Scary-Fannypack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.27M

Unrealized P&L

-$3.50K

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

9,280

Trades

159,645

lifetime

Volume

$43.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$275

Open exposure

$14.9K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-28 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 287 days

Categories

Sports

55% 53% +$1,447,372

Other

45% 54% -$142,635

Politics

0% 0% -$33,657

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$739

Crypto

0% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 6823 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5	Over	+13,587	$6,250	46¢	$6.2K	-$68	10-28 12:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,583	$1,834	84¢	$2.2K	+$336	09-20 14:14
Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	+1,865	$1,231	66¢	$1.2K	-$9	10-28 14:13
Hornets vs. Pistons	Pistons	+1,552	$1,063	72¢	$1.1K	+$62	10-28 12:04
Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	+4,085	$1,247	28¢	$1.1K	-$124	10-28 12:28
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+1,000	$913	95¢	$950	+$36	09-19 02:15
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	+977	$342	44¢	$435	+$93	09-04 22:15
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+8,329	$2,448	5¢	$416	-$2,032	09-20 14:18
Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	+1,373	$398	29¢	$391	-$7	10-28 14:40
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	+2,591	$1,296	14¢	$363	-$933	09-21 03:34
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Pistons	+477	$248	56¢	$265	+$17	10-28 12:52
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	+3,257	$1,100	7¢	$228	-$872	09-21 00:52
nba cha det 2026 10 28 spread home 6pt5	Hornets	+44	$22	44¢	$20	-$2	10-28 06:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Colts vs. Chiefs	558	$412.3K	1,048,716	0	+1,048,716	Chiefs	-$45,894	09-21 03:50
nfl min tb 2026 09 27	297	$367.7K	800,926	0	+800,926	Vikings	+$28,554	09-27 23:15
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	235	$321.6K	780,326	0	+780,326	England	-$317,104	07-06 02:18
Panthers vs. Eagles	57	$308.9K	574,893	0	+574,893	Panthers	+$156,045	10-18 20:11
Texans vs. Jaguars	113	$300.0K	575,256	0	+575,256	Texans	+$75,621	10-18 16:48
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	733	$293.5K	321,399	0	+321,399	Justin Gaethje	+$27,067	06-15 05:20
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	44	$290.4K	414,840	0	+414,840	No	+$121,364	06-13 02:36
Spurs vs. Thunder	417	$283.1K	608,467	0	+608,467	Spurs	-$37,016	05-19 03:41
Chiefs vs. Raiders	124	$255.9K	497,279	0	+497,279	Chiefs	-$88,425	10-04 23:43
Knicks vs. Spurs	249	$253.1K	394,735	0	+394,735	Knicks	+$53,429	06-14 03:30
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	499	$252.6K	546,233	0	+546,233	No	-$93,920	06-12 20:39
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	42	$245.8K	483,589	0	+483,589	Yes	+$237,096	06-13 02:53
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	747	$243.2K	473,095	0	+473,095	Switzerland	-$210,587	07-07 22:50
ufc mar12 tfortu 2026 03 28	34	$231.3K	328,639	0	+328,639	Tyrell Fortune	-$16,392	03-28 23:11
Panthers vs. Browns	56	$221.7K	401,983	0	+401,983	Browns	-$186,269	09-27 20:19
Spread: Colts (-3.5)	46	$204.4K	423,770	0	+423,770	Colts	-$204,426	10-03 16:06
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	170	$203.5K	497,687	0	+497,687	Spurs	-$28,200	06-09 03:25
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	429	$202.2K	407,877	0	+407,877	Cavaliers	+$39,914	10-27 01:59
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	222	$198.0K	556,359	0	+556,359	Knicks	-$59,072	05-20 02:55
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	73	$194.6K	298,325	0	+298,325	Yes	-$119,509	06-26 04:01
Spread: Lions (-6.5)	8	$193.5K	249,922	150,000	+99,922	Lions	-$46,412	09-27 19:57
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	253	$189.1K	328,933	0	+328,933	Over	-$93,198	06-20 18:51
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	200	$181.7K	267,843	0	+267,843	No	+$24,644	06-25 02:21
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	296	$178.2K	378,024	0	+378,024	Delhi Capitals	-$97,702	05-01 17:50
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	266	$175.3K	517,441	0	+517,441	No	-$93,299	06-13 02:49
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	453	$173.3K	689,941	0	+689,941	No	-$17,434	07-06 06:03
Rams vs. Broncos	149	$173.2K	342,345	0	+342,345	Broncos	-$26,245	09-28 03:55
Eagles vs. Bears	197	$167.2K	455,509	0	+455,509	Bears	+$8,288	09-29 02:27
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	80	$166.9K	382,722	0	+382,722	No	-$161,634	06-14 00:03
