Flickering-Agony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.30K

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

37.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$115.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.40K

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-15 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

97% 17% $-5,097

Crypto

3% 0% $-199

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+568	$24	3¢	$18	$-6	06-15 16:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Madrid Open: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff	5	$18.8K	16,141	15,749	+392	open	—	04-22 13:35
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur	2	$7.4K	5,533	5,533	+0	open	—	05-24 14:47
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong	2	$6.5K	4,599	4,522	+77	open	—	04-22 20:20
lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	3	$6.4K	17,323	16,615	+708	open	—	04-22 17:38
Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinn	2	$6.2K	5,269	5,269	+0	open	—	04-30 15:11
Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milic	2	$5.7K	4,952	4,952	+0	Ognjen Milic	+$4,207	05-13 08:15
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	1	$4.9K	20,952	0	+20,952	open	—	06-15 14:53
Savannah: J.J. Wolf vs Clement Tabur	2	$4.5K	19,324	0	+19,324	open	—	04-22 20:22
Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	4	$4.2K	39,586	0	+39,586	open	—	04-22 14:16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	2	$4.0K	30,839	0	+30,839	Casper Ruud	$-4,041	05-13 13:44
Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovic	1	$3.6K	14,057	0	+14,057	open	—	04-22 13:36
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien	2	$3.4K	2,957	2,957	+0	open	—	05-23 16:00
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Pedro Martinez	1	$2.9K	10,663	0	+10,663	Roberto Bautista Agut	$-2,893	05-13 14:50
btc updown 5m 1776882000	3	$2.6K	2,167	2,054	+113	open	—	04-22 18:25
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5	3	$2.4K	2,570	2,570	+0	open	—	05-23 19:42
Cagliari: Emilio Nava vs Hubert Hurkacz	2	$2.3K	18,522	0	+18,522	open	—	04-30 15:48
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	2	$2.0K	20,868	0	+20,868	open	—	05-24 17:35
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	2	$1.9K	4,007	4,007	+0	open	—	05-23 19:42
Roland Garros WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Emiliana Arango	2	$1.9K	12,190	0	+12,190	open	—	05-24 18:53
Abidjan 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Karim Bennani	2	$1.9K	19,514	0	+19,514	open	—	04-30 17:47
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka	1	$1.9K	17,121	0	+17,121	open	—	05-24 14:49
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina	1	$1.9K	9,645	0	+9,645	open	—	04-22 15:41
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	1	$1.8K	26,286	0	+26,286	open	—	05-23 21:26
wta snigur montgom 2026 06 12	2	$1.5K	6,686	0	+6,686	open	—	06-12 15:15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko	1	$1.1K	4,804	0	+4,804	Sorana Cirstea	$-1,057	05-12 12:04
Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan	3	$1.0K	10,882	0	+10,882	open	—	05-24 11:11
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann	1	$1.0K	11,028	0	+11,028	open	—	05-24 17:09
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Gabriel Diallo	1	$1000	2,597	0	+2,597	open	—	05-24 09:57
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	1	$1000	18,182	0	+18,182	open	—	06-15 13:44
Roland Garros WTA: Sofia Kenin vs Peyton Stearns	1	$1000	9,683	0	+9,683	open	—	05-24 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 16:51:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	568	4¢	$24	0x81dbf7…
06-15 14:53:13	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	20,952	23¢	$4,907	0x279af6…
06-15 13:46:28	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10,336	6¢	$600	0x7045e3…
06-15 13:44:48	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	18,182	5¢	$1,000	0xf0a3d8…
06-15 13:44:16	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	3,707	3¢	$100	0x00837a…
