Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$147

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

$497

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-23 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

41% 100% +$75

Other

38% 100% +$43

Tech

16% 100% +$15

Sports

4% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by October 31?	No		+500	$489	99¢	$497	+$7	10-23 10:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$966	490	490	+0	Yes	+$12	10-21 16:04
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	2	$519	260	260	+0	Yes	+$1	07-17 16:59
Iran leadership change by October 31?	1	$489	500	0	+500	open	—	10-23 10:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$452	453	0	+453	No	+$0	07-05 14:04
ferran torres 20260609173616760	1	$438	438	0	+438	Yes	+$0	06-15 15:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$434	435	0	+435	Yes	+$1	05-25 04:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$433	434	0	+434	No	+$1	05-23 02:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$426	433	0	+433	No	+$8	05-21 03:42
over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	4	$424	444	0	+444	No	+$20	07-25 09:47
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	1	$422	426	0	+426	No	+$3	05-13 03:46
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$420	422	0	+422	No	+$2	04-30 03:25
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	1	$260	260	0	+260	No	+$1	07-17 16:59
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	2	$256	259	0	+259	Yes	+$3	07-15 05:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$234	238	0	+238	Yes	+$4	04-29 14:51
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$226	227	0	+227	Yes	+$1	03-18 08:37
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$222	223	0	+223	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:42
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	1	$218	229	0	+229	No	+$11	06-05 06:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$218	222	0	+222	No	+$5	06-05 06:14
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	1	$197	197	0	+197	Yes	+$0	07-15 04:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$181	182	0	+182	No	+$1	04-07 23:04
will trump say jesus this week march 8	2	$143	179	0	+179	Yes	+$36	03-09 12:26
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$108	120	0	+120	Yes	+$12	01-05 23:08
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$94	95	0	+95	Yes	+$1	01-29 16:25
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	1	$94	95	0	+95	Yes	+$1	01-29 16:25
will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$79	88	0	+88	No	+$9	03-27 01:29
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$79	81	0	+81	No	+$2	03-27 00:53
will texas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$79	80	0	+80	No	+$1	03-27 00:29
will alabama win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$79	80	0	+80	No	+$1	03-27 01:28
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$68	68	0	+68	No	+$0	01-05 23:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	04-25 00:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 10:17:18	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0xa7e310…
10-21 16:04:32	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	490	100¢	$489	0x95345f…
08-28 06:39:24	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	490	97¢	$477	0x78b820…
07-25 09:47:40	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	78	96¢	$74	0xba9b53…
07-25 09:44:13	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xbe522f…
07-25 09:44:13	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x6fba38…
07-25 09:44:12	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	272	96¢	$260	0x6e6271…
07-25 09:44:01	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x547359…
07-25 09:43:54	over 37pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x80b6fb…
07-17 16:59:51	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0xfbd2a2…
07-17 16:59:10	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0xc89c84…
07-17 13:21:43	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xe27aba…
07-15 05:58:05	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	199	99¢	$197	0x658689…
07-15 04:03:23	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x8de685…
07-15 04:02:55	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x6ac022…
07-05 14:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	453	100¢	$452	0x1e292a…
06-15 15:29:34	ferran torres 20260609173616760	Yes	BUY	438	100¢	$438	0x675f78…
06-15 15:29:27	mikel merino 20260609173616759	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xefe2f8…
06-08 08:42:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x4c07b4…
06-05 06:15:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	229	95¢	$218	0x98f829…
06-05 06:14:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	222	98¢	$218	0x530d35…
05-25 04:46:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	435	100¢	$434	0xd9ffd2…
05-23 02:11:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	434	100¢	$433	0x19e92d…
05-21 03:42:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	283	98¢	$278	0xc2d74e…
05-21 03:36:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$148	0x92b22c…
05-13 03:46:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	426	99¢	$422	0xbbb526…
04-30 03:25:22	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	397	100¢	$395	0x88f2b0…
04-30 03:25:02	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x152f3c…
04-29 14:51:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7a960f…
04-25 00:21:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x5135b8…
04-22 12:56:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	54	90¢	$48	0xef0d4f…
04-14 13:50:21	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x1d6ee9…
04-07 23:04:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$181	0x9e4b2d…
04-06 02:50:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xacedf9…
04-06 02:45:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0x086106…
03-27 01:29:17	will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	88	90¢	$79	0x1fc113…
03-27 01:28:39	will alabama win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x0dbb4e…
03-27 01:28:35	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xf3494c…
03-27 01:28:05	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xe5acd7…
03-27 00:53:09	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x3cd29e…
03-27 00:29:11	will texas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x52c99b…
03-18 08:37:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0xcab0ac…
03-09 12:26:57	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	130	80¢	$104	0x28efbc…
03-09 12:23:49	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	48	80¢	$39	0xcc42fa…
01-29 16:25:56	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xa12e2b…
01-29 16:25:46	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x479f9f…
01-05 23:08:57	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0xf3d34a…
01-05 23:08:39	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0xcad119…