Ugly-Businessman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$310

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	6	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$17	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-12 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$8	8	2	+6	Up	$-4	05-14 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-12 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	Down	$-1	05-12 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-14 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-11 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Up	$-1	05-14 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-12 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-14 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-11 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-14 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-12 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 13:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf61402…
05-14 13:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf7d48e…
05-14 13:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x6cd6ec…
05-14 13:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x08e567…
05-14 13:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8a1df3…
05-14 13:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5805f7…
05-14 12:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x863b59…
05-14 12:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x041530…
05-14 12:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4c9700…
05-14 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdee3f2…
05-14 12:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7a0b4a…
05-14 12:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0af19b…
05-14 12:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xad83d2…
05-14 11:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x37a985…
05-14 11:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xa5ec1c…
05-14 11:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe43577…
05-14 11:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc119ca…
05-14 11:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdc1dfd…
05-14 07:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xece1f6…
05-14 07:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8b07d0…
05-14 06:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xb99d8c…
05-14 06:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf44c35…
05-14 06:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x66e051…
05-14 06:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9de9aa…
05-14 06:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x23567d…
05-14 06:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x43e784…
05-14 06:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xec0091…
05-14 06:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb410f6…
05-14 06:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x37c4fa…
05-14 06:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x19e80e…
05-14 06:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x03c5d4…
05-14 06:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa87e14…
05-14 06:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x846f65…
05-14 06:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa4ff20…
05-14 06:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x459a0b…
05-14 06:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4601c3…
05-14 06:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6c67fe…
05-14 06:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x73b7ac…
05-14 06:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe27d23…
05-14 06:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xd1b754…
05-14 06:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8bf90a…
05-14 06:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4c73c4…
05-14 05:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdbeafb…
05-14 05:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x0deb60…
05-14 05:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x74b7fd…
05-14 05:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xee7355…
05-14 05:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xff69a3…
05-14 05:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x796237…
05-12 17:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xac7445…
05-12 17:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0c8154…
05-12 17:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9f5552…
05-12 16:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x059458…
05-12 16:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb5a8b7…
05-12 16:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7e264c…
05-12 16:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe0beb0…
05-12 16:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd60eff…
05-12 16:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x73361c…
05-12 16:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa5991d…
05-12 16:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd6f09a…
05-11 19:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xffbe53…
05-11 18:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c2a37…
05-11 18:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc2c36e…