Original-Toreador — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-19 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

52% 30% -$18

Politics

32% 27% -$121

Tech

12% 33% +$9

Crypto

3% 100% +$18

Sports

1% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$250	153	153	+0	Yes	+$53	04-13 14:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$132	98	98	+0	No	-$28	04-26 18:15
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$100	121	0	+121	Yes	+$21	04-18 08:35
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$76	104	104	+0	No	-$24	05-19 15:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	3	$75	281	281	+0	No	-$15	05-05 12:25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	1	$50	78	0	+78	No	-$50	05-14 09:22
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$45	27	27	+0	No	+$5	05-15 15:46
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$40	40	25	+15	No	-$9	05-16 14:28
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?	1	$32	79	0	+79	Yes	+$47	05-01 21:14
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	1	$30	42	0	+42	Yes	+$13	04-21 11:55
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	1	$28	94	0	+94	No	-$28	05-19 16:23
will trump say n word in march	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-08 17:12
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	3	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$6	03-14 06:27
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?	1	$25	74	0	+74	Yes	-$25	04-28 16:43
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 20 - 26)	1	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	+$4	04-20 17:35
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	2	$19	27	27	+0	Yes	-$1	03-08 16:42
Will Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?	1	$15	44	0	+44	No	-$15	04-28 16:44
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	04-06 19:50
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$14	217	217	+0	No	-$6	05-17 20:57
will trump say make america great again or maga this week march 8	1	$13	19	0	+19	No	+$6	03-08 17:16
will trump say drill baby drill in march	3	$13	33	0	+33	Yes	-$13	03-15 04:36
Abidjan 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Yanki Erel	1	$9	17	0	+17	cancelled	+$0	04-28 17:27
will trump say easter in march	2	$8	15	15	+0	Yes	-$2	03-17 17:44
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	1	$7	105	0	+105	No	-$7	04-28 16:47
will trump say sleepy joe this week march 15	2	$7	20	0	+20	Yes	-$7	03-10 18:19
Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in April?	1	$6	75	0	+75	No	-$6	04-28 16:48
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	2	$6	62	62	+0	No	-$4	05-08 19:19
will trump say capital of the world in march	2	$6	6	6	+0	No	-$4	03-17 17:44
Will Trump say "Peacefully and Patriotically" in April?	1	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	04-28 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	04-28 18:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:23:27	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	94	30¢	$28	0xa90e15…
05-19 15:22:02	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	104	25¢	$26	0x5e7a39…
05-17 20:57:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	217	2¢	$4	0x618ec2…
05-16 14:33:32	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$4	0xe8cd8e…
05-16 14:31:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x9efaa6…
05-16 14:28:40	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0xbe1bc4…
05-15 15:59:14	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x049570…
05-15 15:46:23	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x6a1d5d…
05-15 05:00:36	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xb9f843…
05-14 09:22:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xa60ff7…
05-09 08:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xabf6e2…
05-09 08:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4fcc6c…
05-08 19:19:16	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x600550…
05-05 12:35:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x3f9f09…
05-05 12:25:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	211	9¢	$19	0x5fc013…
05-01 21:21:04	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xae550b…
05-01 21:14:00	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?	Yes	BUY	79	40¢	$32	0x98f472…
04-28 18:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb8ca8f…
04-28 18:49:52	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb61317…
04-28 17:58:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	2¢	$3	0x1fc558…
04-28 17:27:22	Abidjan 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Yanki Erel	Eliakim Coulibaly	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xb1d6bf…
04-28 16:48:46	Will Trump say "Peacefully and Patriotically" in April?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf0fdea…
04-28 16:48:20	Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in April?	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x9c6c52…
04-28 16:47:26	Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	Yes	BUY	105	7¢	$7	0x96069b…
04-28 16:46:40	Will Trump say "Kennedy Center" in April?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x781f3e…
04-28 16:44:28	Will Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xf5659f…
04-28 16:43:26	Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?	No	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x192bab…
04-28 12:40:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	70	15¢	$11	0xf71d4f…
04-26 18:15:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	53¢	$52	0xcbd5a6…
04-24 19:34:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	281	16¢	$45	0x6b3820…
04-24 19:30:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	82¢	$80	0xa47dd8…
04-21 11:55:26	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	42	70¢	$30	0x75b84a…
04-20 17:35:10	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x71efc9…
04-18 08:35:00	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x5a1691…
04-18 07:46:46	highest temperature in ankara on april 18 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$2	0x049513…
04-13 14:59:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	153	99¢	$152	0x6428e5…
04-07 16:46:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	31	66¢	$20	0x9854f4…
04-06 19:50:47	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x1f6360…
03-27 17:34:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0xc78140…
03-17 17:45:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0x1ed24c…
03-17 17:44:43	will trump say capital of the world in march	No	SELL	6	8¢	$1	0x4e198c…
03-17 17:44:31	will trump say easter in march	No	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xd641e6…
03-15 04:36:57	will trump say drill baby drill in march	No	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x57a8fb…
03-15 04:34:51	will trump say easter in march	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x122b0a…
03-15 04:34:31	will trump say drill baby drill in march	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3f3a69…
03-14 06:27:13	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x6b7c43…
03-10 20:00:57	will trump say et cetera or etc this week march 15	No	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x62a2c6…
03-10 20:00:25	will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 15	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x0535fb…
03-10 18:35:05	will trump say kamala or harris this week march 15	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x132ef3…
03-10 18:33:49	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x22e2c9…
03-10 18:19:05	will trump say sleepy joe this week march 15	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xfe9a6f…
03-10 17:42:57	will trump say radical left this week march 15	No	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x41e1bd…
03-10 17:39:51	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb18324…
03-10 17:35:07	will trump say sleepy joe this week march 15	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc843ef…
03-08 17:16:29	will trump say make america great again or maga this week march 8	No	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x4abf1c…
03-08 17:12:37	will trump say n word in march	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x4caa4c…
03-08 16:50:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x755d33…
03-08 16:42:17	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	34¢	$9	0x8afc32…
03-03 16:43:11	will trump say transgender this week march 8	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x7715d2…
03-03 16:39:51	will trump say nasty this week march 8	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc8be45…
03-03 16:38:31	will trump say iq this week march 8	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x692f23…
03-03 16:37:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4d9e26…
03-03 16:32:41	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 8	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9ebff9…
03-03 08:28:35	will trump say n word in march	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x7d9410…
03-03 08:26:23	will trump say drill baby drill in march	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4974b3…
03-03 08:25:09	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf08dda…
03-03 08:23:53	will trump say capital of the world in march	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf2808e…