Harsh-Men — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$150

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-16 04:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$0

Sports

34% 100% +$1

Other

18% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+7	$6	98¢	$6	+$0	07-11 06:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mia cle 2026 03 27	1	$9	13	+13	open	—	03-27 06:03
nhl cbj buf 2026 04 09	1	$9	18	+18	open	—	04-09 06:02
nhl min fla 2026 03 26	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	03-26 05:15
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	04-02 04:53
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	1	$8	27	+27	open	—	03-21 06:40
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	07-16 04:40
nhl buf las 2026 03 17	1	$8	16	+16	open	—	03-17 08:02
nhl ana mon 2026 03 15	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-15 06:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	06-10 06:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-31 03:20
will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	06-28 09:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	04-25 05:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-20 11:24
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	05-06 09:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-14 03:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	07-11 06:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	06-15 05:58
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$6	7	+7	Thunder	+$1	05-03 07:42
iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	1	$5	105	+105	open	—	07-04 06:47
bitcoin above 68k on march 24	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	03-23 09:37
elc swa sot 2026 04 18 swa	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-18 09:05
nba bkn phi 2026 03 14	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-14 05:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 04:40:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xe037f6…
07-11 06:58:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x8afdc8…
07-04 06:47:11	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x816531…
06-28 09:25:58	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x0fc253…
06-15 05:58:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x6caa94…
06-10 06:16:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x006ae1…
05-31 03:20:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xebb102…
05-20 11:24:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0xaaf648…
05-14 03:54:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa07b84…
05-06 09:13:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xac8151…
05-03 07:42:38	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xbd9b7d…
04-25 05:42:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x169a48…
04-18 09:05:16	elc swa sot 2026 04 18 swa	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x0d64aa…
04-09 06:02:55	nhl cbj buf 2026 04 09	Blue Jackets	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0xdf12c8…
04-02 04:53:55	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xb79e72…
03-27 06:03:05	nba mia cle 2026 03 27	Cavaliers	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x2bfd4a…
03-26 05:15:59	nhl min fla 2026 03 26	Wild	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0xbc0854…
03-23 09:37:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x098323…
03-21 06:40:43	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x3381b8…
03-17 08:02:59	nhl buf las 2026 03 17	Sabres	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0xd55eb7…
03-15 06:23:31	nhl ana mon 2026 03 15	Canadiens	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x540725…
03-14 05:31:47	nba bkn phi 2026 03 14	76ers	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x8d1767…