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	71	$164.4K	294,485	0	+294,485	Yes	+$94,819	06-14 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:34:53	Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xa995b8…
10-28 16:34:53	Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x909f12…
10-28 16:30:44	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x79ffdd…
10-28 16:30:07	nba den nop 2026 10 28 1h total 118pt5	Over	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x910db5…
10-28 16:29:53	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x34b0d7…
10-28 16:29:40	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9445e1…
10-28 16:29:08	nba den nop 2026 10 28 1h total 118pt5	Over	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x4c6f1c…
10-28 16:28:20	Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	312	53¢	$165	0xd0ad1b…
10-28 16:28:08	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	101	48¢	$48	0x81067c…
10-28 16:27:49	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5f141e…
10-28 16:27:28	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x60742c…
10-28 16:27:23	nba den nop 2026 10 28 1h total 118pt5	Over	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x361741…
10-28 16:27:17	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5ed139…
10-28 16:26:59	nba den nop 2026 10 28 1h total 118pt5	Over	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xc2d6d8…
10-28 16:26:49	nba den nop 2026 10 28 1h total 118pt5	Over	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xd73e39…
10-28 16:26:44	nba den nop 2026 10 28 1h total 118pt5	Over	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xce437a…
10-28 16:26:37	nba den nop 2026 10 28 1h total 118pt5	Over	BUY	91	45¢	$41	0x5ce2e8…
10-28 16:26:29	nba den nop 2026 10 28 1h total 118pt5	Over	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x5cfd51…
10-28 16:25:52	76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5	Over	BUY	159	37¢	$59	0x3e417c…
10-28 16:25:44	76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5	Over	BUY	46	37¢	$17	0x646c4f…
10-28 16:22:20	Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5	No	BUY	113	47¢	$53	0x43d317…
10-28 16:21:58	Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Pelicans	BUY	102	57¢	$58	0x690e54…
10-28 16:21:13	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	377	47¢	$177	0x30b09a…
10-28 15:58:38	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x862470…
10-28 15:57:26	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Thunder	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0x0891a0…
10-28 15:56:32	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xdf7c82…
10-28 15:56:32	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x696d3c…
10-28 15:51:20	Spread: Raptors (-11.5)	Raptors	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0x622c66…
10-28 15:50:53	Spread: Raptors (-11.5)	Raptors	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x6b9e0c…
10-28 15:48:49	Spread: Raptors (-9.5)	Raptors	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xddafb0…
10-28 15:48:10	Spread: Raptors (-9.5)	Raptors	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x6a031f…
10-28 15:48:10	Spread: Raptors (-9.5)	Raptors	BUY	128	35¢	$45	0x60424a…
10-28 15:47:41	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	41	52¢	$21	0xa12f87…
10-28 15:46:20	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	38	30¢	$11	0xd9109a…
10-28 15:46:20	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xca3b42…
10-28 15:46:20	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	2,141	30¢	$642	0xc583b1…
10-28 15:46:20	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	196	30¢	$59	0x8db03a…
10-28 15:46:20	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x8924bd…
10-28 15:46:20	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	157	30¢	$47	0x7e0e6d…
10-28 15:46:20	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x444853…
10-28 15:46:20	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x3757b8…
10-28 15:46:20	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	296	30¢	$89	0x0c3010…
10-28 15:45:59	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	73	30¢	$22	0x276384…
10-28 15:45:35	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0x97b68e…
10-28 15:45:10	Spread: Raptors (-10.5)	Raptors	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xb5f2d1…
10-28 15:45:10	Spread: Raptors (-10.5)	Raptors	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xac2c02…
10-28 15:45:10	Spread: Raptors (-10.5)	Raptors	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x7ccb18…
