Warped-Fratricide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.8%

Resolved

661

Trades

865

lifetime

Volume

$3.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 11-01 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

100% 36% -$75

Crypto

0% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 6?	7	$27	35	0	+35	No	+$8	06-05 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 5?	7	$26	35	0	+35	Yes	-$26	06-05 01:15
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 6?	7	$24	31	0	+31	Yes	-$24	06-05 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 5?	8	$24	40	0	+40	Yes	-$24	06-05 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on June 10?	9	$21	36	36	+0	Yes	+$2	06-10 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 5?	9	$20	41	0	+41	Yes	-$20	06-05 02:52
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 5?	8	$19	22	22	+0	No	-$4	06-05 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 5?	5	$18	25	0	+25	Yes	-$18	06-04 23:39
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?	7	$17	35	0	+35	No	+$18	06-05 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 5?	5	$16	23	0	+23	No	+$7	06-04 20:58
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 10?	5	$16	25	0	+25	No	+$9	06-10 06:36
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 28?	3	$15	50	50	+0	No	+$5	06-27 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 5?	6	$15	25	0	+25	Yes	-$15	06-05 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?	5	$14	20	0	+20	No	+$6	06-10 03:26
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on June 6?	5	$13	21	0	+21	Yes	-$13	06-05 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 5?	3	$13	15	0	+15	No	+$2	06-05 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	4	$12	20	0	+20	No	+$8	06-10 03:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 30?	3	$11	15	0	+15	No	+$4	05-29 03:17
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 6?	3	$11	15	0	+15	No	+$4	06-05 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 5?	3	$11	15	0	+15	No	+$4	06-04 22:04
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 5?	3	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	06-05 01:16
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 5?	4	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	-$10	06-04 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 25?	2	$10	18	18	+0	No	+$0	07-24 00:04
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 6?	3	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	-$10	06-05 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 10?	4	$10	20	0	+20	No	+$10	06-10 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 6?	3	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	06-05 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 25?	2	$10	17	17	+0	No	$0	07-24 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 11?	3	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	06-10 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 11?	4	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	-$10	06-10 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 11?	3	$9	15	0	+15	Yes	-$9	06-10 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc04628…
11-01 18:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc66980…
11-01 18:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xaa497f…
11-01 17:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xab2bec…
11-01 17:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7f1042…
11-01 16:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x3eb701…
11-01 14:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x4a40d8…
11-01 12:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xebd59f…
11-01 12:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x9c67fd…
11-01 11:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x0c7d8f…
11-01 10:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcb55f2…
11-01 09:17:51	highest temperature in milan on november 3 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x75c91f…
11-01 08:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6222be…
11-01 06:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0f01cd…
11-01 06:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x252163…
11-01 03:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x327379…
10-31 18:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xab85b4…
10-31 17:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x85fee6…
10-31 16:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xe9381f…
10-31 16:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x563579…
10-31 16:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0f4c96…
10-31 15:22:40	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa66b24…
10-31 14:22:55	highest temperature in san francisco on november 2 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xea151e…
10-31 13:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc8499b…
10-31 12:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x909f22…
10-31 11:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xbc6081…
10-31 11:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0151ce…
10-31 07:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x00d9ae…
10-31 07:23:10	highest temperature in tokyo on november 2 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x865802…
10-31 07:08:25	highest temperature in wellington on november 2 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbfaf6b…
10-31 02:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x247045…
10-31 02:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x8d04cc…
10-31 01:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x98cc94…
10-30 16:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5222ea…
10-30 16:59:45	lowest temperature in mexico city on november 1 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x711be3…
10-30 16:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0a7b2b…
10-30 16:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x672444…
10-30 15:33:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x9b3f29…
10-30 15:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x518c41…
10-30 15:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xd3ff7c…
10-30 15:07:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6ab2ef…
10-30 11:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xdc0fec…
10-30 11:04:03	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x51344a…
10-30 10:46:43	lowest temperature in denver on november 1 2026 44 45f	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc2bbde…
10-30 09:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3d35ce…
10-30 09:11:31	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x73c727…
10-30 08:37:04	highest temperature in chongqing on november 1 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x848230…
10-30 06:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x949a01…
10-30 06:11:06	lowest temperature in shanghai on november 1 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0xdd2a78…
10-30 06:10:48	lowest temperature in hong kong on november 1 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xfd47f8…
10-30 06:10:48	lowest temperature in hong kong on november 1 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3fd793…
10-30 06:00:27	lowest temperature in ankara on november 1 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x133e3e…
10-30 05:48:09	lowest temperature in munich on november 1 2026 3c	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x37f24a…
10-30 05:46:12	lowest temperature in wellington on november 1 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x25a255…
10-30 05:46:07	lowest temperature in tel aviv on november 1 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf115a7…
10-30 05:46:06	lowest temperature in munich on november 1 2026 3c	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5aaeb2…
10-30 05:45:55	lowest temperature in milan on november 1 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x271eb4…
10-30 05:23:39	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xbce876…
10-30 05:10:49	lowest temperature in jeddah on november 1 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0xd1d9a2…
10-30 05:10:49	lowest temperature in qingdao on november 1 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x736f8e…
10-30 05:10:49	lowest temperature in jeddah on november 1 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x52249f…
10-30 04:54:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4fc18d…
10-30 04:41:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xcce021…
10-30 04:39:37	lowest temperature in taipei on november 1 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x1c8b73…
10-30 04:36:28	lowest temperature in taipei on november 1 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc8ce0c…
10-30 04:36:25	lowest temperature in beijing on november 1 2026 5c	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf04d0b…
10-30 04:36:24	lowest temperature in shenzhen on november 1 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8cb7b7…
10-30 04:36:13	lowest temperature in helsinki on november 1 2026 5c	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x92bb27…
10-30 04:36:09	lowest temperature in helsinki on november 1 2026 5c	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x6e07f4…
10-30 04:36:04	lowest temperature in guangzhou on november 1 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xf96530…
10-30 04:36:01	lowest temperature in karachi on november 1 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe79a8f…
10-30 04:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7a967d…
10-30 03:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf7d1e5…
10-30 02:34:13	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf1a356…
10-30 02:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x06c79c…
10-29 22:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xe6063b…
10-29 22:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6d2b87…
10-29 21:31:30	highest temperature in sao paulo on october 31 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x18656c…
10-29 20:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4c2918…
10-29 19:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb33a42…
10-29 19:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x42caac…
10-29 17:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0e785e…
10-29 17:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x223ebc…
10-29 16:53:13	highest temperature in seattle on october 31 2026 50 51f	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xdab949…
10-29 16:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6ffd04…
10-29 16:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe68a6a…
10-29 16:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe79979…
10-29 16:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x95c2e7…
10-29 16:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x99db6f…
10-29 15:48:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xc44dd2…
10-29 15:38:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xb65bf4…
10-29 13:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5e3084…
10-29 13:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb7bc3c…
10-29 13:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xab73b6…
10-29 13:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x992045…
10-29 12:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe9f009…
10-29 12:33:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xba56b4…
10-29 12:25:28	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xcf6c14…
10-29 12:23:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xbc5192…
10-29 12:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4ac6eb…