06-12 15:15:15	wta snigur montgom 2026 06 12	Daria Snigur	BUY	507	22¢	$111	0xa98ae5…
06-12 15:14:25	wta snigur montgom 2026 06 12	Daria Snigur	BUY	6,179	23¢	$1,411	0x4aea94…
05-27 17:17:44	Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar	James Duckworth	BUY	2,962	8¢	$235	0xd7e66f…
05-25 11:13:40	Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	10,074	7¢	$705	0x9dff35…
05-25 11:08:58	Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	263	7¢	$18	0x7cfdb1…
05-24 18:53:29	Roland Garros WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Emiliana Arango	Emiliana Arango	BUY	6,925	13¢	$900	0xf10f4d…
05-24 18:50:32	Roland Garros WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Emiliana Arango	Emiliana Arango	BUY	5,265	19¢	$1,000	0xc916ce…
05-24 17:43:55	Roland Garros WTA: Sofia Kenin vs Peyton Stearns	Sofia Kenin	BUY	9,683	10¢	$1,000	0x939cf5…
05-24 17:35:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	10,868	9¢	$1,000	0xfb0988…
05-24 17:16:15	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	10,000	10¢	$1,000	0x18c769…
05-24 17:09:30	Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	11,028	9¢	$1,000	0x090112…
05-24 16:52:07	Roland Garros WTA: Emma Raducanu vs Solana Sierra	Emma Raducanu	BUY	13,778	7¢	$1,000	0x28f52c…
05-24 14:49:08	Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka	Reilly Opelka	BUY	17,121	11¢	$1,900	0x325252…
05-24 14:47:52	Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	SELL	5,533	100¢	$5,527	0x0c35d2…
05-24 11:42:15	Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	5,533	34¢	$1,900	0xb76260…
05-24 11:11:13	Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	9,403	10¢	$900	0x9c56cc…
05-24 11:11:06	Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x061e2b…
05-24 11:07:59	Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	368	8¢	$29	0x93d6e3…
05-24 10:32:22	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Gea	Arthur Gea	BUY	7,139	13¢	$950	0xe84e7e…
05-24 09:57:45	Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Gabriel Diallo	Gabriel Diallo	BUY	2,597	39¢	$1,000	0x9d5c86…
05-23 21:26:51	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	26,286	7¢	$1,840	0x8e9f81…
05-23 19:42:32	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2,570	56¢	$1,428	0x7d4a20…
05-23 19:42:19	Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	4,007	23¢	$933	0xc184ff…
05-23 18:55:57	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2,314	39¢	$900	0x379f6c…
05-23 18:55:32	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0x2d3fd9…
05-23 18:51:03	Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4,007	25¢	$1,000	0x06e3dd…
05-23 17:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	317	32¢	$100	0x0c702f…
05-23 16:00:13	Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	SELL	2,957	100¢	$2,954	0x1c7c5d…
05-23 14:10:56	Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	BUY	2,957	15¢	$444	0x164ba3…
05-23 13:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x003cdf…
05-21 17:41:41	Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien	Alex Michelsen	BUY	2,490	28¢	$697	0xb52a29…
05-13 14:50:29	Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Pedro Martinez	Pedro Martinez	BUY	10,663	27¢	$2,893	0xb0b809…
05-13 13:44:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	17,616	6¢	$1,131	0xd45bfb…
05-13 09:11:38	Zagreb: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Daniel Galan	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	31	24¢	$7	0xee5a9b…
05-13 09:11:01	Zagreb: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Daniel Galan	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	886	25¢	$219	0xe008ef…
05-13 09:09:32	Zagreb: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Daniel Galan	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	1,953	24¢	$462	0x7b0f52…
05-13 08:15:27	Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milic	Ognjen Milic	SELL	4,952	100¢	$4,947	0x161741…
