Useful-Celeriac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

401

Trades

574

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-08 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 95% +$43

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	80¢	$2	+$0	06-02 03:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	7	$19	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-13 09:49
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	5	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	05-13 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$14	14	+14	Down	+$0	05-05 12:05
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$13	14	+14	open	—	05-13 08:19
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	5	$13	13	+13	Up	+$0	05-13 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$12	12	+12	Down	+$0	05-07 04:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	5	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-13 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$10	50	+50	Up	$-10	05-08 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	Down	$-10	05-09 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Down	+$9	05-08 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$10	17	+17	Down	+$7	05-09 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$10	17	+17	Down	$-10	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Up	$-10	05-08 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-08 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-08 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	05-09 03:04
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	05-09 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-13 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	14	+14	Down	$-10	05-09 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$10	16	+16	Down	+$6	05-08 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	05-09 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-13 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	Up	+$3	05-08 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	Down	+$2	05-09 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-13 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-08 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-12 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-13 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:35:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x9a12ad…
06-02 03:01:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x62bece…
06-01 08:45:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x701410…
06-01 08:35:27	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3b179a…
06-01 08:27:57	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf0c733…
06-01 02:26:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x08795e…
05-17 19:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x588357…
05-17 19:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf7888a…
05-17 19:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7e4c0d…
05-17 19:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf7520b…
05-17 19:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x615245…
05-17 19:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x90b5ff…
05-17 18:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8d4daf…
05-17 18:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc0a171…
05-17 18:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbf7054…
05-17 18:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x40e83f…
05-17 18:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x41fc72…
05-17 10:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa3cbe5…
05-17 10:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2f262b…
05-17 10:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6a03ba…
05-17 09:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xca8e83…
05-17 09:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd4563e…
05-17 08:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x128253…
05-17 07:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x77aadf…
05-17 07:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x676c8d…
05-17 07:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x30c8dc…
05-17 07:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcc1b84…
05-17 07:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x79d402…
05-17 05:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b85a9…
05-17 05:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x544208…
05-17 04:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe130e3…
05-17 04:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x60aeb7…
05-17 04:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa021e5…
05-17 04:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x806e65…
05-17 04:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x042e68…
05-17 04:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x92ec6f…
05-17 04:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x30d20b…
05-17 04:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2e791f…
05-17 04:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdf359a…
05-17 04:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x71919e…
05-17 04:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x37ef97…
05-17 03:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x43436f…
05-17 03:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x85c9c2…
05-17 03:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1ad0f1…
05-17 03:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b3d6b…
05-17 03:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8bea41…
05-17 03:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7f7488…
05-17 03:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51ab49…
05-17 03:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x94b1ba…
05-17 03:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x06ab2a…
05-17 03:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3a1606…
05-17 03:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a5621…
05-17 02:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x08a68f…
05-17 02:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8feaa7…
05-17 02:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x022692…
05-17 02:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x228146…
05-17 02:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5e98cf…
05-16 18:43:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0f43b0…
05-13 17:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e7183…
05-13 17:19:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xad7e01…
05-13 16:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0b048e…
05-13 16:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6217c4…
05-13 16:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x77ed10…
05-13 16:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6134fe…
05-13 16:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdcc543…
05-13 15:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9605ea…
05-13 15:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2f59e8…
05-13 15:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab52c3…
05-13 15:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfe33c6…
05-13 15:24:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xff0178…
05-13 15:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb50f36…
05-13 14:29:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37a542…
05-13 14:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8af3f3…
05-13 14:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc560ef…
05-13 14:14:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x592a9d…
05-13 14:09:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3f5151…
05-13 13:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd31f25…
05-13 13:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8b1714…
05-13 13:34:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb388a5…
05-13 13:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x49d31a…
05-13 13:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x253d5d…
05-13 13:04:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x92422e…
05-13 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1a1cdd…
05-13 12:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdc196f…
05-13 12:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x83b377…
05-13 12:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ab0f8…
05-13 12:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e5957…
05-13 09:52:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0ce482…
05-13 09:51:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd4c265…
05-13 09:49:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb2d237…
05-13 09:49:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xab5acb…
05-13 09:49:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6aac6c…
05-13 09:49:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe063f1…
05-13 09:48:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xcf8126…
05-13 09:47:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x4938a1…
05-13 09:46:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc41a8e…
05-13 09:39:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x5ad13d…
05-13 09:36:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x4743ac…
05-13 09:36:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa938a5…
05-13 09:36:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x55e493…