Realized P&L
-$336
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
879
Trades
2,478
lifetime
Volume
$29.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$447
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-18 23:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Crypto
63% 74% -$240
Other
30% 88% -$97
Politics
7% 72% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 478 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 09-30 14:47
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 10-01 05:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +30 $28 92¢ $28 $0 09-30 14:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +30 $22 74¢ $22 +$1 09-30 14:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 09-30 12:58
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? No — +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 09-30 13:48
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 09-30 13:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 09-30 13:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$0 09-30 12:45
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +20 $20 96¢ $19 -$1 09-30 13:23
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +20 $20 94¢ $19 -$1 09-30 13:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +20 $13 84¢ $17 +$4 09-30 12:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +20 $11 66¢ $13 +$2 09-30 13:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +30 $12 34¢ $10 -$2 09-30 14:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-30 02:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-30 02:56
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-29 11:50
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-29 13:52
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-30 08:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-29 11:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 09-30 08:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 09-30 08:30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-30 02:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-29 11:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-30 02:57
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 09-30 02:55
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 09-29 14:01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 09-29 11:35
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 09-29 13:58
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $0 09-30 12:14