori	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x4fc7af…
10-31 16:03:28	Dota 2: Hokori vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner	Hokori	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xc33da6…
10-31 15:51:19	Dota 2: Hokori vs potn9ki - Game 1 Winner	Hokori	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xe41d64…
10-31 15:14:10	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x77c723…
10-31 15:12:57	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x24d5d9…
10-31 15:01:24	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	GamerLegion	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xfec58c…
10-31 14:47:31	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf00c74…