Realized P&L
+$496
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
115
Trades
1,941
lifetime
Volume
$407.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$210
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 04-29 11:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
52%
67%
+$2,932
Politics
41%
62%
-$1,733
Sports
4%
31%
-$648
Crypto
1%
100%
+$308
Pop-Culture
1%
0%
-$362
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-29).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 95 | $86.2K | 77,411 | 72,473 | +4,937 | Yes | +$6,715 | 03-28 09:01 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 184 | $54.9K | 113,000 | 110,348 | +2,652 | No | -$6,471 | 04-12 12:10 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 231 | $25.2K | 42,548 | 42,548 | +0 | Yes | +$1,025 | 04-10 11:04 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 4 | $23.2K | 20,873 | 20,873 | +0 | Yes | +$2,696 | 04-04 18:11 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 16 | $22.8K | 62,199 | 62,199 | +0 | No | -$3,708 | 04-21 18:31 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 37 | $19.0K | 15,265 | 15,264 | +0 | Yes | +$481 | 03-29 15:58 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 73 | $18.1K | 9,799 | 10,590 | -791 | No | +$765 | 04-23 17:51 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31? | 12 | $12.7K | 7,336 | 7,336 | +0 | No | +$785 | 03-28 11:39 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 120 | $10.0K | 16,171 | 15,673 | +498 | Yes | -$4,858 | 04-27 18:49 |
| trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026 | 2 | $9.2K | 5,260 | 5,260 | +0 | No | +$789 | 04-15 03:08 |
| will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics | 72 | $8.5K | 17,407 | 17,407 | +0 | No | -$541 | 02-14 04:56 |
| will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365 | 13 | $8.5K | 4,733 | 4,733 | -0 | No | +$838 | 04-22 05:06 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 3 | $7.8K | 9,976 | 9,976 | +0 | Yes | +$41 | 03-29 16:02 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | 19 | $7.5K | 11,963 | 9,101 | +2,862 | No | +$2,751 | 04-07 21:08 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 78 | $7.2K | 100,652 | 98,691 | +1,961 | No | +$180 | 03-16 02:09 |
| will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics | 5 | $6.1K | 4,107 | 4,107 | +0 | Yes | +$481 | 02-16 15:14 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | 21 | $5.3K | 13,065 | 12,312 | +753 | No | +$116 | 04-09 17:03 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | 12 | $4.6K | 6,000 | 3,023 | +2,977 | No | -$1,286 | 04-07 07:31 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 5 | $4.4K | 7,781 | 7,781 | +0 | No | +$788 | 01-24 19:05 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 16 | $4.3K | 5,018 | 5,018 | +0 | Yes | -$742 | 03-05 15:48 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | 9 | $3.6K | 5,800 | 4,364 | +1,436 | No | -$304 | 04-07 14:37 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 2 | $3.2K | 1,783 | 1,783 | +0 | No | +$13 | 03-05 15:57 |
| will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc this weekend | 2 | $3.1K | 1,776 | 1,776 | +0 | No | -$214 | 01-26 03:48 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 14 | $3.1K | 2,485 | 2,025 | +460 | No | +$232 | 03-04 16:16 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 12 | $3.0K | 2,299 | 2,299 | +0 | Yes | +$355 | 01-27 01:21 |
| will kanye release bully by march 27 | 36 | $2.4K | 2,970 | 1,559 | +1,411 | No | -$362 | 03-27 17:38 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | 53 | $2.1K | 5,500 | 5,500 | +0 | No | +$135 | 04-07 12:25 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 3 | $2.1K | 14,027 | 14,027 | +0 | No | -$140 | 01-19 04:13 |
| trumprx launched by january 31 2026 | 26 | $1.9K | 1,538 | 1,443 | +95 | No | +$479 | 01-24 19:09 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31 | 31 | $1.8K | 7,877 | 12,020 | -4,143 | No | -$210 | 03-03 17:38 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||