Pessimistic-Draw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$408

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 06-16 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

82% 58% -$27

Crypto

15% 67% -$4

Politics

3% 50% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 17?	3	$55	35	35	+0	Yes	+$15	05-17 16:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$49	61	47	+14	No	-$2	06-13 21:18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17?	3	$41	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	05-17 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?	6	$28	34	34	+0	No	-$15	06-04 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?	3	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-27 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 19:27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?	7	$20	93	0	+93	No	-$20	05-27 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:40 UTC	2	$20	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	06-03 19:42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 16?	2	$19	17	17	+0	No	+$14	05-16 19:56
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	3	$16	34	34	+0	Yes	-$14	05-17 22:26
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 11:06
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-27 15:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$10	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-04 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?	3	$9	10	2	+8	Yes	+$1	06-04 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 3?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	06-03 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?	1	$7	10	0	+10	No	-$7	05-17 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 4?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	06-04 10:30
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 5	1	$7	9	0	+9	No	+$2	06-05 18:03
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	1	$7	8	0	+8	Over	-$7	06-16 20:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$6	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 17:24
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$6	6	6	+0	No	$0	06-04 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	05-18 11:00
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	22	0	+22	Up	-$5	05-18 11:10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?	2	$4	445	0	+445	No	-$4	05-17 15:59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	05-20 20:38
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 3?	2	$2	14	14	+0	No	+$0	06-03 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 20:52:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd7c8ed…
06-13 21:18:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0x82a578…
06-13 21:16:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xda2c86…
06-12 20:05:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	32	49¢	$16	0xf4dd87…
06-09 17:35:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x641632…
06-05 18:03:28	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 5	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xbd53df…
06-04 19:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0xb60487…
06-04 19:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x994b69…
06-04 18:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xddc163…
06-04 17:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa4261f…
06-04 17:33:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0x963ce8…
06-04 17:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x62fa56…
06-04 17:30:13	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x97e03a…
06-04 17:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6dea32…
06-04 17:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x572418…
06-04 17:24:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x3569f9…
06-04 17:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x80d7b1…
06-04 17:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x012c3e…
06-04 15:25:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9bb50b…
06-04 15:23:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5a162f…
06-04 10:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2af9b7…
06-03 19:42:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xdd08e5…
06-03 19:41:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xae1752…
06-03 19:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xeb18ab…
06-03 17:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x4dc00a…
06-03 16:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfec64e…
06-03 15:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 3?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x31d893…
06-02 19:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6d06a2…
06-02 19:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 3?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa80128…
06-02 19:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x449dec…
06-02 19:31:06	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe439e0…
05-27 17:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa8a4f0…
05-27 17:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xe30fcb…
05-27 17:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xfce77d…
05-27 17:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x6793fe…
05-27 17:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x682746…
05-27 16:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xcd897c…
05-27 16:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x585bd8…
05-27 16:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x973554…
05-27 16:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe6dd10…
05-27 15:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x06a6ce…
05-27 15:54:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	53¢	$7	0xa2e411…
05-27 15:53:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xeefe16…
05-27 14:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xdec204…
05-27 14:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x86bfef…
05-20 20:38:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xdfc572…
05-18 11:10:39	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x811761…
05-18 11:06:54	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x2dd2c0…
05-18 11:05:37	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe2c082…
05-18 11:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x50ce6e…
05-17 22:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x8029a5…
05-17 22:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x2a1ac3…
05-17 22:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x8fbdcb…
05-17 22:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	No	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0xb5bedb…
05-17 19:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x906a1e…
05-17 19:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x52f937…
05-17 19:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf06576…
05-17 16:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xdae8d7…
05-17 15:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	245	1¢	$2	0x58c677…
05-17 15:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x564c80…
05-17 13:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x6a37e8…
05-17 13:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6fc24f…
05-16 19:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 16?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x6c6f6a…
05-16 19:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 16?	No	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x3dcf6f…