10-28 15:42:04	Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5	No	BUY	66	47¢	$31	0x13f50e…
10-28 15:39:53	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0x7eae4b…
10-28 15:39:23	Spread: Raptors (-10.5)	Raptors	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xdb70de…
10-28 15:38:58	Spread: Raptors (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	109	39¢	$43	0x83d741…
10-28 15:37:53	Spread: Raptors (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	68	38¢	$26	0x70dd0e…
10-28 15:37:37	Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Pelicans	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x9d46fb…
10-28 15:37:11	Spread: Raptors (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0xa40c48…
10-28 15:31:19	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x186d03…
10-28 15:28:25	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7ff2ea…
10-28 15:28:22	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x741e1d…
10-28 15:26:59	Spread: Raptors (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	177	38¢	$67	0x448a92…
10-28 15:26:28	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x846681…
10-28 15:26:23	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0x5ae9ef…
10-28 15:24:41	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	73	30¢	$22	0x415de8…
10-28 15:24:25	Spread: Thunder (-7.5)	Thunder	BUY	710	44¢	$312	0x4b41b7…
10-28 15:24:02	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	125	52¢	$65	0x28faa3…
10-28 15:23:19	Spread: Raptors (-11.5)	Raptors	BUY	57	29¢	$17	0x5f0fd5…
10-28 15:21:13	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	74	30¢	$22	0x809883…
10-28 15:17:58	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	118	52¢	$61	0xda5dfa…
10-28 15:17:58	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	70	52¢	$36	0x8827bd…
10-28 15:17:58	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	81	52¢	$42	0x5a6218…
10-28 15:17:58	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	59	52¢	$31	0x094467…
10-28 15:16:53	Spread: Raptors (-11.5)	Raptors	BUY	154	29¢	$45	0x36c189…
10-28 15:14:10	Spread: Thunder (-7.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x308e5a…
10-28 15:12:22	Spread: Raptors (-9.5)	Raptors	BUY	68	35¢	$24	0x46d472…
10-28 15:09:43	Spread: Raptors (-9.5)	Raptors	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x1f0367…
10-28 15:09:23	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe9bb1e…
10-28 15:09:01	Spread: Raptors (-9.5)	Raptors	BUY	123	35¢	$43	0xf9859c…
10-28 15:08:29	Spread: Raptors (-10.5)	Raptors	BUY	65	32¢	$21	0x53cd72…
10-28 15:08:28	Spread: Raptors (-10.5)	Raptors	BUY	74	32¢	$24	0xa134b0…
10-28 15:06:56	Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xeb8a17…
10-28 15:06:01	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x4acdc0…
10-28 15:05:02	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x1bea39…
10-28 15:04:55	Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Pelicans	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x43a1c7…
10-28 15:04:47	76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5	Over	BUY	216	43¢	$93	0x7cffd9…
10-28 15:04:25	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x64b9e4…
10-28 15:04:17	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0xd6eb4a…
10-28 15:03:56	Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Pelicans	BUY	115	57¢	$66	0xde2987…
10-28 15:03:56	Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Pelicans	BUY	86	57¢	$49	0xbfe010…
10-28 15:03:43	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2c2540…
10-28 15:02:58	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xea0702…
10-28 15:02:52	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	20	48¢	$9	0x3dbb75…
10-28 15:02:49	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x03f366…
10-28 15:02:44	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xd28a40…
10-28 15:02:43	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x2e6600…
10-28 15:02:41	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0xa78335…
10-28 14:57:41	Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5	Under	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xcf3bb2…
10-28 14:54:49	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x17c799…
10-28 14:53:04	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x5f7aa0…
10-28 14:52:10	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd818b8…
10-28 14:50:28	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x3783d0…
10-28 14:49:40	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	58	48¢	$28	0x027827…
10-28 14:48:52	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	297	30¢	$89	0x3aff7e…