Aggravating-Fireplace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$348

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

418

Trades

875

lifetime

Volume

$36.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-06 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 55% +$703

Other

17% 43% -$309

Sports

2% 60% -$46

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	8	$2.7K	1,560	1,551	+9	T1	-$69	04-26 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$2.0K	1,443	1,443	+0	Down	+$475	05-06 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,107	1,107	+0	Down	+$510	05-05 13:53
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	7	$1.4K	728	719	+9	Top Esports	+$13	04-25 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$1.2K	2,267	0	+2,267	Up	+$1,064	05-06 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	5	$899	576	565	+11	Up	+$58	04-25 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$821	537	537	+0	Down	+$231	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$812	531	531	+0	Down	+$239	05-04 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$753	477	477	+0	Down	+$153	05-05 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$714	749	749	+0	Down	+$76	05-04 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$705	480	467	+13	Up	+$118	04-25 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$599	463	463	+0	Down	+$309	05-05 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$567	344	336	+8	Down	+$107	04-25 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$514	344	336	+8	Up	+$63	04-25 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$500	1,646	0	+1,646	Down	-$500	04-25 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	5	$411	383	347	+37	Down	+$10	04-25 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$403	244	244	+0	Down	+$61	05-02 08:59
dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	4	$390	265	263	+2	South America Rejects	-$7	04-24 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$355	223	223	+0	Down	+$87	05-05 04:00
lol omg lng 2026 04 24	2	$337	174	173	+0	LNG Esports	+$9	04-24 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$332	198	198	+0	Down	+$60	05-04 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$332	227	227	+0	Down	+$108	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	5	$307	387	121	+266	Down	-$6	04-25 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$304	229	200	+29	Down	+$61	05-02 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$293	551	390	+160	Down	+$4	04-25 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$290	170	168	+2	Up	+$10	04-25 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$290	470	0	+470	Up	-$290	05-06 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$287	541	0	+541	Down	-$287	05-05 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$275	186	186	+0	Up	+$82	05-05 02:14
Lakers vs. Rockets	9	$246	168	166	+1	Lakers	+$12	04-25 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 07:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	363	55¢	$199	0xf22951…
05-06 07:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1,450	52¢	$760	0x14f84b…
05-06 07:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	454	54¢	$244	0xb04332…
05-06 07:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	297	47¢	$140	0x25a98a…
05-06 03:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	274	86¢	$235	0xa7ef15…
05-06 03:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1,169	87¢	$1,022	0x26e8c3…
05-06 03:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,379	54¢	$746	0x70c34a…
05-06 03:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	63	56¢	$36	0x639526…
05-06 03:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	470	62¢	$290	0x63de19…
05-05 13:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1,107	98¢	$1,085	0xe2b62c…
05-05 13:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,107	52¢	$575	0x28fb57…
05-05 13:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	229	43¢	$99	0xa10f47…
05-05 13:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0xcb6299…
05-05 13:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	541	53¢	$287	0x6cef33…
05-05 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x85b38f…
05-05 13:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x77d1d9…
05-05 13:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x807dd3…
05-05 13:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbcd343…
05-05 13:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	198	28¢	$55	0x97d9c3…
05-05 13:00:28	Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	All Gamers	SELL	135	41¢	$56	0x0935cb…
05-05 12:53:52	Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	All Gamers	BUY	135	71¢	$95	0x412f7b…
05-05 12:53:38	Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner	All Gamers	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x6d4e65…
05-05 12:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	86¢	$18	0x86abc9…
05-05 12:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd05b73…
05-05 08:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	463	98¢	$454	0x3e92b7…
05-05 08:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	463	31¢	$145	0x7adc95…
05-05 08:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0x981013…
05-05 08:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0xa81489…
05-05 08:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0x774fbb…
05-05 08:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0xd4f902…
05-05 08:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x6d032b…
05-05 08:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xe7f30f…
05-05 08:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xe88577…
05-05 08:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x471590…
05-05 06:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	52¢	$13	0x28f5f0…
05-05 06:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xce33c4…
05-05 05:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	165	94¢	$155	0x3912f9…
05-05 05:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	165	53¢	$88	0x27c4db…
05-05 05:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x2dc0f9…
05-05 05:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	98	93¢	$91	0xd37479…
05-05 05:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	98	61¢	$60	0xad0fbf…
05-05 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	111	39¢	$43	0x445452…
05-05 05:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x27082d…
05-05 05:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x31a4ae…
05-05 05:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0x8ac200…
05-05 05:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xb43995…
05-05 05:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	279	52¢	$145	0xfdabb4…
05-05 05:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x1e2a30…
05-05 05:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	116	90¢	$104	0xb69e8d…
05-05 05:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	116	62¢	$72	0x7e4cef…
05-05 05:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xc1269b…
05-05 04:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0x28e7bb…
05-05 04:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	186	52¢	$97	0x0e362f…
05-05 04:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	252	48¢	$121	0x88494f…
05-05 04:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	58	40¢	$23	0xc0e4aa…
05-05 04:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	154	12¢	$18	0x796c0d…
05-05 04:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	223	99¢	$221	0x908cf2…
05-05 03:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	170	58¢	$99	0x7bf1af…
05-05 03:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x693513…
05-05 03:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	174	32¢	$56	0xf74ff8…
05-05 03:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	76	40¢	$30	0x317c82…
05-05 03:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	76	17¢	$13	0xc1659b…
05-05 03:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	54	82¢	$44	0x945730…
05-05 03:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0xee52f9…
05-05 03:45:48	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	162	27¢	$44	0x861533…
05-05 03:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	470	1¢	$5	0x6cec4d…
05-05 03:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 5?	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x451b05…
05-05 03:40:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	110	41¢	$45	0x075368…
05-05 03:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x5b5478…
05-05 03:33:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0x87861d…
05-05 03:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	23	55¢	$12	0x1ac7d8…
05-05 03:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x023b57…
05-05 02:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	54	54¢	$29	0x74e7ad…
05-05 02:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xc3dfa3…
05-05 02:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	57	45¢	$26	0x8a0d67…
05-05 02:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x9dfa6c…
05-05 02:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xf2a118…
05-05 02:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xf0d92e…
05-05 02:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xadf9a7…
05-05 02:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	120	40¢	$48	0x4f2a76…
05-05 02:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x91286c…
05-05 02:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x4ec59b…
05-05 02:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x9b7de8…
05-05 02:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xbce229…
05-05 02:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x1645c3…
05-05 02:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	186	96¢	$178	0xca8ec3…
05-05 02:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	186	52¢	$96	0x1dd7b8…
05-05 02:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0x9e9d90…
05-05 00:25:36	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd0b3ad…
05-05 00:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	477	95¢	$453	0xb6a97c…
05-05 00:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	477	63¢	$300	0x3495a1…
05-05 00:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xc239eb…
05-05 00:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x2c238f…
05-05 00:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x38cb73…
05-05 00:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	537	98¢	$526	0x3de2bf…
05-05 00:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	537	55¢	$295	0x17a0b2…
05-05 00:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	264	64¢	$170	0x218cac…
05-04 23:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x1bb733…
05-04 23:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x83045f…
05-04 23:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6f8d3d…