05-13 06:34:15	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	13,224	22¢	$2,910	0xc0d7d5…
05-13 06:28:09	Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milic	Ognjen Milic	BUY	4,952	15¢	$740	0x1910a9…
05-12 21:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4,266	2¢	$78	0x8d6411…
05-12 21:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,033	2¢	$21	0x62c7d9…
05-12 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9,287	1¢	$100	0xc375bb…
05-12 12:04:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	4,804	22¢	$1,057	0x4465c5…
05-08 16:24:37	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik	Sebastian Baez	BUY	3,914	16¢	$626	0x2e6aff…
04-30 17:49:42	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	6,488	15¢	$973	0x62e744…
04-30 17:47:40	Abidjan 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Karim Bennani	Karim Bennani	BUY	9,744	9¢	$900	0x9dbb38…
04-30 17:37:44	Abidjan 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Karim Bennani	Karim Bennani	BUY	9,770	10¢	$1,000	0xd1b860…
04-30 15:48:18	Cagliari: Emilio Nava vs Hubert Hurkacz	Emilio Nava	BUY	8,793	11¢	$1,000	0x17c937…
04-30 15:43:42	Cagliari: Emilio Nava vs Hubert Hurkacz	Emilio Nava	BUY	9,730	13¢	$1,255	0x775cbb…
04-30 15:11:10	Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	SELL	5,269	100¢	$5,264	0x98c04c…
04-30 12:55:54	Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	BUY	5,269	17¢	$896	0x0dac43…
04-23 11:39:12	btc updown 5m 1776944100	Down	BUY	4,470	2¢	$72	0x47fa0a…
04-23 11:39:12	btc updown 5m 1776944100	Down	BUY	2,286	4¢	$95	0x377b74…
04-23 09:16:34	Madrid Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Marcos Giron	Marcos Giron	BUY	2,577	23¢	$585	0xc37c73…
04-22 20:22:42	Savannah: J.J. Wolf vs Clement Tabur	J.J. Wolf	BUY	378	20¢	$76	0x5e1969…
04-22 20:22:08	Savannah: J.J. Wolf vs Clement Tabur	J.J. Wolf	BUY	18,946	23¢	$4,400	0x1822db…
04-22 20:20:14	Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong	Rafael Jodar	SELL	4,522	99¢	$4,477	0x2e939a…
04-22 18:29:34	Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong	Rafael Jodar	BUY	4,599	44¢	$2,032	0x471fb1…
04-22 18:25:38	btc updown 5m 1776882000	Up	SELL	2,054	99¢	$2,033	0xc87775…
04-22 18:23:24	btc updown 5m 1776882000	Up	BUY	822	28¢	$230	0xe05ef7…
04-22 18:23:24	btc updown 5m 1776882000	Up	BUY	1,345	27¢	$363	0x4a2602…
04-22 18:20:42	btc updown 5m 1776881700	Up	SELL	416	99¢	$412	0xa7086a…
04-22 18:17:36	btc updown 5m 1776881700	Up	BUY	436	36¢	$158	0x4160e8…
04-22 17:38:02	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	SELL	16,615	2¢	$349	0x781a79…
04-22 15:43:56	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	BUY	6,094	35¢	$2,133	0xbd758a…
04-22 15:41:16	Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina	Federico Cina	BUY	9,645	19¢	$1,869	0x4c8157…
04-22 15:38:48	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	BUY	11,229	35¢	$3,930	0xff739a…
04-22 14:16:46	Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Roberto Bautista Agut	BUY	9,139	11¢	$1,000	0x00140e…
04-22 14:16:36	Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Roberto Bautista Agut	BUY	9,172	11¢	$1,000	0xc0c065…
04-22 14:16:04	Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Roberto Bautista Agut	BUY	10,055	11¢	$1,100	0x3a9e0a…
04-22 14:15:56	Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Roberto Bautista Agut	BUY	11,220	10¢	$1,100	0x99e01c…
04-22 13:36:38	Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovic	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	14,057	26¢	$3,600	0x9cce4e…
04-22 13:35:36	Madrid Open: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	15,749	100¢	$15,733	0x40752a…
04-22 12:24:20	Madrid Open: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	379	20¢	$77	0xc6b55f…
04-22 12:24:04	Madrid Open: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	5,267	19¢	$1,000	0xb6d414…
04-22 12:23:46	Madrid Open: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	5,644	18¢	$1,000	0xfc5392…
04-22 12:23:12	Madrid Open: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	4,850	21¢	$1,000	0xda0d24…